“The only way to get our society to truly change is to
frighten people with the possibility of a catastrophe.”
– emeritus professor Daniel Botkin
“We’ve got to ride this global warming issue.
Even if the theory of global warming is wrong,
we will be doing the right thing in terms of
economic and environmental policy.“
– Timothy Wirth,
President of the UN Foundation
The Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation (CSIRO) is the federal government agency for scientific research in Australia. It was founded in 1926 originally as the Advisory Council of Science and Industry.
In the field of climate science, the CSIRO has historically leant towards the alarmist side of the climate debate. One example shows the CSIRO using sea level rise figures far in excess of even the IPCC.
In its 2012 report…
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25 years ago this week the Conservative Party were in the process of electing a new leader after Margaret Thatcher, Prime Minister for over 11 years, stood down. The story of Thatcher’s resignation has long been a controversial one within the Conservative Party, seen by some as an ‘assassination’ and by many as high political drama. This is reflected in many of our oral history project interviews with former MPs. Thatcher’s premiership is mentioned by almost all of those who were MPs at the time, but in this post we’ll concentrate on some of the reactions to the downfall of Britain’s only female Prime Minister to date.
Thatcher remains a controversial figure in British politics, and this is no less true in our interviews with former Conservative MPs. Whilst many were great admirers, a number remember that by 1990 they had become alienated by her policies (in particular the attempts…
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This summer, following the internal wrangling that occurred in most parties following the Brexit referendum, we’ve been taking a look at historic cases of party division. In today’s blog, Dr Philip Salmon, Editor of the Victorian Commons, discusses the impact of two major splits within the Tory and Conservative parties during the 19th century…
In modern Britain we are not used to political parties splitting apart. There are always ongoing rifts and schisms, but the idea of our parties completely breaking up is alien to most of us. This has not always been the case. In the 19th century, the division of parties and the wholesale realignment of politicians were regular and essential parts of political life. Indeed without them, many of the developments associated with the emergence of Britain’s modern parliamentary system would simply not have taken place.
Take the 1832 Reform Act. Long regarded as…
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The television appearance the other night of Senator elect Roberts shows that any publicity is good publicity especially if no one has ever heard of you before.
Through breathless journalism, the media career of climate sceptic Malcolm Roberts has been launched. He is self-confident, vaguely articulate so it was reasonable television viewing.
The appeals to authority such as by Brian Cox when debating Roberts is not science.
Unlike Pauline Hanson, who is a ill-educated buffoon, Roberts is educated and presumably has the ability to learn and acquire media skills. After the television appearance the other night, he is guaranteed many other media outings that givens him publicity he could never have imagined. This is all courtesy of people who do not want to hear from him who made him famous.
I always find it unwise for people to talk about how hot it is this year. Kevin Rudd was criticised by climate alarmists when he used to do that.
Short periods of time can have anomalous ups and downs so any argument should be based on century long trends and predicted trends into the next century. If being hot this year is evidence then 20 years have not been particularly hotter is also evidence. You cannot say that small sample is a reliable and a somewhat larger small sample is unreliable.
The complete UAH v6.0 data for July were released on Friday. I present all the graphs for various regions, and as well summaries for easier comparison. The Pause still refuses to go away, despite all expectations.
These graphs show the furthest back one can go to show a zero or negative trend (less than 0.1 +/-0.1C per 100 years) in lower tropospheric temperatures. I calculate 12 month running means to remove the small possibility of seasonal autocorrelation in the monthly anomalies. Note: The satellite record commences in December 1978- now 37 years and 8 months long- 452 months. 12 month running means commence in November 1979. The y-axes in the graphs below are at December 1978, so the vertical gridlines denote Decembers. The final plotted points are July 2016.
[CLICK ON IMAGES TO ENLARGE]
The Pause is 3 months shorter.
And, for the special benefit of those who think that…
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Guest essay by Eric Worrall
Scientific American thinks we are all so worried about climate change, our minds have snapped – that we’ve all turned to “climate denial” as a coping mechanism.
Are We Feeling Collective Grief Over Climate Change?
The idea is highly controversial, but at least one psychiatrist is convinced that we are, whether we know it or not.
In 1977, I was in middle school in Michigan, and a science teacher shared a tidbit off-curriculum. Some scientists had postulated that as a result of “pollution,” heat-trapping gasses might one day lead to a warming planet. Dubbed “the greenhouse effect,” the image was clear in my 12-year old mind: people enclosed in a glass structure, heating up like tomatoes coaxed to ripen. It was an interesting concept, but something in the very, very distant future.
Fast-forward ~ 30 years later. The year was 2006, my daughter was three…
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Little wonder that Japanese and Korean women live much longer than men given that they spoke so little. Oddly enough, women smoke more or almost as much as men in countries where fewer smoke. The large cross-national differences in smoking rates is rather surprising too. Is smoking more addictive in some countries than others?
Good morning! Jerry is in the skies at the moment, the holiday is sadly over. He will check in with us when he can, wifi permitting.
Today is the anniversary of the death of Elvis Presley back in 1977 (remember the Elvis is still alive conspiracy theories that used to abound?)
His music was never particularly my taste (although I have a few friends who will disown me for that admission) however he had an undeniable influence on rock and roll and other genres both contemporaneously and for decades afterwards.
Here is Jailhouse Rock from 1957 where he is all young and fresh-faced and innocent looking.
This is probably the Presley track I like the most, the JXL bowdlerised version of A little less conversation from 2002.
Hili is acknowledging the end of her holidays as well, although I suspect that her business as usual days look suspiciously…
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