Originally posted on Utopia – you are standing in it!:
Statistics is a useful tool for understanding the patterns in the world around us. But our intuition often lets us down when it comes to interpreting those patterns. In this series we look at some of the common mistakes we make and how to avoid them when thinking about statistics, probability and risk.
You don’t have to wait long to see a headline proclaiming that some food or behaviour is associated with either an increased or a decreased health risk, or often both. How can it be that seemingly rigorous scientific studies can produce opposite conclusions?
Nowadays, researchers can access a wealth of software packages that can readily analyse data and output the results of complex statistical tests. While these are powerful resources, they also open the door to people without…
View original post 1,607 more words
Someone must really be getting up their noses.
No discussion of risk return ratios in op-ed.
The Herald yesterday gave over a full page to an unpaid advertorial from a public servant. Of course, it wasn’t quite described that way, but that is what New Zealand Superannuation Fund chief executive Adrian Orr’s lengthy opinion piece amounted to. Perhaps we should just be grateful to the Herald that they didn’t charge the NZSF – and thus the taxpayer – for the advertising space.
It is a strange piece in many ways. It is unfortunately becoming more common to have public servants take to the media to defend political decisions. Public servants are there is advise and administer, but politicians are the ones who make the policy decisions and should be called to account for them. And that is quite clear in the NZSF case. Parliament set up the NZSF and associated provisions. Included in those provisions is the ability for the government of the day to (openly and transparently) contribute…
View original post 2,152 more words
After spending much of 2013 watching oh, so many Agatha Christie adaptations, I decided to put together a list of all her novels and short story collections, and whether and when they have been adapted for film. I’ll attempt to keep this updated as new information comes to mind, particularly since it appears that 2017 will be the start of yet another new era of adaptations for the Queen of Crime. See below:
(list updated – September 2016)
View original post 2,311 more words
Originally posted on Watts Up With That?:
Guest Opinion by Larry Kummer. From the Fabius Maximus website. Summary: The House Science committee heard from three climate scientists. The testimony of the activist, Michael Mann, destroyed the case for strong public…