An excellent discussion of preference falsification and gay marriage. Preference falsification is one of the more interesting theories to enter public choice in recent years.
Andrew Gelman is stunned that support for gay marriage has increased more in states with already liberal attitudes:
In the past fifteen years, gay marriage has increased in popularity in all fifty states. No news there, but what was a surprise to me is where the largest changes have occurred. The popularity of gay marriage has increased fastest in the states where gay rights were already relatively popular in the 1990s.
In 1995, support for gay marriage exceeded 30% in only six states: New York, Rhode Island, Connecticut, Massachusetts, California, and Vermont. In these states, support for gay marriage has increased by an average of almost 20 percentage points. In contrast, support has increased by less than 10 percentage points in the six states that in 1995 were most anti-gay-marriage–Utah, Oklahoma, Alabama, Mississippi, Arkansas, and Idaho.
Here’s the picture showing all 50 states:
I was stunned when I saw this…
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