Trump’s Plan To Buy Russian Diesel Would Violate Federal Law

If laws passed by Congress do not apply to presidential actions, then we no longer live in a democracy.

Trump’s Plan To Buy Russian Diesel Would Violate Federal Law

China fact (?) of the day

A monograph by Yi Fuxian, a University of Wisconsin-Madison demographer and longtime critic of China’s population policies, argues that China’s actual population may be closer to 1.27 billion—not the 1.4 billion officially reported. The gap would be as much as 130 million people, roughly the population of Mexico. And Yi argues the distortion has warped…

China fact (?) of the day

Predictable

LBC reports: An investigation has revealed that a man known only as ‘Mr X’ worked as a personal bodyguard for Ismail Haniyeh, who was Hamas’ leader in Gaza between 2007 and 2017.  He then successfully applied for asylum and eventually indefinite leave to remain in the UK, and was able to plot an antisemitic attack…

Predictable

Internet diffusion and religious decline?

Using a panel of 81 countries across six World Values Survey waves (1990–2022), we examine whether growth in internet diffusion is associated with religious decline. We construct a six-item composite religiosity index, align annual macro series to wave periods, and estimate country fixed-effects models with one-wave lags and a broad set of modernization, demographic, welfare-state,…

Internet diffusion and religious decline?

Navi Pillay is a disgraceful choice for the Nobel Peace Prize

Some say that the Nobel Peace Prize lost credibility when it was won by Henry Kissinger and Le Duc Tho in 1973, given neither men were great at anything beyond blood thirsty realpolitik. Anjeze Bojaxhui (known as Mother Teresa of Calcutta) in 1979 was another one, given the succour she gave to the likes of…

Navi Pillay is a disgraceful choice for the Nobel Peace Prize

*Plunder: The Last of the War in Europe, 1945*

By Max Hastings, an excellent book, I benefited from every page.  One recurring theme is simply how hard the Germans fought on the way down, and how unusual that behavior was.  Here is one interesting passage of many: In World War I, 150 German soldiers were sentenced to death for serious crimes, of which a…

*Plunder: The Last of the War in Europe, 1945*

More on the Herald so called poll of polls

On the 2nd of October I wrote: So the last six polls, all from different firms, have had ACT ahead of Opportunity by margins ranging from 1% to 6%, and the Herald-MOTU poll of polls says that the poll of polls means Opportunity is ahead of ACT. On the 8th of October the Herald did…

More on the Herald so called poll of polls

Marijuana Contracts Are Not Enforceable in Federal Court

Just because marijuana is legal under state law does not mean marijuana is legal — a useful reminder.

Marijuana Contracts Are Not Enforceable in Federal Court

California in-migration and out-migration

Long-run U.S. population movements have been driven more by natural amenities than by jobs, and California, rich in both uniform and complementary climates, should be a persistent net gainer of domestic migrants. It has instead lost residents to other states every year since about 1990. This paper argues that its amenities are unchanged and that…

California in-migration and out-migration

On the microeconomic foundations of macro stabilisation: The Hall-Woodford prize in historical perspective

“This year’s prize is about stabilization” was the sentence with which Ellen Moons, Secretary General of the Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences, introduced the not-true-Nobel-but-Nobel-still prize for economics this morning (a physicist, she is the first woman to hold the position since the Academy’s creation in 1739). It went to Stanford’s Bob Hall and Columbia’s […]

On the microeconomic foundations of macro stabilisation: The Hall-Woodford prize in historical perspective

Opportunity cost makes the news

Opportunity cost is one of the most underappreciated concepts in economics, and yet it is fundamental to good decision-making. Whenever we choose to use our resources for one thing, we give up what we could have done with them instead. The opportunity cost of something is the cost of foregoing the opportunity of using the resources…

Opportunity cost makes the news

Canada’s First Nations Are Using Their Land To Build Dense Housing

Exempt from Vancouver’s building restrictions, Squamish Nation is constructing a 6,000-unit residential high-rise.

Canada’s First Nations Are Using Their Land To Build Dense Housing

Michael Woodford, Nobel Laureate

I think of Michael Woodford as the kind of economist who studies something very specific very intensively and tries to get it just right.  But in his case he is not studying something small and irrelevant, he is studying “monetary policy.” I think of him as the economist who put monetary policy and “monetarism” —…

Michael Woodford, Nobel Laureate

The Nobel Prize Goes to Robert Hall and Michael Woodford

Twenty-five years ago Tyler told me he thought Robert Hall should win the Nobel. He has been a contender for so long today’s award was a surprise! Hall has an unusual number of unexpectedly creative papers. His best known is on consumption. Start with the textbook Keynesian model: Y = C + I + G…

The Nobel Prize Goes to Robert Hall and Michael Woodford

Robert E. Hall, Nobel Laureate

Alex has already covered this, I will add a few remarks. First, every Bob Hall paper is interesting!  Only a handful of economists can say the same.  Every paper has an idea, and some sort of novel contribution.  His lesser-known papers can be as thought-provoking as the more famous ones. Here is Bob on scholar.google.com. …

Robert E. Hall, Nobel Laureate

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