This week’s Taxpayers Union/Curia poll attracted far more attention than a single poll should. This was principally because it recorded support for Labour now being below what it was at the time of its defeat at the last election. However, at their best, polls are but a snapshot in time, with the long-term trends they […]
Hipkins’ uphill battle
Hipkins’ uphill battle
15 Sep 2026 Leave a comment
in politics - New Zealand Tags: 2026 general election
The gender wage gap is fading away
13 Sep 2026 Leave a comment
in applied price theory, discrimination, economic history, economics of education, gender, human capital, labour economics, labour supply, occupational choice, politics - New Zealand, poverty and inequality Tags: feminism, gender, gender wage gap, history, politics, sex discrimination, women
The gender wage gap has dropped by two-thirds in the last 30 years. It has halved since the first pay equity claim was filed 14 years ago. The gender wage gap is now barely 5.5% in June 2026 according to the recently released Statistics New Zealand data. It is a stretch to file pay equity claims asking for 30% more when the gender wage gap struggles to stay above 5%.
The gender wage gap data released by Statistics New Zealand recently is the raw data. There are no adjustments to that pay gap for differences in educational backgrounds, continuity of employment and dedication to demanding careers, unsocial hours, risk of injury, and the greater desire of women for work-life balance and jobs with more working from home options.
It is not mischievous to say that the gender wage gap may round down to zero once these factors are considered.
From time-to-time, detailed datasets become available on male and female workers that show that the gender wage gap goes down or close to zero. There are even detailed datasets where hiring and job assignments are made without any management intervention or possible bias.
There is a large gender wage gap driven by work-life balance under a bus and train drivers’ collective agreement in Massachusetts. The work-force was one-third female with hiring via a lottery among applicants with a clean record. Shifts are chosen by drivers strictly according to their seniority at each depot.
There was still a 11% gender wage gap because women drivers elected to work less overtime, they avoided overtime shifts on short notice, and they worked fewer shifts at nights and weekends. This gender wage gap among bus and train drivers cannot be the fault of their sexist employer because work was allocated by an exceptionally detailed union contract.
A 7% gender wage gap emerged even when a computer algorithm is allocating the work first come, first served.
A study of Uber drivers found a gender pay gap of zero once account is taken for male Uber drivers driving more at nights, weekends and in the more dodgy neighbourhoods with drinking establishments. Male Uber drivers also worked more hours per year which meant they had much more work experience than female Uber drivers. These additional hours meant men became more skilled in deciding when and where to best cruise for the best paying jobs. The fact that men drive faster explained the last two percentage points of the gender pay gap at Uber. Speed meant men were available for the next Uber job quicker.
The gender wage gap is just into the double digits for the top 10% of female earners in New Zealand in 2025 (see OECD graphic). This is because their chosen careers are often not family friendly. But even at the top end of town the gender pay gap has halved in the last 20 years.

OECD data explorer
Women’s willingness to trade work-life balance for lower wages and fewer promotions is a big driver of the gender wage gap and the channelling of women into family friendly occupations. The wages of men and women at all levels are similar in the years leading up to motherhood then everything changes.
Top American labour economist Claudia Goldin found that some careers severely penalise any time off such as for motherhood or working less than punishingly long or rigid hours. Goldin refers to these jobs as greedy jobs. Women’s preference for family friendly occupations that can pay less and a tendency to avoid greedy jobs will mean that the gender wage gap may always be with us at least at the big end of town.
The case for unilateral recognition
11 Sep 2026 Leave a comment
in applied price theory, economics of information, economics of regulation, industrial organisation, international economic law, international economics, politics - Australia, politics - New Zealand, regulation
Bilateral, plurilateral, and multilateral are words that New Zealand’s civil service love. There is nothing that can’t be improved by doing it in concert with others. Sometimes there’s good reason for just doing stuff. New Zealand made the right decision when it unilaterally slashed all of its tariffs. It also progressed all the other trade agreements that helped…
The case for unilateral recognition
Potential deregulations
08 Sep 2026 Leave a comment
in economics of regulation, labour economics, labour supply, politics - New Zealand, politics - USA Tags: economics of immigration
Cato’s Handbook on Affordability provides a set of policy recommendations for reducing unnecessary government-imposed costs. There’s the usual stuff you’d expect, much of which is US-focused.But a few bits are worth thinking about here too.In the chapter on healthcare, Cato suggests automatic removal of prescription-only requirements from medicines. They write:Eliminate prescription regulation. The FDA makes medicines…
Potential deregulations
Populist political party folly
08 Sep 2026 Leave a comment
in Economics of international refugee law, International law, labour economics, labour supply, law and economics, politics - Australia, politics - New Zealand Tags: British politics, France, Germany
I wonder whether the massive support for the (AFD) Alternatives for Germany party in the Saxony state election, along with the sight of hundreds of Brits trying to stop illegal migrants arriving by boat from France, while Pauline Hanson’s One Nation, out rates all the other parties, will finally get western elites to face the […]
Populist political party folly
Audrey on Te Pati Maori’s bottom line
04 Sep 2026 Leave a comment
in constitutional political economy, discrimination, law and economics, liberalism, politics - New Zealand, Public Choice, rentseeking Tags: 2026 general election, constitutional, law, racial discrimination
Audrey Young writes: Te Pāti Māori not only released a radical Treaty of Waitangi policy this week that would upend New Zealand’s democracy as we know it, co-leader Debbie Ngarewa-Packer said the whole policy was a bottom line, meaning it was non-negotiable. That means Te Pāti Māori would not sign up to a centre-left Government unless it…
Audrey on Te Pati Maori’s bottom line
Excellent constitutional ideas from ACT
03 Sep 2026 Leave a comment
in constitutional political economy, law and economics, politics - New Zealand, property rights, Public Choice Tags: 2026 general election, constitutional law
ACT have proposed a number of good constitutional ideas. They are: Add to the Constitution Act 1986: The Constitution Act is not supreme law. So putting these principles in there doesn’t impact any particular court decisions, but it is an important assertion of democratic values. ACT will add property rights to the New Zealand Bill…
Excellent constitutional ideas from ACT
The TPM overhang strategy could result in permament left wing government
02 Sep 2026 Leave a comment
in politics - New Zealand Tags: 2026 general election, constitutional law
Te Pati Maori are trying to use the Māori seats to engineer overhang seats, to try and lock the centre right out of power – even if they win more votes. But recent law changes means the potential impact of this strategy could be huge. At present there are seven Māori seats. If TPM won…
The TPM overhang strategy could result in permament left wing government
Disappointing
01 Sep 2026 1 Comment
in human capital, labour economics, labour supply, politics - New Zealand, population economics Tags: economics of immigration
The ACT Party has announced a new policy that would:Remove the existing Permanent Resident visa category;Require all Resident Visa holders to receive a 5 year travel facility, replacing the current two-year initial travel condition;Require all Resident Visa holders to be physically present in New Zealand for at least 730 days within any rolling five-year period,…
Disappointing
Opportunity knocks
27 Aug 2026 Leave a comment
in discrimination, gender, politics - New Zealand Tags: 2026 general election
Good vibes all round – unless you’re a woman. It’s fair to say that the leader of the revamped Opportunity Party Quilae Wong is the best looking of all the political leaders contesting the 2026 New Zealand election.
Opportunity knocks
Great ad
26 Aug 2026 Leave a comment
in politics - New Zealand Tags: 2026 general election
This is a very good ad. With the likely government of the left needing a four way coalition, one can only imagine how many of the nine taxes they’ll need to implement to fund all their promises. The post Great ad first appeared on Kiwiblog.
Great ad
The all powerful TOP Board
23 Aug 2026 Leave a comment
in politics - New Zealand Tags: 2026 general election
Pleased to see at least one journalist asking tough questions of TOP. It is alarming that the party leader doers;t even know her own party’s rules, especially one as important as the board being able to over-rule the caucus. I guess this is what you get when a party leader is not a long-standing member,…
The all powerful TOP Board
Judicial Power, Democratic Accountability, and the Smith Case
22 Aug 2026 1 Comment
in politics - New Zealand Tags: constitutional law
Supreme Court lacks democratic responsibility and accountability: its excesses demand clearer leadership from the legal profession.
Judicial Power, Democratic Accountability, and the Smith Case
How much land tax will you pay?
20 Aug 2026 Leave a comment
in politics - New Zealand Tags: 2026 general election
TOP has proposed a 1.75% tax on the value of urban land (except Maori communal land) and 0.5% on rural land. It is worth noting that land values have been declining for the last five years, so TOP’s policy is to tax you on an asset that is declining in value! Urban Av land value…
How much land tax will you pay?
Opportunity Party on when you’re a child
17 Aug 2026 Leave a comment
in economics of crime, economics of education, health economics, law and economics, liberalism, Marxist economics, politics - New Zealand Tags: 2026 general election, crime and punishment, criminal deterrence, law and order
The Opportunity Party policy is or was that any criminal offender aged under 25 should be sent to the Youth Court for a family group conference, rather than go to an adult court. They say this is because 24 year old brains are not fully developed, so they should not be held fully accountable for…
Opportunity Party on when you’re a child
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