The Washington Post vs Elizabeth Warren

People sometimes will get excited about big-picture tax fights – whether politicians should raise taxes, whether they should add a VAT, or whether they should scrap the IRS for a flat tax. On the other had, there are a handful of tax issues that induce drowsiness but are nonetheless very important for purposes of tax […]

The Washington Post vs Elizabeth Warren

The Laffer Curve and Limits to Class Warfare Tax Policy, Part II

In Part I of this series back in 2014, we looked at some academic research from Canada showing that the revenue-maximizing tax rate on the richest taxpayers was 27.5 percent. A key insight from that research is that high-income taxpayers have considerable control over the timing, level, and composition of their income (just like in […]

The Laffer Curve and Limits to Class Warfare Tax Policy, Part II

Fleecing Rich Taxpayers: Europe vs. the United States

I frequently make the point that America’s tax system is more progressive than European tax systems. But not because the United States imposes higher tax rates on upper-income households. Instead, the big difference is that lower-income and middle-class households in the United States face much lower tax burdens than their European counterparts. In those columns, […]

Fleecing Rich Taxpayers: Europe vs. the United States

Eat the Rich: Sanders and Khanna Introduce Federal Billionaires Tax

Below is my column on Fox.com on the new push by Democrats to impose a wealth tax nationally. While the…

Eat the Rich: Sanders and Khanna Introduce Federal Billionaires Tax

The Nightmare Scenario Leading to a Wealth Tax

Is it time to pack our belongings and head to Argentina, where Javier Milei is dramatically improving economic policy and cultural attitudes? I’m joking, but also not joking. The reason I’m not joking is that there’s a very depressing scenario for America’s near-term economic outlook. It involves these six potential developments. Thanks in part to […]

The Nightmare Scenario Leading to a Wealth Tax

Sports and Supply-Side Economics

One of the key insights of good tax policy is that people respond to incentives. If tax rates are punitive, people will do what they can to protect themselves from predatory government. Especially if they have any ability to control the timing, level, and composition of their income. Star athletes are definitely in this group. They avoid […]

Sports and Supply-Side Economics

Is There a Political Downside to Tax Migration?

I’m a big fan of tax migration. I cheer when productive people escape high-tax states or high-tax nations. And when the geese with the golden eggs fly away, it thwarts the plans of greedy politicians. The latest example of this is the exodus of billionaires – worried about a wealth tax – from California (the […]

Is There a Political Downside to Tax Migration?

Are the French lazy?

Olivier Blanchard writes: The French are not lazy. They just enjoy leisure more than most (no irony here) And this is perfectly fine: As productivity increases, it is perfectly reasonable to take it partly as more leisure (fewer hours per week, earlier retirement age), and only partly in income. He has follow-up points and clarifications…

Are the French lazy?

Exciting New Research on the Laffer Curve

Unless you’re a policy wonk, I realize “exciting” may not be the right word to describe new developments in public-finance economics. For nerds, however, three economists at the Joint Committee on Taxation have some important new research on the Laffer Curve. The study, authored by Rachel Moore, Brandon Pecoraro, and David Splinter, concludes that the […]

Exciting New Research on the Laffer Curve

Part IV: Yes, Taxes Change Behavior

There can be honest and constructive debates about the size of government, such as when I cross swords with someone on the left who understands Arthur Okun’s efficiency-equity tradeoff. Another legitimate debate is about the impact of tax policy, specifically whether higher or lower tax rates have big effects or small effects. But to have […]

Part IV: Yes, Taxes Change Behavior

Taxes and Growth, Part II

I wrote a column about taxes and growth in 2020. Let’s augment that analysis by digging into some details. I decided to address the issue today after seeing a tweet with this helpful summary of how different taxes cause different levels of economic damage (the Tax Foundation also has a table that ranks different taxes, […]

Taxes and Growth, Part II

Is the earned income tax overrated?

This policy has been so popular with economists on a bipartisan basis, yet a recent piece in ReStud raises some doubts, as the wage subsidies induce many to drop out of school: As a complement to the federal earned income tax credit (EITC), some states offer their own EITC, typically calculated as a percentage of […]

Is the earned income tax overrated?

Part II: Yes, Taxes Change Behavior

There are several visual ways of helping people understand how fiscal policy (and especially marginal tax rates) can change behavior. The philoso-raptor meme. The questioning worker. Supply-and-demand curves. The Wizard-of-Id parody. To augment these examples, I’ve started a series that is based on real-world examples. Part I of the series highlighted how the capital gains […]

Part II: Yes, Taxes Change Behavior

Part I: Yes, Taxes Change Behavior

From a big-picture economic perspective, I worry most about the damage of high tax burdens on innovation, entrepreneurship, and investment. Those are things that generate enormous benefits for society, yet also things that are very sensitive to bad tax policy (specifically high marginal tax rates and the tax code’s bias against saving and investment). Sadly, […]

Part I: Yes, Taxes Change Behavior

Labor supply is elastic!

Even in Denmark: We investigate long-run earnings responses to taxes in the presence of dynamic returns to effort. First, we develop a theoretical model of earnings determination with dynamic returns to effort. In this model, earnings responses are delayed and mediated by job switches. Second, using administrative data from Denmark, we verify our model’s predictions […]

Labor supply is elastic!

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