Some Links

TweetMegan McArdle writes insightfully about California’s pending proposal to soak the rich. Three slices: These days, legislators generally don’t enact tax hikes so confiscatory that they trigger an immediate, obvious response. They adjust income tax rates by a few percentage points, fiddle with the deductions or impose new levies on some tiny portion of the…

Some Links

Brazil’s economic problems, in a nutshell

It would take true Milei-like ardour to slice through Brazil’s economic troubles. These are caused by a gnarly mix of high public spending, stubborn inflation and low saving. The result is a crippling cost of capital. Some analysts put Brazil’s real interest rate, the BCB’s policy rate adjusted for next year’s expected inflation, at 9% or…

Brazil’s economic problems, in a nutshell

Will bystander economies be able to finance their governments?

From Jesús Fernández-Villaverde: Will AI poison the public finances of many modern states? There is a real risk that it will. Yesterday, I circulated a new paper, “Saving for the Machines,” which makes a simple point. Building the AI transformation will require enormous investment. The only way to induce agents to save for that investment…

Will bystander economies be able to finance their governments?

The Economic Consequences of Different Ways of Propping Up Social Security

My Ph.D. dissertation last century was about Australia’s system of personal retirement accounts, so I have a long-time interest in how to fix America’s Social Security system. Which leads me to a good news-bad news situation. The good news is that politicians will probably be forced to deal with Social Security at some point in […]

The Economic Consequences of Different Ways of Propping Up Social Security

SIEPR Economic Summit 2026 | California Wealth Tax

California in-migration and out-migration

Long-run U.S. population movements have been driven more by natural amenities than by jobs, and California, rich in both uniform and complementary climates, should be a persistent net gainer of domestic migrants. It has instead lost residents to other states every year since about 1990. This paper argues that its amenities are unchanged and that…

California in-migration and out-migration

Robert E. Hall, Nobel Laureate

Alex has already covered this, I will add a few remarks. First, every Bob Hall paper is interesting!  Only a handful of economists can say the same.  Every paper has an idea, and some sort of novel contribution.  His lesser-known papers can be as thought-provoking as the more famous ones. Here is Bob on scholar.google.com. …

Robert E. Hall, Nobel Laureate

Sargent on moderate inflations

Sargent on hyperinflation

Sargent on moderate inflations

Sargent on hyperinflation

Friedman on fiscal policy

The U.K. Version of the Laffer Curve Strikes Again

There are two reasons why I periodically write about the Laffer Curve. I want my left-leaning friends to understand to understand that higher tax rates on productive behavior will lead to less taxable income and some foregone tax revenue. I want my right-leaning friends to understand that tax cuts are only self-financing in rare cases […]

The U.K. Version of the Laffer Curve Strikes Again

Two AI summaries of @Dandolfa on deficient demand

Scott Freeman’s textbook on the GFC

Previous Older Entries

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The Risk-Monger

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