Bootleggers and Baptists: Climate Change Edition

Brad Taylor's avatarBrad Taylor's Blog

I’ve been blogging about bootleggers and baptists a bit lately, so I should probably mention this excellent WSJ article on The Climate-Industrial Complex from Bjorn Lomborg.

The partnership among self-interested businesses, grandstanding politicians and alarmist campaigners truly is an unholy alliance. The climate-industrial complex does not promote discussion on how to overcome this challenge in a way that will be best for everybody. We should not be surprised or impressed that those who stand to make a profit are among the loudest calling for politicians to act. Spending a fortune on global carbon regulations will benefit a few, but dearly cost everybody else.

Do read the whole thing. Once again, here’s Bruce Yandle’s wonderful paper.

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Build, Baby, Build! “Overbuilding” Seattle May Be a Good Idea

.'s avatarSeattle's Land Use Code

Among the more risible arguments advanced by the anti-growth crowd is that somehow by allowing more development in Seattle we will end up overbuilt, with too many housing units and not enough people to fill them. One Seattle City Councilmember even worried aloud that neighborhoods like Roosevelt would become transit oriented “ghost towns” with window shutters flapping in the wind, and tumbleweeds rolling down the street if the Council rezoned key blocks there.

In my ongoing reading about how the law of supply and demand plays out in the housing market I found a study that looks at the overbuilding issue,”The Supply Side of the Housing Boom and Bust of the 2000’s. Even if we were overbuilt or overbuilding, it wouldn’t be a bad thing, especially with Seattle’s already tight supply of housing.

But don’t just listen to me, here’s one of the findings from a literature review…

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Obviously, it’s getting cheaper to take & share photos

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Hsieh and Moretti on Allocations across Cities

the implied cost of housing restrictions across the whole U.S., and Chang and Enrico find that aggregate output is lower by about 10-14% because of them.

dvollrath's avatarThe Growth Economics Blog

Last post on the NBER growth session. Chang-Tai Hsieh (Chicago) and Enrico Moretti (Berkeley) presented a paper on wage dispersion across cities in the U.S. Wage dispersion (New Yorkers earn more than people in Cleveland) either represents compensation for living costs (housing in New York is more expensive than in Cleveland), a real difference in productivity (New Yorkers are more productive than Clevelanders), or some combination of the two.

What Chang and Enrico find is that the increase in wage dispersion across cities in the U.S. over the last thirty-ish years is due almost entirely to rising house prices in six cities: NY, DC, Boston, San Fran, San Jose, and Seattle. Wages have gone up rapidly in those cities, but that is basically just compensating their citizens for the higher costs of living.

Now, given the costs of living, the allocation of population across cities in the U.S. is…

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Mastermind cat

https://twitter.com/1_BrownEyedBoy/status/558536063770443776

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The Great Escape was very real: infant mortality version

George Stigler on income redistribution policies

Hayek vs. Keynes – Bruce Caldwell

Charles Krauthammer’s Law of American Politics

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One measure of political polarisation in America

Who Said This?

Tony Heller's avatarReal Climate Science

“I am sick and tired of people who say that if you debate and you disagree with this administration somehow you’re not patriotic. We should stand up and say we are Americans and we have a right to debate and disagree with any administration.”

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Robert Lucas on the defining belief of the Left over Left and the Greens

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Nonsensus about the Senate’s non consensus on climate change

curryja's avatarClimate Etc.

by Judith Curry

On the politicization of ‘climate change’.

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The official statement by President Nixon to be read in case the astronauts were stranded on the Moon

https://twitter.com/classicepics/status/558412308318543872

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Voter profiles – utilitarian/instrumental, swinging and expressive | Alex White

I just came across this great blog by Alex White on the three types of voters: utilitarian/instrumental, swinging and expressive. His diagrammatic expressions of them are superb. Most enlightening.

Voter decision making process

His first diagram above shows three consumer types of engagement with a brand: utilitarian, low involvement and expressive.

  • Utilitarian decision making is one that is typically high involvement, but are partly price sensitive;
  • Low involvement buyers do not spend a lot of time researching the features of the product or service, beyond a cursory glance; and
  • Expressive consumers are ones who make in depth purchases where there is a high engagement. Their decision to purchase precedes research. The research itself serves to rationalise the purchase decision. Often, they will feel a relationship with the brand and identify with the brand’s values.

White then overlaps these brand  engagement profiles on voter profiles in the next diagram made up of utilitarian/instrumental, swinging and expressive and then fleshes out these voter types depending on whether they are rusted or swinging.

Voter "policy" usage model

 

  • The rusted-on utilitarian voter votes on a specific issue and are loyal to the party that represents the best fit with that issue. For example, the Greens and forestry, or Labor and education. So long as they view the party as best fitting or addressing their issue, they’ll vote for that party.
  • A swinging utilitarian voter listens to announcements during campaigns, and tries to make a decision based on what is best for them.  These swinging voters are susceptible to the pork barrel promises. Utilitarian voters are sensitive to their expectations being met.
  • The swinging low engagement voter has no party familiarity, no interest in politics, and do not do any assessment of party policies; they make up their mind based on availability of the party on Election Day (so the presence of people handing out how-to-votes is important). They see no difference between parties; they are completely switchable, so there is no brand loyalty. A low involvement voter is really looking at the absence of negatives.
  • The rusted on expressive voter votes to convey their values or beliefs, and often strongly identify with the party, or with a party leader. They are partisans who seek out research or information to justify their support for that party. The have a strong emotional connection to the party, or they may be ideologues and identify with a political philosophy rather than the party.
  • The swinging expressive voter is an ideologue whose voting decision is based on their political ideology. For example, strong environmentalists who support the Greens Party because of their commitment to conservation rather than to the Party itself. The swinging expressive voter may change their vote if they feel a party ceases to represent their value set or beliefs. The expressive voter expectations align with their values or ideology. Their relationship to the party can be very committed, but also very critical. They may tolerate or forgive lapses on policy areas outside the voter’s core values — and they can be passionate advocates.

Alex White has set out a great  topology of voters, and how a political party or lobby group should appeal to different types of voters based on their engagement and information needs.  White is secretary of UnionsACT, the peak body for 33 unionists  Unions in Canberra.

via Voter profiles | Alex White.

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