Megan McArdle wrote a very good list of reasons why Hillary Clinton is not a certainty to be elected President:
- She’s old
- It’s not clear how far she’ll outperform Barack Obama with women.
- I doubt she’ll replicate Obama’s turnout among black voters.
- The Emerging Democratic Majority is questionable.
- She’s not a particularly good candidate – She has never won a tough election.
- All the Clinton baggage is going to come back to haunt her.
- Obama’s approval ratings do not make for long coattails.

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