Hypothetical election results if Garth McVicar were leader of the Conservative Party

Colin Craig has resigned as leader of the Conservative Party. If the head of the Sensible Sentencing Trust Garth McVicar succeeded him and he was to win an electorate seat, the table below shows how the NZ Parliament would have changed at the last general election in 2014.

Party name

Party Votes won

Party seat entitlement

No. of electorate seats won

No. of list MPs

Total MPs

  

% of MPs

ACT New Zealand

0.69%

1

1

0

1

 

0.83%

Conservative

3.97%

5

1

4

5

 

4.13%

Green Party

10.70%

13

0

13

13

 

10.74%

Labour Party

25.13%

31

26

5

31

 

25.62%

Māori Party

1.42%

2

1

1

2

 

1.65%

National Party

47.07%

57

41

16

57

 

47.11%

New Zealand First Party

8.66%

11

0

11

11

 

9.09%

United Future

0.22%

0

1

0

1

*

0.83%

Totals

97.86%

120

71

50

121

  

100.00%

If Garth McVicar was to win an electorate seat, and with no other changes in the party vote in the 2014 election, the National Party would have lost three list MPs, the Labour Party one list MP, which was the list seat of its current leader, and the Greens would lose one list MP – that MP supports homoeopathic medicine as a cure for Ebola.

Little wonder that the National Party doesn’t seem to want the Conservative Party in Parliament as the majority of its seats come off their total and every bill in Parliament will depend upon the Conservative Party support unless they can get the Maori party on board. The Maori party votes against the National Party the majority of time in Parliament.

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