One-time front runner Scott Walker pulled out with large debts. Given that the debates start so much sooner than before, some people will exhaust their donor base and will be forced out by the prospect of excessive debt before anyone votes.
Scott Walker dropped out with his campaign owing $1.6 million nyti.ms/1G8iBSZ via @maggienyt http://t.co/vrTng6XCGC—
NYT Politics (@nytpolitics) October 15, 2015
There are only a few serious candidates in the Republican race anyway. Ben Carson and Donald Trump are silly season candidates but have raised a lot of money.
Trump and Carson will lose support sooner or later. Carly Farina, Jeb Bush and Marco Rubio in the main serious contenders of the rest. My tip is Farina and Rubio will win in the end but I am not sure which one of those two will be the vice presidential nominee. I suspect Rubio.
Here's @pollsterpolls avg since 6/1, w/ less smoothing. 2-pt drop for Trump. Not yet clear whether there's a trend. http://t.co/vrwXNC6hlo—
The Monkey Cage (@monkeycageblog) September 24, 2015
Key pt: Trump's share of coverage matters more than its tone (cc @mattyglesias @jackshafer) washingtonpost.com/blogs/monkey-c… http://t.co/zl8iu2Q21x—
The Monkey Cage (@monkeycageblog) September 29, 2015
Fascinating that GOP activists see no trade-off between conservatism and electability: washingtonpost.com/blogs/monkey-c… http://t.co/uXHHHnFKWp—
The Monkey Cage (@monkeycageblog) October 13, 2015
Here's a new graph of Trump's poll numbers and share of news coverage. For more see: washingtonpost.com/blogs/monkey-c… http://t.co/sdJCQCs5O5—
The Monkey Cage (@monkeycageblog) August 28, 2015
Massive correlation b/t news coverage of GOP candidates & poll #s. Is it causation? See: washingtonpost.com/blogs/monkey-c… http://t.co/sCCvma2uYR—
The Monkey Cage (@monkeycageblog) August 28, 2015
Ben Carson's decline and then surge in the polls tracks media attention. washingtonpost.com/blogs/monkey-c… http://t.co/mrddJMMAc0—
The Monkey Cage (@monkeycageblog) September 03, 2015
Here's some actual evidence on whether voter anger is helping "outsider" candidates. washingtonpost.com/blogs/monkey-c… http://t.co/RaragjjStV—
The Monkey Cage (@monkeycageblog) September 16, 2015
Utopia, you are standing in it! 
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