Before the election, it was commonly assumed that the bias in the electoral system would favour Labour, as it has done since the 1990s. But Tim Smith illustrates how the skew on May 7 actually benefitted the Conservatives and contributed to their unexpected victory.
In the wake of the largely unexpected Conservative election victory, it was said that pollsters and political scientists had a lot of explaining to do after so many incorrect forecasts. However, this author correctly predicted that the Liberal Democrats would do worse than was assumed , and also that the electoral system might well favour the Conservatives for the first time since 1987 which also turned out to be the case. In this blog piece I will explain what has happened and the consequences for the next election.
At this election the two-party bias (or skew) in the electoral system moved from a pro-Labour bias of 54…
View original post 864 more words
Recent Comments