The fragmentation of the US Democratic Party’s field of presidential pre-candidates exaggerates the weakness–real though it is–of the clear front-runner, Joe Biden.
Taking two poll trackers, Economist and FiveThirtyEight, here are those polling at five percent or more:
| Pre-candidate | Economist | FiveThirtyEight |
| Biden | 26 | 27.3 |
| Sanders | 17 | 17.8 |
| Warren | 16 | 14.7 |
| Buttigieg | 8 | 8.0 |
| Bloomberg | 7 | 5.0 |
| (Sub-)total | 74 | 72.8 |
It is noteworthy that even with so many candidates and different methodologies, the two trackers agree on the order. The only really substantial difference between them is in the estimate for Bloomberg. Not shown here, the two trackers also agree in the order of the next three: Yang, Klobuchar, and Booker. After that they diverge on the farther trailing candidates. (Economist has both Gabbard and Steyer at 1% but lists her ahead of him; perhaps we could say they agree on the order of the top ten.)
In the
View original post 733 more words
Utopia, you are standing in it! 
Recent Comments