By ChatGPT-5.2 If Iran’s oil exports alone stopped, the world would feel it, but it would probably be a serious price shock rather than an immediate global supply collapse. Iran has recently been exporting roughly 1.1–1.5 million barrels a day, close to its 2025 average of about 1.69 million barrels a day, with China buying more than 80% of those shipped […]
If Iran stopped exporting oil
If Iran stopped exporting oil
16 Mar 2026 Leave a comment
in business cycles, defence economics, economic growth, energy economics, industrial organisation, international economics, International law, macroeconomics, resource economics, war and peace Tags: Iran
Stagflation, Recession? Probably Not
16 Mar 2026 1 Comment
in defence economics, energy economics, international economics, war and peace Tags: Iran
See Why the Oil Shock Probably Won’t Derail the Economy. And One Way It Might: The U.S. is a net petroleum exporter and productivity is improving, but the bigger risk is stubborn inflation by Greg Ip of The WSJ. Stagflation combines the words stagnation and inflation. If oil prices rise, supply shifts to the left because the…
Stagflation, Recession? Probably Not
Max Hastings believes anti-Israel libel because he saw it at the BBC
15 Mar 2026 Leave a comment
in defence economics, International law, laws of war, war and peace Tags: Gaza Strip, Israel, media bias, Middle-East politics, regressive left, West Bank
The Times published an opinion piece by Max Hastings which includes errors and libels, and is based on a premise so unserious that a gutsy… The post Max Hastings believes anti-Israel libel because he saw it at the BBC appeared first on CAMERA UK.
Max Hastings believes anti-Israel libel because he saw it at the BBC
German Civilians Facing Crimes of the Nazis
15 Mar 2026 1 Comment
in defence economics, International law, laws of war, war and peace Tags: Nazi Germany, The Holocaust, World War II
To say that the Germans were the only ones responsible for the Holocaust would be a mistake. They had plenty of willing helpers in the occupied countries and outside the occupied territory. Regardless of what some governments say nowadays, that their nations had no part to play in the biggest genocide ever committed, they are […]
German Civilians Facing Crimes of the Nazis
Why is Phil Twyford publicly endorsing a Marxist group which supports the Iranian dictatorship?
13 Mar 2026 Leave a comment
in defence economics, International law, laws of war, Marxist economics, war and peace Tags: Iran, Israel, Middle-East politics, regressive left, war against terror
Last night I and a number of NZ Against Hamas members attended what was for me one of the most entertaining events of the last 12 months: a mass protest of a few hundred Kiwi Iranians against a dozen or so elderly communists who turned up to a meeting in Mt Eden War Memorial Hall…
Why is Phil Twyford publicly endorsing a Marxist group which supports the Iranian dictatorship?
Lindbergh’s Loyalties
11 Mar 2026 1 Comment
in defence economics, economic history, politics - USA, war and peace Tags: Nazi Germany, The Holocaust, World War II
The above photograph is from October 1938 of Lindbergh receiving a Silver Cross from Herman Göring, the then-second-highest Nazi official. Below is part of the timeline of the Holocaust up to that point. 1933January 30Adolf Hitler was appointed Chancellor of Germany March 22Dachau concentration camp opens April 1Boycott of Jewish shops and businesses April 7Laws […]
Lindbergh’s Loyalties
Britain has just two days of gas as Middle East flow runs dry
10 Mar 2026 Leave a comment
in defence economics, energy economics Tags: British politics
By Paul Homewood h/t Doug Brodie Britain has as little as two days of gas stored up, raising fears of a potential crisis as supplies from the Middle East dry up. The UK’s gas reserves have shrunk from 18,000 GWh worth last year to 6,700 GWh – enough for just 1.5 days […]
Britain has just two days of gas as Middle East flow runs dry
Democratic Leaders Struggle to Explain Their Past Support for Unilateral Presidential War Powers
09 Mar 2026 Leave a comment
in defence economics, International law, laws of war, politics - USA, war and peace Tags: regressive left
In Rage and the Republic, I quote former Rep. Jaamal Bowman (D., N.Y.) as capturing the essence of an age…
Democratic Leaders Struggle to Explain Their Past Support for Unilateral Presidential War Powers
Selective Outrage and the Erosion of Genocide Meaning
08 Mar 2026 1 Comment
in defence economics, economics of crime, law and economics, laws of war, liberalism, Marxist economics, war and peace
There is something profoundly wrong with a moral culture that shouts genocide at Israel’s war against Hamas while averting its gaze from an actual genocide unfolding in Sudan. Words matter, especially words that name humanity’s gravest crimes. When they are deployed selectively—loudly against one conflict, quietly or not at all against another—they cease to illuminate injustice and instead reveal hypocrisy. […]
Selective Outrage and the Erosion of Genocide Meaning
The Vietnam War and racial integration
07 Mar 2026 Leave a comment
in defence economics, discrimination, economics of love and marriage, politics - USA, war and peace Tags: marriage and divorce, racial discrimination, Vietnam war
The Vietnam draft conscripted hundreds of thousands of young Americans into an integrated military. I combine near-random draft lottery variation with administrative voter data to study the long-run racial integration effects of coerced national service. Black and Native American veterans became more likely to marry white spouses, identify as Republicans, and live in more-integrated neighborhoods.…
The Vietnam War and racial integration
What if Hitler had been killed?
06 Mar 2026 Leave a comment
in defence economics, war and peace Tags: Nazi Germany, The Holocaust, World War II
On July 20, 1944, a group of German officers planned a daring assassination attempt on Adolf Hitler. This attack was part of a broader conspiracy within the German army and administrative elite, known as the July 20 plot or Operation Valkyrie. In the early afternoon, Colonel Claus von Stauffenberg placed a bomb in a briefcase […]
What if Hitler had been killed?
When Rubber Was the Critical Imported Good
05 Mar 2026 Leave a comment
in defence economics, economic history, transport economics, war and peace Tags: World War II
At the start of World War II, the US economy relied almost exclusively on imported rubber as the key material for making, among other things, tires for cars and airplanes. The dependency was well-known, but in April 1942, when Japan cut off the foreign supply, the US was unprepared. Synthetic rubber ended up being part…
When Rubber Was the Critical Imported Good
More Bark Than Bite: Kaine’s War Powers Resolution is an “Imminent” Failure
04 Mar 2026 Leave a comment
in defence economics, International law, laws of war, politics - USA, war and peace Tags: regressive left
We now have a glimpse of the War Powers Resolution promised by Sen. Tim Kaine (D., Va.), which is reportedly…
More Bark Than Bite: Kaine’s War Powers Resolution is an “Imminent” Failure
Iranian women: 1970 vs. 2020
03 Mar 2026 Leave a comment
in defence economics, discrimination, economic history, gender, labour economics, liberalism, Marxist economics Tags: Age of Enlightenment, Iran, sex discrimination
I put something like this up years ago, but it’s a good way to see, with just a few clicks, what happened to Iran after the “Revolution”. Let’s taken women’s dress, a touchstone of misogyny and theocratic oppression. Before the Islamic Revolution of 1979, it was a pretty free country in that respect, and everyone…
Iranian women: 1970 vs. 2020
One view of Iranian strategy
02 Mar 2026 1 Comment
in defence economics, laws of war, politics - USA, war and peace
Some observations and comments on Trump and Israel’s war on Iran: 1. Tehran is not looking for a ceasefire and has rejected outreach from Trump. The reason is that they believe they committed a mistake by agreeing to the ceasefire in June – it only enabled the US and Israel to restock and remobilize to…
One view of Iranian strategy
Utopia, you are standing in it! 
Recent Comments