Can Argentina Be Rescued, Part III

My trip to Argentina last year motivated me to write Part I of this series, which focused on whether things might get better in that tragic country for the simple reason that they couldn’t possibly get any worse. In Part II of this series, I analyzed whether a libertarian candidate’s surprisingly strong performance in Argentina’s […]

Can Argentina Be Rescued, Part III

Lessons from Fighting 100 Inflations Since the 1970s

Inflation rates have come down since their peak in mid-2022. Does the Federal Reserve need to continue its inflation-fighting ways, keeping interest rates high? Anil Ari, Carlos Mulas-Granados, Victor Mylonas, Lev Ratnovski, and WeiZhao of the IMF look to historical and international experience in “One Hundred Inflation Shocks: Seven Stylized Facts” (September 2023, WP/23/190). As…

Lessons from Fighting 100 Inflations Since the 1970s

Really?

It doesn’t seem to have been the best week for the Reserve Bank since the release of the latest Monetary Policy Statement last Wednesday. Of course, one could make a pretty compelling case that in the Orr years few weeks have been, and especially not any weeks when Bank figures actually say or do anything. […]

Really?

Government net debt: how does NZ compare?

In my post yesterday on the new OECD Economic Outlook fiscal numbers I included this chart Even if you leave off the last two observations (OECD projections based on current – Labour government – fiscal policy) recent trends have hardly been something to take any comfort in. But at least we were still a bit […]

Government net debt: how does NZ compare?

Why Argentina’s dollarization is likely to come in sudden, messy ways

Yes, I do still favor it, but here is part of the problem, as I explain in my latest Bloomberg column: The simplest way for Argentina to dollarize would be to inflate the peso even more. For purposes of argument, imagine a peso inflation rate of one billion percent a year. Pesos would be worthless, […]

Why Argentina’s dollarization is likely to come in sudden, messy ways

Review of “Milton Friedman: The Last Conservative” by Jennifer Burns

Milton Friedman: The Last Conservative by Jennifer Burns 592 pages Farrar, Straus and Giroux Published: Nov 2023 Released two weeks ago, Jennifer Burns’s “Milton Friedman: The Last Conservative” is the most significant biography of Friedman ever published. Burns is an associate professor of history at Stanford and a research fellow at the Hoover Institution. She […]

Review of “Milton Friedman: The Last Conservative” by Jennifer Burns

Understanding Fiscal Inflation — Keynote Speech by Eric Leeper

George Selgin on the New Deal and Recovery (and Relief and Reform)

TweetWant to get a few hours’ worth of solid learning in less than 35 enjoyable minutes? Listen to my Mercatus Center colleague David Beckworth’s podcast (from October 2022) with George Selgin on the New Deal. Seriously. It will be 34-plus minutes very well spent. George’s book – False Dawn – is forthcoming from the University…

George Selgin on the New Deal and Recovery (and Relief and Reform)

Milton Friedman: The Last Conservative | Hoover Institution

Filling in the Gaps: Next Steps for the Fiscal Theory of the Price Level

Book Presentation with John Cochrane: “The Fiscal Theory of the Price Le…

Heterogeneous Agent Fiscal Theory

Today, I’ll add an entry to my occasional reviews of interesting academic papers. The paper: “Price Level and Inflation Dynamics in Heterogeneous Agent Economies,” by Greg Kaplan, Georgios Nikolakoudis and Gianluca Violante. One of the many reasons I am excited about this paper is that it unites fiscal theory of the price level with heterogeneous agent…

Heterogeneous Agent Fiscal Theory

Inflation, Deflation and Debt

Does Government Debt Matter Anymore? | Perspectives On Policy

Fiscal Theory of the Price Level – Lecture by John H. Cochrane

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