Edward Prescott on the unimportance of monetary policy

See lecture at https://www.mediatheque.lindau-nobel.org/videos/37267/panel-conditions-monetary-fiscal-policy/laureate-prescott

Edward Prescott, co-recipient of the Nobel Prize in 2004, took a different view in a presentation with the title ‘The Unimportance of Monetary Policy and Financial Crises on Output and Unemployment’. He cited financial crises that saw countries experiencing contrasting outcomes at the same time: the US and Asia in the 2008 crisis; Chile and Mexico in 1980; and Scandinavia and Japan in 1992.

‘Financial crises do not impede development,’ he claimed. While the 2008 financial crisis was localised in North America and the euro area, there was a short recession and quick recovery in Japan, Taiwan and South Korea and no recession in Scandinavia and Australia. ‘Countries where fiscal policy was irresponsible had problems’, he maintained. ‘Fiscal responsibility is crucial: to spend is to tax and to tax is to depress. That’s what happens every time.’

Edward C. Prescott on monetary policy

Monetary policy in the 21st century: An Allan Meltzer perspective

Richard Timberlake Remembers Milton Friedman, Pt. 3

Richard Timberlake Remembers Milton Friedman, Pt. 2

Richard Timberlake Remembers Milton Friedman, Pt. 1

Allan Meltzer on the 1930s Fed’s main concern

From https://books.google.co.nz/books?id=190xVQDRtHAC&printsec=frontcover&dq=A+History+of+the+Federal+Reserve,+Volume+1:+1%E2%80%A6+(Paperback)by+Allan+H.+Meltzer&hl=en&sa=X&ved=0ahUKEwjL-rjN_NPoAhVnH7cAHdbzDjwQ6AEIKDAA#v=onepage&q&f=false

Australia rocketed out of the depression after the Premier’s Plan! NZ did too after cutting everything that could be cut by 20% in 1931

From https://www.brookings.edu/wp-content/uploads/2009/09/2009b_bpea_reinhart.pdf

The 1931 massive fiscal contraction should have slowed the NZ recovery if Keynesian macroeconomics is worth more than a grain of salt

100 years on New Zealand unemployment rates

Novak and Davidson on interwar unemployment

A century of Australian unemployment rates

From https://www.abs.gov.au/ausstats/abs@.nsf/previousproducts/1301.0feature%20article142001

The unemployment rate then increased rapidly to 19.3% in 1930, before reaching a peak of 29.0% in 1932, in response to the economic conditions of the Great Depression. This unprecedented high rate of unemployment persisted for two years, before the unemployment rate fell rapidly to below 10% by 1937.

NZ government cut everything that could be cut by 20% in 1931

Did real business cycle theory ignore depressions?

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Did real business cycle theory ignore depressions?

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