Nonviolent Civil Resistance works: let’s spread the word!

Tina Robiolle's avatarTina Robiolle, PhD

In 2011, Erica Chenowethand Maria Stephanpublished a groundbreaking study on civil resistance, Why Civil Resistance Works, the strategic logic of nonviolent conflict.While the prevailing view is that the most effective means of waging political struggle entails violence, they found that civil resistance campaigns were more than twice as successful in achieving their objectives than violent campaigns. They examined 323 nonviolent and violent campaigns between 1900-2006, involving more than 1,000 people, and that related to a country’s secession, overthrow of a dictatorship or removal of a foreign occupation. They also explore four case studies: Iran, Burma, the Philippines, and the Palestinian Territories.

Another interesting outcome of their study is that the governments of countries where the peaceful resistance took place were far more likely to become or remain stable democracies afterward. The book won several prizes including the 2012 Woodrow Wilson Foundation Award for best book published in…

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Sliced Bread and the Second World War

Creative destruction

Germany: A change to overhang provision in MMP?

msshugart's avatarFruits and Votes

Is Germany about to revoke or modify its provision on “overhang” seats? Evidently there has been a Constitutional Court finding today against the current practice, ((I vaguely recall someone might have mentioned this case in another thread here.)) and there is now a debate about how to respond.

All I know at this point is a not-very-detailed story from The Montreal Gazette that Rob Richie of The Center for Voting and Democracy sent me. (Thanks, Rob!) Here are some excerpts, with the usual journalese about “complex” electoral systems.

Germany’s highest court declared the country’s complex electoral law unconstitutional Wednesday and ordered for it to be overhauled before the next general election…

The current voting system was passed only last year by Chancellor Angela Merkel’s governing coalition in an attempt to satisfy previous criticism by the Federal constitutional Court.

…the constitutional court again criticized that parties which win more seats than…

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Housing poverty

Why has the UK economy been among the worst hit by Covid?

julianhjessop's avatarPlain-speaking Economics

According to the latest official data, the UK has seen a much larger fall in GDP during the pandemic than almost any country in Europe. The worst hit economies are actually Greece and Spain. But the UK appears to have suffered much more than France, Germany, Italy, or Sweden. This needs some explaining.

Let’s deal first with differences in how GDP is measured – and especially the impact of the pandemic on the output of the public sector. I first blogged about this back in August and David Smith was kind enough to quote me at the time. Mike Haynes was also one of the first to explore these issues and continues to do excellent work here. More recently, Ed Conway has picked up on this too.

In short, UK statisticians have put a lot more effort into estimating how much activity actually took place in sectors such as public…

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He’s bellicose, vulgar and – what else? – oh, yes, he won’t be attending the inauguration of Joe Biden

poonzteam5443's avatarPoint of Order

Donald Trump’s awful presidency expires at midday on Wednesday [US time] when Air Force One will have deposited him in Florida. He retreats to his Mar-a-Lago resort and Joseph R Biden Junior takes command of the White House.

Trump’s has been an unpleasant presidency, brought about largely by his own bellicosity, vulgarity and occupation of a different universe while being unable or unwilling to accept advice from all but a rapidly dwindling circle of friends and advisers.

From Day One he argued he would be defeated at the next election only by a rigged ballot with fraudulent voting.  This has been a constant from his swearing-in to his departure – and secured the support of at least 60% of Republican voters.

By last Friday, the White House was nearly empty.  This week only the ghosts and a couple of stalwarts remain.

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We Could Be Vaccinating Twice as Fast. The Government Won’t Allow It.

Why won’t the woke vanguard debate? | Glenn Loury & John McWhorter | The Glenn Show

Carwyn Jones: Is Dicey dicey?

UKCLA's avatarUK Constitutional Law Association

For nearly a hundred and fifty years, parliamentary sovereignty or supremacy (the terms are used interchangeably) has been taken as immutable and unchanging by the UK Parliament and the courts. As devolution has developed, the concept deserves greater examination to see whether the concept is as sound as it has been supposed. 

There is nothing in statute law that defines parliamentary sovereignty. Indeed, before the late Victorian era it had never been expressly advocated in any context. The only mention of anything close to a declaration of sovereignty can be found in the words of the Earl of Shaftesbury who said, in 1689:

The Parliament of England is the supreme and absolute power, which gives life and motion to the English Government 

(Bradley in Jowell et al (eds.) (The Changing Constitution, 6th Edition Oxford University Press) 

There could of course be much debate about what this phraseactuallymeans. So soon…

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TAXPAYER LARGESSE?

The Veteran's avatarNo Minister

The Kingsgate Hotel Autolodge in Paihia is located on a prime site facing Marsden Road, 20 meters from she sea, slap in the middle of any number of motels and apartment buildings and only 100 meters from the wharf and main shopping precinct. It has 113 rooms and markets itself as family friendly boasting a restaurant and bar and large outdoor pool area. Go to their website right now and their cheapest room on offer is priced at $170.

I have it on very good authority that the Hotel has signed a sweetheart deal with MSD to house the homeless. The deal reportedly is for one wing of the Hotel and runs through to 31 March 2021 unless renewed. Whenever the contract is terminated MSD is required to completely refurbish the rooms before handing them back to management.

Not sure that regular paying guests will see this as overly desirable…

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Applies to @AOC @BernieSanders

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#globalwarming #climateemergency

Creative destruction

The hybrid House of Commons: the problems of government control

The Constitution Unit's avatarThe Constitution Unit Blog

For much of last year, the government resisted MPs’ calls for full reinstatement of virtual participation in House of Commons proceedings. In this post, Daniel Gover and Lisa James review the development of the ‘hybrid Commons’. They argue that full virtual participation, including remote voting, must now be reinstated, and that recent events reveal broader problems of government control over the Commons agenda.

Last spring, the House of Commons adapted quickly and successfully to the challenges presented by COVID-19. The so-called ‘hybrid Commons’ – combining in-person proceedings with simultaneous virtual participation – was one of the first responses of its type globally, and widely praised. But within weeks, the government unilaterally abandoned the virtual element, provoking anger amongst backbench MPs and violating the core parliamentary principle of the equality of all members. It was only on 30 December – well over six months later – that virtual participation in…

View original post 1,606 more words

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