Oliver Hartwich writes – In his victory speech, Donald Trump promised Americans a new “golden age”. While he had the numbers to win the election, the economic realities he faces will make delivering on his promise challenging. Trump’s victory reflects many Americans’ frustrations with living standards and inflation during the Biden-Harris administration. Vice President Kamala […]
Trump’s victory: Golden age or fiscal reckoning?
Trump’s victory: Golden age or fiscal reckoning?
14 Nov 2024 Leave a comment
in business cycles, economic growth, fiscal policy, industrial organisation, international economics, labour economics, law and economics, macroeconomics, monetary economics, politics - USA, property rights, public economics Tags: 2024 presidential election
The Second Resistance Movement: Why the Campaign Against Trump This Time is Different
12 Nov 2024 Leave a comment
in politics - USA Tags: 2024 presidential election, free speech, regressive left

Below is my column in The Hill on the growing calls for an organized resistance to the Trump Administration by Democratic governors and prosecutors. They may find, however, that the resistance movement this time around will be facing significant legal and political headwinds. Here is the column:
The Second Resistance Movement: Why the Campaign Against Trump This Time is Different
Curtain Pull: How Trump’s Election Produced a Moment of Unintended Honesty
11 Nov 2024 Leave a comment
in politics - USA Tags: 2024 presidential election

Below is my column in Fox.com on the response of media figures to the Trump victory on election night. The meltdown was a moment of honesty for some in revealing the bias harbored by many in the industry. That curtain pull offered a glimpse of the Great Oz that some will be difficult to unsee. […]
Curtain Pull: How Trump’s Election Produced a Moment of Unintended Honesty
Prediction Markets for the Win
10 Nov 2024 Leave a comment
in applied price theory, financial economics, politics - USA Tags: 2024 presidential election
The prediction markets predicted the election outcome more accurately and more quickly than polls or other forecasting methods, just as expected from decades of research. In this election, however, many people discounted the prediction markets because of large trades on Polymarket. Paul Krugman, for example, wrote: Never mind the prediction markets, which are thin and […]
Prediction Markets for the Win
10 Reasons Why Trump Won- Part 2
09 Nov 2024 Leave a comment
in politics - USA Tags: 2024 presidential election
Yesterday I covered the first 5 reasons why Trump won. Here are the last 5. 6. Greatly improved Republican ground game There are four areas where Republican efforts more closely matched or even exceeded those of the Democrats whereas in all four, GOP campaigns in 2020 were significantly outspent and outsmarted: Donald Trump began labeling […]
10 Reasons Why Trump Won- Part 2
Behold The Flying Dutchman: Trump Prosecutors Find Themselves on Listless Ships Without a Port of Call
09 Nov 2024 Leave a comment
in economics of crime, law and economics, politics - USA Tags: 2024 presidential election

Below is my column in The Hill on the collapse of the lawfare campaigns against Trump. The first to go will likely be the two cases by Special Counsel Jack Smith, who became a lame-duck prosecutor at around 2:30 am last Wednesday. We are also waiting for what is likely to be a reduction or […]
Behold The Flying Dutchman: Trump Prosecutors Find Themselves on Listless Ships Without a Port of Call
President-Elect Trump’s Climate/Energy Policy: 100-Day Action Plan a Good Start
09 Nov 2024 Leave a comment
in energy economics, environmental economics, global warming, politics - USA Tags: 2024 presidential election
“Good news indeed! Energy cuts are easy cuts compared to the hard budget choices that lie ahead in the transition from statism and stagnation to a vibrant, coordinated, expanding entrepreneurial economy.”
President-Elect Trump’s Climate/Energy Policy: 100-Day Action Plan a Good Start
A Shift in Time Saves Nine: How The Trump Election Impacts the Supreme Court
09 Nov 2024 Leave a comment
in law and economics, politics - USA Tags: 2024 presidential election, constitutional law

Below is my column in Fox.com on the impact of the reelection of Donald Trump and the flipping of the Senate for the Supreme Court. The election may have proven one of the most critical for the Court in its history. Here is the column:
A Shift in Time Saves Nine: How The Trump Election Impacts the Supreme Court
10 Reasons Why Trump Won- Part 1
08 Nov 2024 Leave a comment
in politics - USA Tags: 2024 presidential election
Before I cover the first 5 points, I will cover an important point by way of an introduction as it overlays all these reasons and that is that a big reason why Donald Trump won and won convincingly is because of a series of unique skills that Trump brings to the table. For his opponents […]
10 Reasons Why Trump Won- Part 1
The Thrill is Gone: Will the Prosectorial Campaigns Collapse with the Political Campaigns Against Trump?
07 Nov 2024 Leave a comment
in economics of crime, law and economics, politics - USA Tags: 2024 presidential election
Below is my column in the New York Post on the developments in the pending Trump cases. I previously wrote that, if Trump prevailed in this election, it was likely that Special Counsel Jack Smith would “not see a jury in either of his cases.” This morning, Smith is reportedly in discussions on the possible […]
The Thrill is Gone: Will the Prosectorial Campaigns Collapse with the Political Campaigns Against Trump?
Climate policy: Trump could quit Paris agreement – again
06 Nov 2024 1 Comment
in economics of climate change, energy economics, environmental economics, environmentalism, global warming, International law, politics - USA Tags: 2024 presidential election

All change for climate and energy policy again in the US as Trump declares victory in the Presidential election. A severe downgrade for government alarmism and linked policies looks inevitable. – – – Former President Trump has promised to take the US out of the Paris climate agreement – as he did briefly during his […]
Climate policy: Trump could quit Paris agreement – again
Here We Go: No Pennsylvania Results For Several Days!
05 Nov 2024 Leave a comment
in politics - USA Tags: 2024 presidential election, LBJ

This bullshit again! India, with 1.4 billion people, can deliver election results in a day, as can most of the Western world. But the key state of Pennsylvania apparently cannot. If you want to know why this is suspicious read the 2nd volume of Robert Caro’s wonderful autobiography of LBJ, Means of Ascent. In the […]
Here We Go: No Pennsylvania Results For Several Days!
Nate Silver’s 24 reasons Trump could win
03 Nov 2024 Leave a comment
in politics - USA Tags: 2024 presidential election
Nate Silver has written an interesting post giving 24 reasons why Trump could (not will) win. He is making the case it is not Kamala’s to lose, but hers to win, as so many factors favour Trump. His 24 are: An excellent and insightful list.
Nate Silver’s 24 reasons Trump could win
Dumpster Fire: White House Press Office Faced Internal Criticism Over the Rewriting of President Biden’s Garbage Comments
02 Nov 2024 Leave a comment
in politics - USA Tags: 2024 presidential election

Since the “Let’s Go, Brandon” incident, the media has been repeatedly accused of reframing news or rewriting words to benefit the President or the Biden-Harris Administration. This week, the White House Press Office and various media outlets like Politico and MSNBC have been ridiculed for denying that President Joe Biden called Trump supporters “garbage.” It […]
Dumpster Fire: White House Press Office Faced Internal Criticism Over the Rewriting of President Biden’s Garbage Comments
The Nation endorses Kamala Harris, but its interns object: “We cannot vote our way out of this genocide”
02 Nov 2024 Leave a comment
in defence economics, economics of crime, International law, law and economics, laws of war, liberalism, Marxist economics, politics - USA, Rawls and Nozick, war and peace Tags: 2024 presidential election, free speech, Gaza Strip, Middle-East politics, regressive left, useful idiots, war against terror

Well, I’ll be. The group of interns at the left-wing The Nation have objected to the magazine’s recent endorsement of Kamala Harris and published their gripes. Now why would that happen? We all know that many editors and reporters at the Washington Post objected to the paper’s failure to endorse Kamala Harris, but this kind of […]
The Nation endorses Kamala Harris, but its interns object: “We cannot vote our way out of this genocide”
Recent Comments