@KayHymowitz i find it passing strange that counter-culturals left like Winner now are the most reactionary.. http://t.co/hj2MEc4Buu—
Old Whig (@aClassicLiberal) April 06, 2015
The essence of the Left over Left
12 Jun 2015 Leave a comment
in liberalism, politics - Australia, politics - New Zealand, politics - USA Tags: expressive voting, Green Left, Leftover Left, political correctness, rational irrationality, Twitter left
Irrational nonsense mapped
12 Jun 2015 Leave a comment
in health economics, liberalism, politics - Australia, politics - New Zealand, politics - USA Tags: anti-vaccination movement, antifluoridation movement, antiscience left, BlackBerry, conjecture and refutation, conspiracy theories, conspiracy theorists, expressive voting, infotopia, rational ignorance, rational irrationality
Formal carbon pricing initiatives around the world
11 Jun 2015 Leave a comment
in environmental economics, global warming Tags: bootleggers and baptists, carbon pricing, carbon tax, expressive voting, global warming, green rent seeking
#Carbonpricing is expanding w/ initiatives now valued at nearly $50 bil: wrld.bg/NBuz0 http://t.co/qELgE97i1p—
World Bank Pubs (@WBPubs) May 29, 2015
Carbon pricing expanded in the last 18 months. New report shows where & how: wrld.bg/Nrhsq http://t.co/D4uQtjl6EZ—
IFC (@IFC_org) May 27, 2015
What it would take for the US to run on 100% renewable energy
10 Jun 2015 Leave a comment
in energy economics, environmental economics, global warming, politics - USA Tags: expressive voting, geothermal power, hydroelectric power, rational ignorance, rational irrationality, renewable energy, solar power, tidal power, wind power
How do presidential candidates spend $1 billion?
10 Jun 2015 Leave a comment
in politics - USA, Public Choice Tags: campaign finance regulation, expressive voting, rational ignorance, rational irrationality
The price, output and acreage effects of a GMO ban
08 Jun 2015 Leave a comment
in development economics, economics of regulation, environmental economics, growth disasters, growth miracles, health economics, politics - Australia, politics - New Zealand, politics - USA, population economics, technological progress Tags: agricultural economics, expressive voting, extreme poverty, global hunger, global poverty, GMOs, Left-wing hypocrisy, rational ignorance, rational irrationality, The Great Fact
Organic farming is a gift….
facebook.com/welovegv http://t.co/iu8Jq0KcHD—
C. S. Prakash (@AgBioWorld) June 05, 2015
Projected increases in corn and soy prices in a world without GMOs
ageconsearch.umn.edu/bitstream/2049… http://t.co/PNydjpl59K—
C. S. Prakash (@AgBioWorld) June 08, 2015
If you outlaw GMOs, be prepared to bring millions of acres of forest land, cropland & pasture under farming http://t.co/H9ftkxhXYe—
C. S. Prakash (@AgBioWorld) June 08, 2015
If GMOs are banned today in the US, what would be the crop yield reduction? http://t.co/pEn73PODcR—
C. S. Prakash (@AgBioWorld) June 08, 2015
"accelerating" global warming is now touted as "no slow down”
06 Jun 2015 Leave a comment
in environmental economics, global warming Tags: climate alarmism, conjecture and refutation, expressive voting, global warming
What once was once touted as "accelerating" #globalwarming is now touted as "no slow down." Science evolves! @CatoCSS http://t.co/KMbnzJFM9p—
Chip Knappenberger (@PCKnappenberger) June 05, 2015
Deranged conspiracy theories versus the domestic political reality of the Indonesian resumption of executions
05 Jun 2015 Leave a comment
in development economics, economics of crime, law and economics, politics - Australia Tags: Australia, capital punishment, conspiracy theories, crime and punishment, expressive voting, Indonesia, left-wing condescension, Left-wing hypocrisy, Leftover Left, rational ignorance, rational irrationality
The Australian human rights commissioner has put forward a bizarre conspiracy theory linking the recent execution of two drug traffickers in Indonesia to the Australian policy of turning back refugee boats.

Ignorance and condescension of Indonesian domestic politics is prevalent among the left wing elite in Australia.
Indonesia started executions again under the new president after a long hiatus and in particular for death sentences for narcotics drug trafficking. Indonesia had an unofficial moratorium on the death penalty between 2008 and 2012 but resumed executions in 2013. Executions were infrequent.
The new president was recently elected on a platform of being tough on crime and in particular on drug trafficking and the 64 drug traffickers currently on death row:
[The clemency requests] are not on my table yet. But I guarantee that there will be no clemency for convicts who committed narcotics-related crimes
Secondly, making concessions to Australia does not win votes in Indonesia which is a democracy. Thirdly, a range of foreigners are on death row in Indonesia. The best way to have kept those two Australians alive was to say nothing so hopefully they are not moved up in the queue to spite Australia to win domestic political points.
Fourthly, someone of her legal training should be better at spinning conspiratorially yarns than this particularly weak work of imagination.
A Quick Question for All Advocates of Minimum Wages
31 May 2015 Leave a comment
in applied price theory, comparative institutional analysis, constitutional political economy, labour economics, minimum wage Tags: expressive voting, rational irrationality
The Green vote can only head south under James Shaw or why he must win Wellington Central
30 May 2015 Leave a comment
in politics - New Zealand, Public Choice Tags: expressive voting, James Shaw, New Zealand Greens, New Zealand Labour Party, rational ignorance, rational irrationality, swinging voter, tactical voting, vote parking
The New Zealand Greens have elected a new male co-leader. James Shaw is a first term MP who is supposed to consolidate and build the green vote from 10%. At the last election, the Greens were targeting a 15% party vote. Their vote fell from 11.1% to 10.7%.
I doubt that he can do it because much of the improvement of the Green vote since the 2005 election has been an expense of the Labour Party.
The Green vote was pretty sickly at 5-7% when the Labour Party was popular in government between 1999 and 2005. In the 2005 election, the Greens failed to reach the 5% party vote threshold necessary to win seats in Parliament on election night. It was only saved by absentee and postal votes that pushed its party vote up to 5.3%.
Maybe 30% of the Green vote, perhaps more, is made up of disgruntled Labour Party voters awaiting the call home. These disgruntled Labour voters will vote for the Labour Party again when it is fit for government.
Once there is a Labour–Green government in New Zealand, the Green vote faces the recurring theme that green parties lose a substantial part of their vote whenever they get into government such as happened federally in Australia and in Tasmania.
If the Greens go into government with about 7% of the party vote in the 2017 or 2020 New Zealand general elections, the Greens face the real prospect of of being voted out of Parliament completely in the 2023 New Zealand general election if their vote drops below 5%.
James Shaw happened to run for the Wellington Central electorate in the 2014 general election. He did not ask for the electorate vote in that election. Only the party vote.
Wellington Central has one of the highest green party votes in New Zealand. The Green party vote is 2000 more than Labour’s party vote in Wellington Central although the National Party won the party vote with 14,000 party votes.
Given the fact that the Greens may dropped below 5% by 2020, James Shaw would be wise to try to win Wellington Central in 2017 as a safety margin. If a party wins electorate seat under MMP, their party vote counts towards winning list MPs even if they win less than 5% of the party vote.
To add a twist to the tail, the deputy leader of the Labour Party, Grant Robertson, is the sitting member for Wellington Central with a margin of 8000 votes. If the current leader of the opposition fails at his job, Grant Robertson is his natural replacement.
There’s not much room at the top of the Labour Party list for defeated electoral seat candidates because of the last election Labour’s party vote was so low that it was only eligible for five list MPs. The last of these was the current leader of the opposition prove wasn’t even elected on election night but got back into Parliament on postal and absentee votes.
To complicate Grant Robinson’s golden parachute even further, the Labour Party has a policy that 50% of its caucus should be female by 2017 and the party list should be drawn up with that gender quota in mind. Grant Robertson may be a victim of this policy if he does not win Wellington Central.
More than a few careers hinge on the election of James Shaw as male co-leader of the Greens including the very survival of his party. It would be a tight race, but James Shaw could win Wellington Central.
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The first citizen initiated binding referenda will be on…
29 May 2015 Leave a comment
in comparative institutional analysis, constitutional political economy, politics - New Zealand, Public Choice Tags: citizen initiated referendums, Colin Craig, Conservative Party, Edmund Burke, expressive voting, Joseph Schumpeter, parliamentary sovereignty, rational ignorance, rational irrationality
The Conservative Party of New Zealand in the 2014 general election was very much formed around the notion of introducing citizen initiated binding referendums in a country with the Parliament is sovereign. The first referendum is likely to be on one of the following:
· decriminalising marijuana,
· banning smoking,
· voluntary euthanasia,
· a living wage,
· life means life in prison,
· same-sex marriages,
· marriage is between a man and a woman,
· entrenching the Treaty of Waitangi,
· abolishing the Maori seats,
· entrenching the Maori seats,
· stop school closures, and
· capital punishment; and
· future referendums not be binding
Binding referenda are unworkable. Parliament can’t amend them later as we learn from the implementation of the law and unintended consequences arise. Every new law is riddled with unintended consequences and blow-backs.
Do you really want to have to have another referendum to undo a binding referendum that turned out to be a bit of a mistake? One of the few redeeming features of the Parliament that is sovereign – a parliament for can make or unmake any law whatsoever – is it can repeal its mistakes quickly.
The first citizens initiated referendum was held on 2 December 1995. The question was
Should the number of professional fire-fighters employed full-time in the New Zealand Fire Service be reduced below the number employed in 1 January 1995?
Turnout was low as the referendum was not held in conjunction with a general election, and the measure was voted down easily, with just over 12% voting “Yes” and almost 88% voting “No”.
The key to constitutional design is not empowering you and yours – it is how to restrain those crazies to the Left or the Right of you, as the case may be, when they get their hands on the levers of power, as they surely will in three, six or nine years’ time.
The one inevitability of democracy is power rotates – unbridled power and binding referenda lose their shine when you must share that power with the opposing side of politics who put up their own referendum question.
Constitutions are brakes, not accelerators. Much of constitutional design is about checks and balances and the division of power to slow the impassioned majority down.
Constitutional constraints are basically messages from the past to the present that you must think really hard, and go through extra hurdles before you do certain things.
The 18th and 19th century classical liberals were highly sceptical about the capability and willingness of politics and politicians to further the interests of the ordinary citizen, and were of the view that the political direction of resource allocation retards rather than facilitates economic progress.
Governments were considered to be institutions to be protected from but made necessary by the elementary fact that all persons are not angels. Constitutions were to constrain collective authority.
The problem of constitutional design was ensuring that government powers would be effectively limited. The constitutions were designed and put in place by the classical liberals to check or constrain the power of the state over individuals.
The motivating force of the classical liberals was never one of making government work better or even of insuring that all interests were more fully represented. Built in conflict and institutional tensions were to act as constraints on the power and the size of government.
Representative democracy is a division of labour in the face of information overload. John Stuart Mill had sympathy for parliaments as best suited to be places of public debate on the various opinions held by the population and as a watchdog of the professionals who create and administer laws and policy:
Their part is to indicate wants, to be an organ for popular demands, and a place of adverse discussion for all opinions relating to public matters, both great and small; and, along with this, to check by criticism, and eventually by withdrawing their support, those high public officers who really conduct the public business, or who appoint those by whom it is conducted.
Representative democracy has the advantage of allowing the community to rely in its decision-making on the contributions of individuals with special qualifications of intelligence or character. Representative democracy makes a more effective use of resources within the citizenry to advance the common good.
Members of parliament are trustees who follow their own understanding of the best action to pursue in another view. As Edmund Burke wrote:
Parliament is not a congress of ambassadors from different and hostile interests; which interests each must maintain, as an agent and advocate, against other agents and advocates; but parliament is a deliberative assembly of one nation, with one interest, that of the whole; where, not local purposes, not local prejudices ought to guide, but the general good, resulting from the general reason of the whole.
You choose a member indeed; but when you have chosen him, he is not a member of Bristol, but he is a member of parliament. … Our representative owes you, not his industry only, but his judgment; and he betrays instead of serving you if he sacrifices it to your opinion.
Modern democracy is government subject to electoral checks. Citizens do have sufficient knowledge and sophistication to vote out leaders who are performing poorly or contrary to their wishes. Modern democracy is the power to replace governments at periodic elections.
The power of the electorate to turn elected officials out of office at the next election gives elected officials an incentive to adopt policies that do not outrage public opinion and administer the policies with some minimum honesty and competence.
Richard Posner argued that a representative democracy enables the adult population, at very little cost in time, money or distraction from private pursuits commercial or otherwise:
- to punish at least the flagrant mistakes and misfeasance of officialdom,
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to assure an orderly succession of at least minimally competent officials,
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to generate feedback to the officials concerning the consequences of their policies,
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to prevent officials from (or punish them for) entirely ignoring the interests of the governed, and
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to prevent serious misalignments between government action and public opinion.
Enough of politics and elections, I have a life to lead. Don’t you? Too many want to remake democracy with the faculty workshop as their model.
Such deliberation has demanding requirements for popular participation in the democratic process, including a high level of knowledge and analytical sophistication and an absence, or at least severe curtailment, of self-interested motive. The same goes for citizen initiated binding referendums.
The reading comprehension level of State of the Union Addresses
29 May 2015 Leave a comment
in economics of education, economics of media and culture, human capital, politics - USA Tags: expressive voting, literacy levels, rational ignorance, rational irrationality
Bill Shorten on why the Greens do not win working class votes
25 May 2015 Leave a comment
in politics - Australia, politics - New Zealand, Public Choice Tags: Australian Greens, Australian Labor Party, expressive voting, Inner-city Left, New Zealand Greens, voter demographics
The Labor Party on why the Greens do not win working class votes
24 May 2015 Leave a comment
in politics - Australia, politics - New Zealand, Public Choice, rentseeking Tags: animal rights, Australian Greens, do gooders, expressive voting, New South Wales election, New Zealand Greens, voter demographics, workers rights

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