Daron Acemoglu: Robotics, AI, and the Future of Work

The robots are coming fallacy explained

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Deirdre McCloskey: Why You Should Not Worry about Technological Unemployment

Yesteryear’s robots came for many more jobs

Another job taken by robots

Daron Acemoglu: Technology and Unemployment

The robots to get everybody’s jobs and then some 150 years ago

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Source: Economics in One Lesson, The Lesson Applied, The Curse of Machinery.

From Economics in One Lesson

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The tractors are coming, the tractors are coming for all the horses

Many new technologies display long adoption lags, and this is often interpeted as evidence of frictions inconsistent with the standard neoclassical model. We study the diffusion of the tractor in American agriculture between 1910 and 1960 — a well known case of slow diffusion — and show that the speed of adoption was consistent with the predictions of a simple neoclassical growth model.

The reason for the slow rate of diffusion was that tractor quality kept improving over this period and, more importantly, that only when wages increased did it become relatively unprofitable to operate the alternative, labor-intensive, horse technology

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Source: Frictionless Technology Diffusion: The Case of Tractors By RODOLFO E. MANUELLI AND ANANTH SESHADRI

Will automation take away all our jobs?

The robots came in the 1950s for all our jobs

The robots are coming have got nothing on the mid 20th century in terms of man being replaced by a machine.

One of my favourite scenes from Apollo 13 happens to be online. Tom Hanks and the Apollo 13 crew and ground control were using slide rules to make the critical calculations about re-entry trajectories. That had not been automated in 1969.

I went to high school just after slide rules were replaced by simple calculators.

I am reading some great essays from the 1960s at the moment about the great fear that people had from the computer entering the factory.

The reason for claiming that this time it was different was computed could automate calculations millions of times faster than people could. The computer could monitor and react to events without human intervention as Yale Brozen explained in the mid-60s

The hallmarks of automation, to distinguish it from mechanization or automatic
methods, are its sensing, feed-back, and self-adjusting characteristics. Because it senses changing requirements and adjusts without human intervention, it presumably does away with the need for human attendants or human labor. This is very fearful indeed to those who depend upon jobs for their livelihood.

The Race between Machine and Man Daron Acemoglu

The robots were coming even bigger time in the Wealth of Nations

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Source: Economics in One Lesson, The Lesson Applied, The Curse of Machinery

Alchian and Allen on whether the robots are coming

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What is a Luddite?

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