Evaluating Public Programs with Close Substitutes: The Case of Head Start

ozidar's avatarowenzidar

An interesting paper from Pat Kline and Chris Walters:

This paper empirically evaluates the cost-effectiveness of Head Start, the largest early- childhood education program in the United States. Using data from the randomized Head Start Impact Study (HSIS), we show that Head Start draws a substantial share of its participants from competing preschool programs that receive public funds. This both attenuates measured experimental impacts on test scores and reduces the program’s net social costs. A cost-benefit analysis demonstrates that accounting for the public savings associated with reduced enrollment in other subsidized preschools can reverse negative assessments of the program’s social rate of return. Estimates from a semi-parametric selection model indicate that Head Start is about as effective at raising test scores as competing preschools and that its impacts are greater on children from families unlikely to participate in the program. Efforts to expand Head Start to new populations are therefore…

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The Great Pause lengthens again

Adam Smith on government business enterprises

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Murray Rothbard on statistics as the eyes and ears of government

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The American business cycle

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How to stall Cabinet ministers – Yes Minister

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Michelle Malkin | My trip to the pot shop

via http://michellemalkin.com/2014/03/25/my-trip-to-the-pot-shop/

What is a GMO?

Ronald Coase on Adam Smith and the meaning of competition

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Rothbard on the European Union

The curious attitude of government owned businesses to rising demand

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Why Crime Keeps Falling – James Q. Wilson

One obvious answer is that many more people are in prison than in the past.

Experts differ on the size of the effect, but I think that William Spelman and Steven Levitt have it about right in believing that greater incarceration can explain about one-quarter or more of the crime decline…

Imprisonment’s crime-reduction effect helps to explain why the burglary, car-theft and robbery rates are lower in the U.S. than in England.

The difference results not from the willingness to send convicted offenders to prison, which is about the same in both countries, but in how long America keeps them behind bars. For the same offense, you will spend more time in prison here than in England.

Still, prison can’t be the sole reason for the recent crime drop in this country: Canada has seen roughly the same decline in crime, but its imprisonment rate has been relatively flat for at least two decades.

Another possible reason for reduced crime is that potential victims may have become better at protecting themselves by equipping their homes with burglar alarms, putting extra locks on their cars and moving into safer buildings or even safer neighborhoods.

Policing has become more disciplined over the last two decades; these days, it tends to be driven by the desire to reduce crime, rather than simply to maximize arrests, and that shift has reduced crime rates…

Another shift that has probably helped to bring down crime is the decrease in heavy cocaine use in many states.

via Why Crime Keeps Falling – WSJ.

The relative risks of nuclear and other energy sources

Behind on my anti-vaccination movement blogging

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Who still watches TV

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