From The NEP-HIS Blog: Fifty Years of Growth in American Consumption, Income, and Wages

ehs1926's avatarThe Long Run

Fifty Years of Growth in American Consumption, Income, and Wages By Bruce Sacerdote (Darmouth) Abstract: Despite the large increase in U.S. income inequality, consumption for families at the 25th and 50th percentiles of income has grown steadily over the time period 1960-2015. The number of cars per household with below median income has doubled since […]

via Is the Glass Half Full?: Positivist Views on American Consumption — The NEP-HIS Blog

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The lab rats fight back once again against randomised controlled trials

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Richard Sander on affirmative action and education mismatch

May 1943: Climax in the Atlantic I

MSW's avatarWeapons and Warfare

Cobb, Charles David; The 1943 Climax of the Atlantic Convoy War No.2; National Museum of the Royal Navy, Portsmouth; http://www.artuk.org/artworks/the-1943-climax-of-the-atlantic-convoy-war-no-2-116426

Before examining the May convoy battles, it is worth noting another result of the ORU’s work. (Blackett had become Director, Naval Operational Research.) It was appreciated that the number of escort ships with a convoy reduced the loss rate and that air cover of about eight hours a day decreased ship losses by a third. However:

Since it was by no means safe to rely on the increase of air support to stop the crippling ship losses of the autumn of 1942, an energetic search was made for some other measures which could be put into operation quickly. Detailed attention was given, therefore, to the organizational aspects of the Atlantic convoy system. Perhaps some alteration in the organization of the convoys might conceivably improve the situation.

Hitherto, organization of convoys…

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Affirmative Action and Its Mythology – Fryer and Loury

From https://www.aeaweb.org/articles?id=10.1257/089533005774357888

Ocean carbon uptake widely underestimated, say researchers

oldbrew's avatarTallbloke's Talkshop

The ocean carbon cycle [credit: IAEA]
Shockingly – for some – nature’s ocean carbon cycle is functioning quite well, despite constant attempts by feckless humans to undermine it [/sarc]. Time to revisit those troublesome computer models yet again.
– – –
The world’s oceans soak up more carbon than most scientific models suggest, according to new research, reports Phys.org.

Previous estimates of the movement of carbon (known as “flux”) between the atmosphere and oceans have not accounted for temperature differences at the water’s surface and a few metres below.

The new study, led by the University of Exeter, includes this—and finds significantly higher net flux of carbon into the oceans.

It calculates CO2 fluxes from 1992 to 2018, finding up to twice as much net flux in certain times and locations, compared to uncorrected models.

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Reality Check: Green Energy Fantasies Threaten Post COVID Economic Recovery

stopthesethings's avatarSTOP THESE THINGS

There’s debate over which did more harm: the coronavirus or government policy responses to it. But there’s no argument that our economic recovery requires reliable and affordable electricity. Which means that the current arguments about recharging economies using heavily subsidised and chaotically intermittent wind and solar are as dangerous as they are delusional.

Ross McKitrick makes the point that, if subsidised renewables didn’t make economic sense the lockdowns were enforced, they make even less sense now.

Ditch the fashionable green recovery plans
Financial Post
Ross McKitrick
19 August 2020

Green technologies that were known money-losers before the pandemic are still money-losers today.

There’s a curious idea floating around that the COVID crisis undid the principles of economics. Nobody puts it exactly like that, but it’s implied in the various proposals for restructuring the post-pandemic economy so that it will look very different from the one we experienced up to the…

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The doomsday lies of climate activists never stop

JAMES SHAW … DAMAGED GOODS

The Veteran's avatarNo Minister

Just returned from a couple of days in Wellington. Boy, you need to look no further than our airports to see the effect of the lock-down on the economy. Both Auckland and Wellington terminals were dead. 5 pm on Friday night in Wellington and you would expect the Koru lounge to be rocking … twas less than half full. When I got to the Auckland Regional lounge just before 7 and just 8 persons there in a facility catering for 150. I digress.

James … when you’re in a hole stop digging. Your latest attempt to shift the blame for your deliberate decision to fund the Green (Party) Private School by claiming that the Education Minister gave his tacit endorsement to the grant keeps giving the story legs. Charitable interpretation … you heard what you wanted to hear and didn’t hear it very well. Less charitable interpretation … either you…

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HIS TRUTH IS MARCHING ON: JOHN LEWIS AND THE POWER OF HOPE by Jon Meacham

szfreiberger's avatarDoc's Books

Martin Luther King Jr. with John Lewis at Mass Meeting in Nashville

Reverend Martin Luther King Jr., center right, is escorted into a mass meeting at Fisk University along with Student Nonviolent Coordinating Committee chair John Lewis, left, and Lester Mckinnie, center, in Nashville, Tenn., in 1964.Bettmann Archive/Getty ImagesJuly 21,

When John R. Lewis died recently, part of America’s conscience passed with him. With all the turbulence, chaos, lies, and antipathy toward race that is endemic to the Trump administration it makes every day difficult. A case in point was yesterday in Kenosha, WI when Trump refused to acknowledge the shooting of Jacob Blake by police and his subsequent paralysis or his support for Kyle Rittenhouse, the seventeen year old AR-15 carrying killer of two men. For me this has led to despair as I do not see a way out of America’s current condition with a “serial igniter” when it comes to race. Trump and his acolytes blame everyone but their…

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@caseybmulligan on @paulkrugman’s unwitting usefulness

September 4, 1870: Emperor Napoleon III of France is deposed and the Third Republic is declared.

liamfoley63's avatarEuropean Royal History

Napoleon III (Charles-Louis Napoléon Bonaparte; April 20, 1808 – January 9, 1873), the nephew of Napoleon I, was the first president of France, from 1848 to 1852, and the last French monarch, from 1852 to 1870. First elected president of the French Second Republic in 1848, he seized power by force in 1851, when he could not constitutionally be re-elected, and became the emperor of the French. He founded the Second French Empire and was its only emperor until the defeat of the French Army and his capture by Prussia and its allies in the Franco-Prussian War in 1870. He worked to modernize the French economy, rebuilt the center of Paris, expanded the French overseas empire, and engaged in the Crimean War and the Second Italian War of Independence.

037D32F2-6613-47C1-889B-3F39F62A5505

The Battle of Sedan was a total disaster for the French—the army surrendered to the Prussians and Napoleon himself was made a…

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10 ideas from Good Reasons for Bad Feelings – Insights from the Frontier of Evolutionary Psychiatry

Diana's avatarDIANAVERSE

Good Reasons for Bad Feelings by Randy Nesse examines emotions and mental illness from an evolutionary psychology perspective. I was really excited about reading this book because Nesse’s Why We Get Sick had a huge impact on me when I read it as an undergrad, encouraging me to think of the intersection between health psychology and evolutionary psychology. Here is a good primer on Darwinian Medicine from around that time.

Last month I had this discussion on free will versus determinism with Gena Gorlin, a clinical psychologist who expressed a great deal of skepticism about an evolutionary approach to clinical psychology and mental health in our conversation. I was reminded that, in the therapeutic community, an evolutionary perspective is often considered wrongheaded, counterproductive and offensive to human dignity.

Good Reasons for Bad Feelings is essential reading for anyone interested in how an evolutionary perspective improves our thinking about mental health…

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A Monarchy Transformed: Britain 1603-1714 by Mark Kishlansky (1996) 7 – the reign of James II

Simon's avatarBooks & Boots

Because King Charles II died in February 1685 without a son and heir – without, in fact, any legitimate children from his marriage to Catherine of Braganza – the throne passed automatically to his brother, James Duke of York, who ascended the throne as King James II.

James was a professed Roman Catholic and a zealous reformer. He wished to lift the multiple legal restrictions which had been placed on his fellow Catholics and, as a balancing gesture, to lift legal constraints on the Puritans and non-conforming Protestant sects. However, within three short years he managed to alienate almost every party and profession in the country, and especially the powerful Whig politicians.

The crisis came to a head over two big issues. First James made the error of trying seven Anglican bishops for seditious libel. To be precise, in April 1688, encouraged by the Quaker leader William Penn with whom…

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VICE tries desperately to smear Steve Pinker

whyevolutionistrue's avatarWhy Evolution Is True

The very title of this VICE Motherboard piece (click on screenshot below) is part of a multifaceted attempt to smear Steve Pinker, calling him a “free speech crusader” who nevertheless has blocked people on Twitter who connected his name with Epstein.

And the smear continues in the first paragraph, implying that somehow this blocking is abrogating people’s free speech:

Harvard professor and author Steven Pinker, who previously railed against “cancel culture,” is blocking anyone on Twitter who mentions his connections to Jeffrey Epstein, the financier who was charged with organizing a child sex trafficking ring before being found dead in his jail cell shortly after his arrest last year.

Note the double mention already of “free speech” and opposition to “cancel culture,” all of which is meant to imply that Pinker is somehow hypocritical in blocking people on his Twitter feed. But that is ludicrous. Favoring free speech does not…

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