Michael D. Bordo: An Historical Perspective on the Quest for Financial Stability

“The Family in the 21st Century,” Valerie Ramey

Were the #COVID19 Lockdowns a Mistake?

Can the Government Spend Us To Prosperity with Valerie Ramey

#COVID19: Is the government really ‘following the science’? – BBC Newsnight

Edward C. Prescott on monetary policy

Evidence based policy is a dangerous myth

Image

Dr. Ioannidis on Why We Don’t Have Reliable Data Surrounding COVID-19

Johan Giesecke, one of the world’s most senior epidemiologists

  • UK policy on lockdown and other European countries are not evidence-based
  • The correct policy is to protect the old and the frail only
  • This will eventually lead to herd immunity as a “by-product”
  • The initial UK response, before the “180 degree U-turn”, was better
  • The Imperial College paper was “not very good” and he has never seen an unpublished paper have so much policy impact
  • The paper was very much too pessimistic
  • Any such models are a dubious basis for public policy anyway
  • The flattening of the curve is due to the most vulnerable dying first as much as the lockdown
  • The results will eventually be similar for all countries
  • Covid-19 is a “mild disease” and similar to the flu, and it was the novelty of the disease that scared people.
  • The actual fatality rate of Covid-19 is the region of 0.1%
  • At least 50% of the population of both the UK and Sweden will be shown to have already had the disease when mass antibody testing becomes available

#COVID19 tradeoffs

Still more on #marilynwaring and economists ignoring home production @waring_marilyn @women_nz


from https://www.jstor.org/stable/10.1086/316102?seq=1#metadata_info_tab_contents

 

Steve Davis: How has #COVID19 affected businesses?

More on #marilynwaring and economists ignoring home production @waring_marilyn

at https://www.jstor.org/stable/25054869?seq=1

The calendar effect: changing number of public holidays falling in the working week measures the upper bound of the lockdown on GDP?

HT http://caseymulligan.blogspot.com/2020/03/the-economic-cost-of-shutting-down-non.html

#COVID19 social distancing works

From https://www.nber.org/papers/w26906?utm_campaign=ntwh&utm_medium=email&utm_source=ntwg13

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