Source: Economics in One Lesson, The Lesson Applied, The Curse of Machinery.
The robots to get everybody’s jobs and then some 150 years ago
21 Feb 2017 Leave a comment
in economic history, industrial organisation, labour economics, labour supply Tags: creative destruction, technological unemployment
Dead Wrong™ with Johan Norberg – Nordic Gender Equality
20 Feb 2017 Leave a comment
in applied price theory, discrimination, entrepreneurship, gender, industrial organisation, labour economics, labour supply, managerial economics, occupational choice, organisational economics, personnel economics Tags: gender wage gap
Occupational segregation a weak reed to hang #genderwagegap @FairnessNZ
17 Feb 2017 Leave a comment
in applied price theory, discrimination, economics, gender, health and safety, human capital, labour economics, labour supply, occupational choice, poverty and inequality Tags: gender wage gap, occupational segregation
NZ has a gender wage gap of 6% according to the OECD and 12% according to the Ministry of Women’s Affairs, with 30% of that explained by occupational segregation. That is 2 to 4 percentage points.
You have to explain occupational segregation. Men are represented more in occupations that are riskier. They are paid more for that. There are systematic differences in the occupational choices of married parents, single parents and single mothers regarding the risks of injury. Again, that feeds into wages.
Occupational segregation explains 2 to 4 percentage points of wages. Given that risk premiums – danger money – and trading lower wages for greater flexibility in a job can easily reduce wages or increase them by 2-4%, occupational segregation is simply a proxy for measurement error.
Still more of wage premiums has to be poured into this 2-4% of wages such as occupational segregation in unsocial work hours. Many more women than men work 9 to 5 during the week. Men would then have a wage premium for working nights and weekends. A hell a lot has to be explained away by just 2 to 4% wages.
What does undervalued work mean? Does it mean it is very profitable to employ women in certain occupations such as caring. That implies that high profits will lead new firms to enter these industries bidding up wages and equalising them with other competing jobs.
Gary Becker – The Challenge of Immigration: A Radical Solution
17 Feb 2017 Leave a comment
in Gary Becker, human capital, labour economics, labour supply Tags: economics of immigration
Unmanned air force drones beset by labour shortage
16 Feb 2017 Leave a comment
in defence economics, labour economics, labour supply

It takes up to 300 people to keep an unmanned drone in the sky verses about 100 for an air force fighter jet.
The tractors are coming, the tractors are coming for all the horses
16 Feb 2017 Leave a comment
in economic history, industrial organisation, labour economics, labour supply Tags: agricultural economics, creative destruction, technological unemployment, technology diffusion
Many new technologies display long adoption lags, and this is often interpeted as evidence of frictions inconsistent with the standard neoclassical model. We study the diffusion of the tractor in American agriculture between 1910 and 1960 — a well known case of slow diffusion — and show that the speed of adoption was consistent with the predictions of a simple neoclassical growth model.
The reason for the slow rate of diffusion was that tractor quality kept improving over this period and, more importantly, that only when wages increased did it become relatively unprofitable to operate the alternative, labor-intensive, horse technology
Source: Frictionless Technology Diffusion: The Case of Tractors By RODOLFO E. MANUELLI AND ANANTH SESHADRI
Bryan Caplan on “The Economics of Immigration”
11 Feb 2017 Leave a comment
in applied price theory, applied welfare economics, economic history, human capital, labour economics, labour supply Tags: economics of immigration
Speaking of the equality of the sexes
06 Feb 2017 Leave a comment
in discrimination, economics of education, gender, labour economics, labour supply, occupational choice Tags: behavioural genetics, compensating differentials, educational psychology, gender gap, reversing gender gap
More on the emergence of a working rich
06 Feb 2017 Leave a comment
in entrepreneurship, financial economics, human capital, industrial organisation, labour supply, occupational choice, poverty and inequality, survivor principle Tags: superstars, top 1%
The robots came in the 1950s for all our jobs
23 Jan 2017 Leave a comment
in economic history, industrial organisation, labour economics, labour supply, movies, survivor principle Tags: Apollo 13, automation, technological unemployment
The robots are coming have got nothing on the mid 20th century in terms of man being replaced by a machine.
One of my favourite scenes from Apollo 13 happens to be online. Tom Hanks and the Apollo 13 crew and ground control were using slide rules to make the critical calculations about re-entry trajectories. That had not been automated in 1969.
I went to high school just after slide rules were replaced by simple calculators.
I am reading some great essays from the 1960s at the moment about the great fear that people had from the computer entering the factory.
The reason for claiming that this time it was different was computed could automate calculations millions of times faster than people could. The computer could monitor and react to events without human intervention as Yale Brozen explained in the mid-60s
The hallmarks of automation, to distinguish it from mechanization or automatic
methods, are its sensing, feed-back, and self-adjusting characteristics. Because it senses changing requirements and adjusts without human intervention, it presumably does away with the need for human attendants or human labor. This is very fearful indeed to those who depend upon jobs for their livelihood.







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