To my amazement, this work does not discuss how women’s potential earnings in the labor market correlates with fertility decisions.
At least in the Demography paper linked to above, the word “incentives” does not appear in the paper and nobody makes a choice based on the costs and benefits of fertility.
Without incorporating such factors, how can a statistical model yield a credible prediction?
Environmental and Urban Economics: Do Demographers Really Predict Future Population Trends Without Incorporating Women’s Economic Incentives?
26 Nov 2014 Leave a comment
in discrimination, economics of love and marriage, gender, health economics, human capital, labour economics
Some economics of immigration and other forms of labour force and population growth
26 Nov 2014 1 Comment
in labour economics, population economics Tags: economics of immigration, labour economics, lump of labour fallacy, population economics
One of my puzzles about immigration is the claim that they take jobs from natives. This is the lump of labour fallacy: that there is a fixed amount of work to be done in the world, so any increase in the amount each worker can produce reduces the number of available jobs.

Immigration is population growth. The other method of population growth is natives of the country having children and these children growing up to enter the workforce.

No one complains about new work force entrants taking the jobs of existing workers. Somehow, no matter how fast or how slow the population may be, jobs are always available.
The baby boom may have slightly increased the natural unemployment rate simply because there were more young people entering the workforce for the first time and job shopping.
This job shopping is when newcomers to the workforce move around a lot more as they find the specific jobs, employers, occupations and industries that suit their talents and inclinations. After about 10 to 15 years of job shopping, the majority workers settle down into a particular job and occupation for a long time.
Labour supply increases through teenagers entering the workforce and migrants entering the workforce differ only in respect of the local taxpayer didn’t have to pay for their schooling.

All through human history, the labour market has been able to cope with population increases with very little drama.
The large increase in female labour force participation since the mid-20th century was handled with ease despite the predictions of the odd, angry misogynist.
Indeed, is there any difference between the arguments against more immigration and the arguments in the mid-20th century against more married women working? Both are about taking jobs are of of existing workers, who will then be thrown on the scrapheap of society and never find another job.

This massive increase in female labour force participation is a good example of how labour force surges can be handled with ease by the labour market, be they domestic in origin or through immigration. The labour market was able to absorb millions of additional married women re-entering or staying on in the workforce to work full-time.
Milton Friedman on Reducing the Income Gap through School Vouchers
26 Nov 2014 Leave a comment
in economics of education, human capital, Milton Friedman, poverty and inequality, Rawls and Nozick Tags: Milton Friedman, School choice, vouchers
61% of Dutch women work part-time!
26 Nov 2014 Leave a comment
in discrimination, gender, labour economics, labour supply Tags: labour economics gender employment gap, part-time work

A Dutch friend mentioned that Social Security eligibility in the Netherlands is based on paying Social Security tax on your earnings. If she was out of the Netherlands for more than two years, she lost her Social Security coverage.
This is just speculation: Dutch women work part time to pay Social Security tax and thereby remain eligible for various Social Security benefits.
Research by Jan van Ours, an excellent labour economist, shows that Dutch women are happy with their part-time work and only about 4% want to increase their hours of work to full-time.
The relative importance of capitalism and the British welfare state in abolishing destitution
24 Nov 2014 Leave a comment

HT: Andrew Newell
A Burglar’s Quest | What do burglars steal these days?
24 Nov 2014 1 Comment
in economics of crime, occupational choice Tags: Burglary
When I came out of university, it must have been the golden age of burglary. A VCR would cost $1,000, which was about two weeks’ wages back then. Small televisions could be carried away. They were about a week’s wages.
In these days of dirt cheap electrical goods, a huge flatscreen TV is about $700. I don’t know what you get for that. Not much, I suppose. Second-hand electrical goods don’t go for much these days.
Mobile phones are the new cash cows for burglars and pickpockets. Even then, it costs nothing to download a security app that kills the phone in the event of theft. I’m told the life of a stolen credit card is measured in hours.
Not surprisingly, a major factor in the decline in domestic burglaries is that they are no longer profitable. Supply and demand rules.

via Security Infographic: A Burglars Quest | ASecureLife.com.
Deirdre McCloskey on Piketty’s definition of wealth in the Age of Human Capital
23 Nov 2014 Leave a comment

Have changing household composition and retirement caused the decline in median household income? » AEI
23 Nov 2014 Leave a comment
in applied welfare economics, labour economics, labour supply, poverty and inequality Tags: poverty and inequality
The spill-over benefits of unobservable victim precautions such as Lojack
22 Nov 2014 Leave a comment
in economics of crime, law and economics, occupational choice Tags: crime and deterrence, crime and punishment, Steven Levitt
Ian Ayres and Steven Levitt looked at the impact of Lojack – a hidden radio-transmitter device used for retrieving stolen vehicles.
There is no external indication that Lojack has been installed, so it does not directly affect the likelihood that a protected car will be stolen.
Ian Ayres and Steven Levitt attempted to measure its general deterrence effect: they found that the availability of Lojack is associated with a sharp fall in auto theft. Rates of other crime do not change appreciably. There was also a small but observable tendency for older-model cars to be stolen. presumably because these were somewhat less likely to have a Lojack transmitter.

The marginal social benefit of an additional unit of Lojack has been fifteen times greater than the marginal social cost in high crime areas. Those who install Lojack obtain less than 10 percent of the total social benefits, leading to under-provision by the market.
Deirdre McCloskey has a 55-page review essay on Piketty
21 Nov 2014 Leave a comment
in applied price theory, applied welfare economics, entrepreneurship, history of economic thought, human capital, labour economics, liberalism, poverty and inequality Tags: Deirdre McCloskey, Piketty
You will find it here (pdf), forthcoming in the Erasmus Journal of Philosophy and Economics.
via Deirdre McCloskey has a 55-page review essay on Piketty.





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