Ninth Karl Brunner Distinguished Lecture by John H. Cochrane, 02.10.2025

💰 Inflation, Debt & The Future of the Economy | A Conversation with John Cochrane

*Crisis Cycle*

That is the new book by John H. Cochrane, Luis Garicano, and Klaus Masuch, and the subtitle is Challenges, Evolution, and Future of the Euro.  Excerpt: Our main theme is not actions taken in crises, but that member states and EU institutions did not clean up between crises.  They did not reestablish a sustainable framework […]

*Crisis Cycle*

Left-Wing Economists Were Wildly Wrong about Javier Milei and his Libertarian Agenda for Argentina

It’s easy to mock economists. Consider the supposedly prestigious left-leaning academics who asserted in 2021 that Biden’s agenda was not inflationary. At the risk of understatement, they wound up with egg on their faces.* Today, we’re going to look at another example of leftist economists making fools of themselves. It involves Argentina, where President Javier […]

Left-Wing Economists Were Wildly Wrong about Javier Milei and his Libertarian Agenda for Argentina

Argentina facts of the day

Argentina’s bonds have already rallied dramatically. One gauge of the nation’s hard-currency debt, the ICE BofA US Dollar Argentina Sovereign Index, has generated a total return of about 90% this year. Meanwhile, the S&P Merval Index has risen more than 160% this year through Monday, far outpacing stock benchmarks in developed, emerging and frontier markets […]

Argentina facts of the day

Marginal Revolution Podcast–The New Monetary Economics!

Today on the MR Podcast Tyler and I discuss the “New Monetary Economics”. Here’s the opening TABARROK: Today we’re going to be talking about the new monetary economics. Now, perhaps the first thing to say is that it’s not new anymore. The new monetary economics refers to a set of claims and ideas about monetary economics […]

Marginal Revolution Podcast–The New Monetary Economics!

o1 explains why you should not dismiss Fischer Black on money and prices

The prediction of inflation dynamics—how prices change over time—has increasingly confounded modern macroeconomists. Throughout much of the twentieth century, there seemed to be clear relationships linking the money supply, economic slack, and price levels. Monetarism, the school of thought that posits a stable connection between the growth rate of a money aggregate and the subsequent […]

o1 explains why you should not dismiss Fischer Black on money and prices

Milei and populism

Bryan Caplan and Daniel Klein both opine on Milei and populism, Dan being very enthusiastic, while Bryan praising Milei but more reserved in his praise of populism.  I too am a big fan of Milei, and I think he is still on a good track.  If his reforms do not succeed, likely it will not […]

Milei and populism

Setelinleikkaus: When Finns snipped their cash in half to curb inflation

On the last day of 1945, with World War II finally behind it, Finland’s government announced a new and very strange policy.All Finns were required  to take out a pair of scissors and snip their banknotes in half. This was known in Finland as setelinleikkaus, or banknote cutting. Anyone who owned any of the three…

Setelinleikkaus: When Finns snipped their cash in half to curb inflation

Interview with Greg Mankiw: New Keynesian Macro, Growth, and Economic Policy

Jon Hartley interviews Greg Mankiw on topics including New Keynesian macroeconomics, growth, and economic policy more broadly at his Capitalism and Freedom website (August 20, 2024, video and transcript available). Here are a few of the comments that caught my eye. On big models and small models in studying the macroeconomy: [O]n the issue of…

Interview with Greg Mankiw: New Keynesian Macro, Growth, and Economic Policy

Thought and Details on the Fiscal Theory of the Price Level

The Fiscal Theory of the Price Level has been percolating among monetary theorists for over three decades: Eric Leeper being the first to offer a formalization of the idea, with Chris Sims and Michael Woodford soon contributed to its further development. But the underlying idea that the taxation power of the state is essential for […]

Thought and Details on the Fiscal Theory of the Price Level

Monetary Policy and the Great Crash of 1929: A Bursting Bubble or Collapsing Fundamentals?

By Timothy Cogley. He was then at the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco (1999). He is now at New York University. “In recent years, a number of economists have expressed concern that the stock market is overvalued. Some have compared the situation with the 1920s, warning that the market may be headed for a…

Monetary Policy and the Great Crash of 1929: A Bursting Bubble or Collapsing Fundamentals?

Solow on Market Advantages and Market Failures

Robert Solow (1924-2023) died last week. As a starting point for understanding his life and his work on growth theory, the Nobel prize website, since he won the award in 1987, includes an overall description, a biographical essay, and his Nobel lecture. I can also strongly recommend an interview that Steven Levitt carried out with…

Solow on Market Advantages and Market Failures

The Worst Journalism of 2023

Writing about the economic tragedy of Argentina, I’ve explained that one major problem is inflation, thanks to that country’s version of “modern monetary theory.” This is not a trivial problem. Here’s a chart, from a recent report by Reuters, showing how prices have been rising for nearly 10 years and skyrocketing for the past three […]

The Worst Journalism of 2023

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