Part I: Yes, Taxes Change Behavior

From a big-picture economic perspective, I worry most about the damage of high tax burdens on innovation, entrepreneurship, and investment. Those are things that generate enormous benefits for society, yet also things that are very sensitive to bad tax policy (specifically high marginal tax rates and the tax code’s bias against saving and investment). Sadly, […]

Part I: Yes, Taxes Change Behavior

Article for Central Banking magazine on Orr/Quigley/Willis saga, and lessons

A couple of weeks ago the editor of Central Banking magazine (something of an house journal for central bankers, and for whom I’ve done book reviews for some years) invited me to write a fairly full article for a non-NZ audience on the extraordinary events of recent months. Having been so caught up in the […]

Article for Central Banking magazine on Orr/Quigley/Willis saga, and lessons

Michael Clemens on H1-B visas

From 1990 to 2010, rising numbers of H-1B holders caused 30–50 percent of all productivity growth in the US economy. This means that the jobs and wages of most Americans depend in some measure on these workers. The specialized workers who enter on this visa fuel high-tech, high-growth sectors of the 21st century economy with skills like computer […]

Michael Clemens on H1-B visas

Samuelson on forecasting as a vocation

Intangible Capital and Measured Productivity

The United States vs. Europe, Part IV

I put a lot of focus on “convergence” and “divergence” because economic theory says rich countries should not grow faster than poor countries. So when there are examples of divergence, especially when looking at decades of data, we can learn very important lessons about economic policy. Those lessons, in every single case, teach us that […]

The United States vs. Europe, Part IV

PRESCOTT on quality adjusted medical price indexes

Predistribution, Not Redistribution, in the Nordic Countries

Maybe it’s just because I live in Minnesota, a state where the differences between immigrants from Sweden, Norway, and Finland are still apparent in the names of towns and the surnames of people. But when I run into people who would prefer that the US distribution of income be more equal, they often point to…

Predistribution, Not Redistribution, in the Nordic Countries

Outstanding questions

A couple of nights ago, shortly after the Minister and Treasury finally released the suite of texts between Willis and Rennie, ZB featured interviewer Heather du Plessis-Allan talking to Herald journalist Jenee Tibshraeny (who has been over the Orr/Quigley/Willis saga issue from day one). There wasn’t anything concrete that was new in the conversation but […]

Outstanding questions

💰 Inflation, Debt & The Future of the Economy | A Conversation with John Cochrane

Abundance 2025 – Preview

Five questions I’ll be bringing to the conference this week

Abundance 2025 – Preview

Some Links

TweetThe folks at Unleash Prosperity share a chart that shows that Japanese industrial policy – which we Americans a few decades ago were warned by oh so very many pundits, professors, and politicians left, right, and center would propel Japan’s economy to great heights and leave America’s in the dust – was a curse to…

Some Links

Do rising house prices damage economic growth?

Don Brash writes –  In recent years, when addressing Rotary and other audiences, I often talk about the five big challenges facing New Zealand – persistently slow growth in productivity, and therefore in income levels; ridiculously unaffordable house prices; the increasing division of our society into those with a Maori ancestor and those without; the […]

Do rising house prices damage economic growth?

The Most Important Election(s) of 2025

Javier Milei has generated amazingly good results in just 20 months. But more reform is needed to undo the damage of 80 years of Peronism, which is why I explain that Argentina’s mid-term elections will be very important. Milei wants to turn Argentina into the world’s freest economy. That won’t be possible so long as […]

The Most Important Election(s) of 2025

If the election was scheduled for next week, Hipkins could win – but (luckily for Luxon) it’s next year

Chris Trotter writes –  “There is a tide in the affairs of men, which taken at the flood, leads on to fortune”. Those words, taken from Shakespeare’s Julius Caesar, are often quoted in the context of politicians facing the hard choice between doing it now, or not doing it at all.

If the election was scheduled for next week, Hipkins could win – but (luckily for Luxon) it’s next year

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