Doom prediction amnesia

trustyetverify's avatarTrust, yet verify

One of the things that became abundantly clear in a previous post is how incredibly easy it is replace past failed predictions by a brand new one, even when incompatible with the failed prediction. There was the example of a Belgian activist who in 2008 claimed that we only had ten year left to avert tipping points by limiting the temperature increase to 2 C, but in 2018 -when we horribly failed to reach that target- he made a new prediction that we now had another ten years to prevent tipping points by limiting the temperature increase to … 1.5 C.

In that post, I also noticed the similarity between this prediction and the prediction by Andrew Simms and his onehundredmonths campaign. Both claimed that 2 C had to be averted otherwise we were in for tipping points, pointed to the authority of the IPCC to justify their claim…

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Lost on the anti-science left @Greens @NZGreens @Greenpeace

A convenient scapegoat

Australia’s Energy Crisis: Subsidised Wind & Solar Obsession Sending Power Prices Into Orbit

stopthesethings's avatarSTOP THESE THINGS

Add heavily subsidised and chaotically intermittent wind and solar to your grid and rocketing prices are guaranteed. The Danes know it, the Germans know it and South Australians became the butt of international jokes, because of it.

The relationship couldn’t be clearer: see above the pertinent little graphic from Dr Michael Crawford, which says it all, really.

For, try as they might, Australia’s renewable energy rent seekers are stuck with the fact that despite sunshine and wind being ‘free’, subsidised wind and solar power, anything but.

Some of the more deluded among them have even gone so far as to claim that South Australian power prices have actually fallen thanks to wind and solar. Tackling the truth has never been their strong point – eg: South Australia’s 50% Renewable Energy Fail: World’s Highest Power Prices Caused by Subsidised Wind & Solar

With a warm week coming up across the southern…

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China scientists warn of global cooling trick up nature’s sleeve

tallbloke's avatarTallbloke's Talkshop

Variation in solar activity during a recent sunspot cycle [credit: Wikipedia]

A new study has found winters in northern China have been warming since 4,000BC – regardless of human activity – but the mainland scientists behind the research warn there is no room for complacency or inaction on climate change, with the prospect of a sudden global cooling also posing a danger.

The study found that winds from Arctic Siberia have been growing weaker, the conifer tree line has been retreating north, and there has been a steady rise in biodiversity in a general warming trend that continues today. It appears to have little to do with the increase in greenhouse gases which began with the industrial revolution, according to the researchers.


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Samuelson picking on Marx

From https://books.google.co.nz/books?id=7keiH50U8_EC&pg=PA113&lpg=PA113&dq=Joan+Robinson+Karl+Marx+suburban+home&source=bl&ots=SPzcSThGW4&sig=ACfU3U1a32C4RW8sMC3EXH_OcTDJUoYlTQ&hl=en&sa=X&ved=2ahUKEwjR-_en57TmAhXKzjgGHTTCBBUQ6AEwAnoECAgQAQ#v=onepage&q=Joan%20Robinson%20Karl%20Marx%20suburban%20home&f=false

Obama is worse than George Bush and Tony Blair says Noam Chomsky 2011!

The Empire Strikes Back – Britain’s Operation Compass – WW2 – 068 – December 14, 1940

Large Asteroid Impact Simulation

Champ and Freeman on money and output

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What Does Research Tell Us About Minimum Wage?

The toxic rhetoric of climate change

curryja's avatarClimate Etc.

by Judith Curry

“I genuinely have the fear that climate change is going to kill me and all my family, I’m not even kidding it’s  all I have thought about for the last 9 months every second of the day. It’s making my sick to my stomach, I’m not eating or sleeping and I’m getting panic attacks daily. It’s currently 1 am and I can’t sleep as I’m petrified.”  – Young adult in the UK

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What Does The Tory Manifesto Say About Climate Policy?

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