George Stigler on the extensive influence of economists on public policy

George Stigler influence economists adoption

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Why masterly inactivity will be the American response to global warming

How better educated whites are driving political polarization – The Washington Post

On or about 1990, as a latter-day Virginia Woolf might say, American politics changed.  I wouldn’t take the blip of the dotted line at 1990 very seriously–sampling variability and all that–but the general pattern in the graph above is real, and appear in all sorts of other data.  In 1988 and before:  zero correlations of partisanship with attitudes; since 1992, the correlations have been big and getting larger…

Not only is the abortion/party relationship primarily driven by whites, it is substantially stronger among white elites–that is, people with high income, education, or levels of political information.

via How better educated whites are driving political polarization – The Washington Post.

The coalition number counts on the next Israeli Prime Minister

Image

The lesbian, gay, bisexual and transgender population vote for parties that welcome them

The lesbian, gay, bisexual and transgender population is one of the most Democratic demographic groups in the country. According to the 2012 national exit polls conducted by the National Election Pool, gay, lesbian, and bisexual adults voted for Barack Obama over Mitt Romney by more than three-to-one (76% vs. 22%).

This Democratic advantage can be seen in the partisan identification of LGBT adults, a majority of whom are Democrats. It also expresses itself in policy preferences across a range of issues, including size of government, attitudes about gun policy and immigration…

Half of LGBT adults (50%) self-identify as liberal, 37% are moderate, and just 12% say they are conservative.

The Pew Research Centre

SDT-2013-06-LGBT-7-01

That’s hardly surprising that people vote for the parties that welcome them given the deep hostility of the Republican Party on lesbian, gay, bisexual and transgender issues. Until the middle of the 20th century, few black Americans voted for the Democratic party because it was the party of racism. People rarely vote for parties that really dislike them.

SDT-2013-06-LGBT-0-12

The transferability of these American results  on partisanship to New Zealand is rather limited because there is no cultural war as there is in the USA currently over same-sex marriages.  A same-sex marriage bill passed the New Zealand Parliament in 2013 fairly easily. The Christian based socially conservative parties in New Zealand are pretty tame in their rhetoric and still struggling to get into Parliament.

SDT-2013-06-LGBT-7-10

As such, the centre right parties in New Zealand aren’t seen as particularly hostile to the lesbian, gay, bisexual and transgender population. On the same-sex marriage bill, for example, the National Party split evenly on voting for and against, reflecting its moderation in just about every issue.

People of all sexualities can vote for New Zealand parties on grounds other than the fact of how welcoming they are to who they are. That makes the American results on partisanship and sexuality less relevant to New Zealand

via Chapter 7: Partisanship, Policy Views, Values | Pew Research Center’s Social & Demographic Trends Project.

On marijuana, Obama is content to evolve rather than to lead the way – The Washington Post

For a lame duck president doing a lot to cultivate his legacy, Obama is really dragging his feet here if he is in any way a social liberal

via On marijuana, Obama is content to evolve rather than to lead the way – The Washington Post.

NZ is in the middle of the pack in reducing poverty rates through redistribution

The figure shows pre-transfer and post-transfer poverty rates among OECD countries (mostly the advanced economies).  The former (pre-transfer) are the market-driven poverty rates, before the tax and transfer systems kick in.

Source: OECD, *Poverty thresholds: 50% of median income.

HT: International Poverty Comparisons: What Do They Tell Us about Causes? | Jared Bernstein | On the Economy.

Harvard students take the 1964 Louisiana Literacy Test that black voters had to pass to qualify to vote

Video

How the Voting Rights Act immediately changed the electorate in the South – Vox

VRA effect 1

The Voting Right Act had a huge impact on many southern states. For example, black voter registration rates in Mississippi increased from a mere 6.7 percent in 1965 to 59.8 percent in 1967, according to the US Commission for Civil Rights.

For a state that’s historically around 40 percent black, this represented a massive shift in politics — a change that much of the predominantly white leadership at the time feared but would have to accept due to the Voting Rights Act.

via How the Voting Rights Act immediately changed the electorate in the South, in 2 charts – Vox.

The policy world and academia offer widely different opportunities for early career researchers

Academia rewards findings that are different and unexpected. In policy it is more important to be right than novel—after all, millions of lives may be impacted by a policy decision. In academia, people argue a lot about the direction of an effect but very little about the magnitude: in policy it’s the reverse…

Via Impact of Social Sciences – The policy world and academia offer widely different opportunities for early career researchers..

Bias in the bias against inheriting riches

China’s richest lawmakers make America’s look straight up poor

Deirdre McCloskey on corruption and economic development

Deirdre McCloskey on corruption and economic growth

via Book Review: ‘Thieves of State’ by Sarah Chayes & ‘A Republic No More’ by Jay Cost – WSJ.

Richard Lindzen on back when periods of warming were climate optima

lindzen climate optima

HT: The Political Assault on Climate Skeptics | Cato Institute.

Israel’s Arab political parties have united for the first time

the coalition is a result of a move last year to increase the minimum number of votes a party needs to secure a place in the 120-seat Knesset, Israel’s parliament.

Some saw that change as an attempt to oust small Arab parties, but instead it prompted the fragmented and fairly powerless Arab leadership to unite under the banner of the Joint List.

HT: http://www.washingtonpost.com/world/middle_east/israels-sparring-arab-political-parties-have-united-for-the-first-time/2015/03/09/6f6c021a-c660-11e4-bea5-b893e7ac3fb3_story.html

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