The prediction markets predicted the election outcome more accurately and more quickly than polls or other forecasting methods, just as expected from decades of research. In this election, however, many people discounted the prediction markets because of large trades on Polymarket. Paul Krugman, for example, wrote: Never mind the prediction markets, which are thin and […]
Prediction Markets for the Win
Prediction Markets for the Win
10 Nov 2024 Leave a comment
in applied price theory, financial economics, politics - USA Tags: 2024 presidential election
10 Reasons Why Trump Won- Part 2
09 Nov 2024 Leave a comment
in politics - USA Tags: 2024 presidential election
Yesterday I covered the first 5 reasons why Trump won. Here are the last 5. 6. Greatly improved Republican ground game There are four areas where Republican efforts more closely matched or even exceeded those of the Democrats whereas in all four, GOP campaigns in 2020 were significantly outspent and outsmarted: Donald Trump began labeling […]
10 Reasons Why Trump Won- Part 2
Behold The Flying Dutchman: Trump Prosecutors Find Themselves on Listless Ships Without a Port of Call
09 Nov 2024 Leave a comment
in economics of crime, law and economics, politics - USA Tags: 2024 presidential election
Below is my column in The Hill on the collapse of the lawfare campaigns against Trump. The first to go will likely be the two cases by Special Counsel Jack Smith, who became a lame-duck prosecutor at around 2:30 am last Wednesday. We are also waiting for what is likely to be a reduction or […]
Behold The Flying Dutchman: Trump Prosecutors Find Themselves on Listless Ships Without a Port of Call
President-Elect Trump’s Climate/Energy Policy: 100-Day Action Plan a Good Start
09 Nov 2024 Leave a comment
in energy economics, environmental economics, global warming, politics - USA Tags: 2024 presidential election
“Good news indeed! Energy cuts are easy cuts compared to the hard budget choices that lie ahead in the transition from statism and stagnation to a vibrant, coordinated, expanding entrepreneurial economy.”
President-Elect Trump’s Climate/Energy Policy: 100-Day Action Plan a Good Start
A Shift in Time Saves Nine: How The Trump Election Impacts the Supreme Court
09 Nov 2024 Leave a comment
in law and economics, politics - USA Tags: 2024 presidential election, constitutional law
Below is my column in Fox.com on the impact of the reelection of Donald Trump and the flipping of the Senate for the Supreme Court. The election may have proven one of the most critical for the Court in its history. Here is the column:
A Shift in Time Saves Nine: How The Trump Election Impacts the Supreme Court
Electric Vehicles: A Tale of Woe in the Absence of the Market Process
09 Nov 2024 1 Comment
in economics of climate change, economics of regulation, energy economics, environmental economics, environmentalism, global warming, industrial organisation, politics - USA, survivor principle, transport economics, urban economics Tags: electric cars
There is a market for electric vehicles, but government mandates and subsidies—regulators predicting winners and losers—cause more harm than good. By forcing technology into widespread use before it is ready for primetime, governments are causing consumers to resist EVs. Instead, government regulators should allow consumer demand, competition, and the “market process” to guide EV adoption.
Electric Vehicles: A Tale of Woe in the Absence of the Market Process
10 Reasons Why Trump Won- Part 1
08 Nov 2024 Leave a comment
in politics - USA Tags: 2024 presidential election
Before I cover the first 5 points, I will cover an important point by way of an introduction as it overlays all these reasons and that is that a big reason why Donald Trump won and won convincingly is because of a series of unique skills that Trump brings to the table. For his opponents […]
10 Reasons Why Trump Won- Part 1
Burn, Baby Burn: Why Firefighters Can’t Extinguish Wind Turbine Fires
08 Nov 2024 Leave a comment
in energy economics, environmental economics, global warming, politics - Australia Tags: wind power
Hundreds of these things have spontaneously self-incinerated around the world, with the real potential to destroy life and property for miles around. But the wind industry and its government enablers, couldn’t care less. When turbines erupt in toxic fireballs, firefighters can only stand back and watch. When and wherever these things explode into balls of […]
Burn, Baby Burn: Why Firefighters Can’t Extinguish Wind Turbine Fires
The Thrill is Gone: Will the Prosectorial Campaigns Collapse with the Political Campaigns Against Trump?
07 Nov 2024 Leave a comment
in economics of crime, law and economics, politics - USA Tags: 2024 presidential election
Below is my column in the New York Post on the developments in the pending Trump cases. I previously wrote that, if Trump prevailed in this election, it was likely that Special Counsel Jack Smith would “not see a jury in either of his cases.” This morning, Smith is reportedly in discussions on the possible […]
The Thrill is Gone: Will the Prosectorial Campaigns Collapse with the Political Campaigns Against Trump?
Climate policy: Trump could quit Paris agreement – again
06 Nov 2024 1 Comment
in economics of climate change, energy economics, environmental economics, environmentalism, global warming, International law, politics - USA Tags: 2024 presidential election
All change for climate and energy policy again in the US as Trump declares victory in the Presidential election. A severe downgrade for government alarmism and linked policies looks inevitable. – – – Former President Trump has promised to take the US out of the Paris climate agreement – as he did briefly during his […]
Climate policy: Trump could quit Paris agreement – again
Here We Go: No Pennsylvania Results For Several Days!
05 Nov 2024 Leave a comment
in politics - USA Tags: 2024 presidential election, LBJ
This bullshit again! India, with 1.4 billion people, can deliver election results in a day, as can most of the Western world. But the key state of Pennsylvania apparently cannot. If you want to know why this is suspicious read the 2nd volume of Robert Caro’s wonderful autobiography of LBJ, Means of Ascent. In the […]
Here We Go: No Pennsylvania Results For Several Days!
Free Speech meets “Fit and Proper” in NZ
05 Nov 2024 Leave a comment
in economics of crime, law and economics, politics - New Zealand, property rights Tags: constitutional law, free speech, gun control
So there is a reason why I should read the local MSM, especially when it’s really local, as in the Waikato Times. However, I saw the story first in the US-based libertarian publication Reason and of course their headline was much different than the story which they linked to, New Zealand Government Punishes Gun Owners […]
Free Speech meets “Fit and Proper” in NZ
Bill Maher on the election and “progressophobia”
05 Nov 2024 Leave a comment
in politics - USA, television, TV shows
Here’s this week’s comedy/news bit on Bill Maher’s “Real Time” show. His topic is voters who can’t seem to agree on a Presidential candidate, and how they should be voting for Kamala Harris. Maher avers that if Harris loses, it will because of “progressophobia,” which he calls “Steven Pinker’s term for the liberal fear that […]
Bill Maher on the election and “progressophobia”
Does the TPM Secretary know he could face jail time?
05 Nov 2024 Leave a comment
in economics of crime, law and economics, politics - New Zealand Tags: law and order
I previously blogged on how the Electoral Commission referred Te Pati Maori to the Police for not filing their annual financials statements by 30 June 2024, as required by law. Their party secretary is Lance Norman (a manager in one of the Tamihere organisations) and I wonder if he realises the personal risk he is […]
Does the TPM Secretary know he could face jail time?
Politics of identity politics proved
05 Nov 2024 Leave a comment
in liberalism, Marxist economics, politics Tags: British politics, free speech, Gaza Strip, Israel, Middle-East politics, political correctness, regressive left, war against terror
The UK Conservative Party has a new leader : . . . On Saturday the Conservatives elected Olukemi Olufunto Adegoke Badenoch as their leader to propel them to victory at the next general election. . . Born in Wimbledon, southwest London in 1980, after her parents decided she should be born in Britain with the best […]
Politics of identity politics proved
Utopia, you are standing in it! 
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