Thanksgiving

John Taylor and the thesis that Taylor Rule deviations caused the global financial crisis

Tony Yates's avatarlongandvariable

John Taylor [here/here] recently reiterated his views on what caused the global financial crisis.

He contends the following.  That the Great Moderation was due to adherence to the Taylor Rule [and to ‘rules-based’ fiscal policy].  That during the early 2000s, monetary policy was set looser than that prescribed by the Taylor Rule.  This caused the build up of debt and risk-taking, which ultimately led to the bust, and the end of the Great Moderation.  Weak activity following the crisis has been due to departures from rules based monetary policy, in the form of unconventional monetary policy.   And departure from rules based fiscal policy, in the form of the fiscal stimulus enacted by Obama in 2009.  These departures have created uncertainty that has weighed against activity.  Tighter policy on both counts would have led to more buoyant activity during the recovery on account of being more certain.

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NO SURPRISES, THE REPORT LOCKED AWAY FOR THIRTY YEARS!!

Gravedodger's avatarNo Minister

It was never going to be released while those directly responsible were able to milk it for political advantage and totally avoid their direct lapses that allowed a weedy little demented Aussie to purchase and employ the weaponry to enter the lists of the horrible.

A misdirected cost saving that enabled Tarrant to accumulate an arsenal that a very high percentage of those buying weapons and ammunition would never even contemplate.

It is very hard to ascertain the suitability of anyone wanting a New Zealand arms licence, and it could still eventuate that a bad person could defeat the very stringent rules that stand between a sane stable reasonable shooter and a desire to lawfully purchase what is desired.

I have some personal knowledge and understanding of what might have gone wrong that allowed an insignificant vertically challenged Aussie Nutter to set himself up as a one person killing machine…

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Conversations with: Professor Eleanor Scerri

lucyjt96's avatarConversations in Human Evolution

Today, I am very pleased to introduce Professor Eleanor Scerri, an archaeological scientist at the Max Planck Institute for the Science of Human History in Jena! Eleanor is Lise Meitner Professor in Archaeology and leader of the Pan-African Evolution research group, where she directs a suite of multidisciplinary projects and fieldwork programmes based in Africa and southwest Asia. She also has recently initiated fieldwork projects on the island of Malta, where she is from! Eleanor’s research aims to establish how and to what extent archaeological, genetic and biogeographical data are related in order to develop new theories and methods for understanding human evolution. This led to her leading the publication that introduced the new ‘African structured metapopulations model’ for the evolution of Homo sapiens, proposing that it took place across Africa in interacting subpopulations as opposed to just in East or South Africa, as traditionally assumed.

What are your…

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More on competition saves lives

From http://cep.lse.ac.uk/pubs/download/cp454.pdf

Competition saves lives even in the NHS!!

School Transgender Policy 2. Suffolk

womangendercritical's avatar@STILLTish. Gender Abolition

I have done a number of twitter threads on School policies, ostensibly, about protecting “transgender children”. I have already blogged, on the way they treat parents. We are treated as potential bigots who need educatingon Gender Identity issues. The Schools, invariably, take it upon themselves to keep parents in the dark about our “Gender Dysphoric” kids. They blithely inform us our kids are at significant risk of attempting suicide but stillthink it is good practice to hide pertinent information from parents. You can read that post here: Putting the Loco in Loco Parentis.

This is the second of a series on the policies I have found. Some have already been withdrawn but we need to preserve a record of the extent of the policy capture. Note that this series will be repetitive as they are clearly modelled on a small number of templates. The poor practice is…

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Gallery

Skyhooks – Party To End All Parties

How the U.S. Stole Mexico

Sherbert – Rock Me Gently (Live On Countdown)

Sharon O’Neill – Maxine – Countdown Australia – 1983

Battered by virus and oil slump, biofuels fall out of favour

oldbrew's avatarTallbloke's Talkshop


Another battering looms as electric cars are soon to be forced on many car buyers by legislation. Maybe agriculture will get some of its lost land back for food production.
– – –
Hit by the coronavirus pandemic and a sharp drop in oil prices, biofuel demand has declined for the first time in two decades and may struggle to recover, according to experts.

“The collapse of oil prices has had a very negative impact on biofuels,” rendering them uncompetitive, Olivier Lemesle, director of studies at Xerfi, told AFP (via TechXplore.)

The production of biofuels for transport in 2020 is expected to decline 11.6 percent on 2019 levels, the first fall in 20 years, according to the International Energy Agency’s (IEA) annual report, published in early November.

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Image

Class war cancelled

From http://www.ericzwick.com/capitalists/capitalists.pdf

New Data Shows Boris ‘Bonkers’ Johnson’s Wind Power Plans Are Completely Ridiculous

stopthesethings's avatarSTOP THESE THINGS

The pathetic energy density of wind power is just another reason why it is so insanely expensive, compared to any meaningful power source.

The bigger turbine, the further apart they need to be spread – so that the dirty wake of one turbine doesn’t affect the airflow to any turbine downwind and, thereby, reduce its output and/or wreck its blades and running gear (see above).

Britain’s PM, Boris Johnson has hatched a plan to thoroughly encircle his islands with these things, throwing something like an additional £50 billion in over the market contracts and government subsidies at foreign-owned wind power outfits, which – in a country that will take decades to recover from its self-imposed lockdown recession – is positively bonkers.

Now it seems, that on the numbers, Johnson’s grand plan is even crazier, still. Dr John Constable reports.

New data casts doubt on Boris Johnson’s 2030 offshore wind plans

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Sharon O’Neill – Losing You (Countdown, 6/3/1983)

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