
In the first of many miscalculations, Saddam expected the weapons inspections to be cursory and short lived
02 Feb 2019 Leave a comment
in defence economics, International law, law and economics, war and peace Tags: arms control, Gulf war, Iraq, nuclear proliferation, nuclear weapons

The decline in the US nuclear weapons stockpile
05 May 2016 Leave a comment
in defence economics Tags: arms control, arms race, Atomic weapons, Cold War, nuclear disarmament, nuclear weapons
Anything by Tom Schelling is worth a listen
01 Jul 2014 Leave a comment
in Thomas Schelling Tags: arms control, game theory, mutual deterrence, nuclear strategy, strategy and conflict, Tom Schelling
Table of Contents:
1) Early Life – 0:37
2) Outbreak of World War II – 2:32
3) Studying During the War – 5:45
4) Negotiating the Marshall Plan – 7:40
5) Academia and Government Service – 11:14
6) Self-Taught in Game Theory – 13:14
7) “Games and Decisions” – 14:47
8) The RAND Corp. & Nuclear Strategy – 16:00
9) “Strategy and Arms Control – 18:34
10) The “Red Telephone” – 21:37
11) Arms Control & Mutual Deterrence – 24:46
12) Influence within the Kennedy Administration – 30:05
13) The Problem with Ballistic Missile Defenses – 31:51
14) Dr. Strangelove – 35:42
15) The Kennedy School – 43:20
16) Expansion of the Kennedy School – 47:44
17) The Early Faculty – 49:51
18) Evaluation of Human Life – 51:42
19) Organized Crime, Beer and Laundry – 53:13
20) Modeling Racial Self-Segregation – 58:04
21) Winning the Nobel Prize – 1:00:21
22) Contributions to Scholarship and Public Policy – 1:06:03
Thomas Schelling on the impossibility of nuclear disarmament
20 May 2014 Leave a comment
in Thomas Schelling, war and peace Tags: arms control, disarmament

We cannot abolish conventional wars for the same reason:

While I have your attention, imagine if all nuclear weapons were abolished:

Compare the sleepy world we have now with one where the first country to reacquire one nuclear weapon would be dominant. Some practice a variation of this with nuclear weapons now.
Because latent capacity to develop nuclear weapons is not prescribed by the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty, as a work-around of the treaty, this is sometimes called the “Japan Option”. Japan is a clear case of a significant advanced country with the complete technical prowess and nuclear materials to develop a nuclear weapon quickly.
A country does not need to test weapons nor declare its latent nuclear potential. Yet just keep the resources for a latent nuclear potential on hand for a crash programme.
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