US, UK, Canadian and Danish health spending as % of GDP

Health spending is surprisingly stable outside of the USA. Even in the UK it was a gentle taper upwards.

image

Source: OECD Health Statistics.

@BernieSanders MRI rationing – US v. Single-payer UK, Canada and Denmark

Single payer health insurance systems may have their advantages but one of which is not ready access to an MRI scan in the UK, Denmark or Canada.

image

Source: OECD Health Statistics.

Remember that those aged over 65 in the USA are covered by Medicare; the poor and welfare beneficiaries are covered by Medicaid; and children of the working poor are covered by CHIPS.

I am told that dogs to get an MRI scan in Canada far quicker than humans. This is because dog owners can pay for the MRI scan. Private health insurance is unlawful in 9 of the 10 Canadian provinces.

There is considerable medical tourism from Canada to the USA, including by politicians who passionately support the single-payer system.

G7, Danish, Australian and New Zealand marginal income tax and social security contribution rates

Ordinary French, Germans, Italians and Danish pay much higher marginal tax rates and that is before their high rates of GST.

image

Data extracted on 30 Jan 2016 03:08 UTC (GMT) from OECD.Stat.

British all-in average personal income tax rates at average wage by family type, 2000, 2007, 2014

image

Data extracted on 25 Jan 2016 01:07 UTC (GMT) from OECD.Stat.

British, French, German and Italian All-in average personal income tax rates at average wage by family type

image

Data extracted on 21 Jan 2016 05:12 UTC (GMT) from OECD.Stat.

US, UK and Canadian all-in average personal income tax rates at average wage by family type

image

Data extracted on 21 Jan 2016 05:12 UTC (GMT) from OECD.Stat.

US, British and French public and private health spending per capita, PPP since 1995

https://twitter.com/PolitiFact/status/678444166016335872

image

Source: World Bank Health expenditure per capita, PPP (constant 2011 international$) | Data | Table.

500 years of UK energy use

British union membership by public and private sector and gender since 1995

British union membership is very much a public sector phenomena. Outside of the public sector, union membership is low but stable for 20 years now.

image

Source: Office of National Statistics, Trade Union Membership 2014

Where are British taxes spent?

White Brits are the ethnic group least likely to go to university

Eurosclerosis, Swedosclerosis, the British Disease and rising inequality harming economic growth

The Washington Centre for Equitable Growth have joined the Wall Street Journal in falling for that dodgy OECD hypothesis about rising inequality holding back economic growth.

The chart below shows stark differences between egalitarian Sweden and France, and the more unequal UK since 1970 in departures from a trend growth rate of 1.9% in real GDP per working age person, PPP.

image

Source: Computed from OECD Stat Extract and The Conference Board. 2015. The Conference Board Total Economy Database™, May 2015, http://www.conference-board.org/data/economydatabase/

In the above chart, a flat line is growth at the same rate as the USA for the 20th century, which was 1.9%  for GDP per working age person on a purchasing power parity basis. The USA’s growth rate is taken as the trend rate of growth of the global technological frontier. A falling line in the above chart is growth in real GDP per working age person, PPP, at below this trend rate of 1.9%; a rising line is above trend rate growth for that year.

  • Sweden really had been the sick man of Europe until it turned its back on high taxing, welfare state socialism in the early 1990s.
  • France has been in a long decline so much so that the global financial crisis is hard to pick up in the acceleration in its long decline in the mid-1990s.

Britain did very well, both under the neoliberal horrors of Thatcherism and the betrayals by Tony Blair of a true Labour Party platform. The UK grew at above the trend annual growth to 1.9% for most of the period from the early 1980s to 2007.

Neither France or Sweden, despite their egalitarian economies, kept up with the US growth rate since 1970. Under the OECD’s hypothesis, if France and Sweden had been more unequal, their trend growth rates would have been even more appalling since 1970.

Productivity and the National Living Wage

A brilliant point by @FlipChartRick in the reblog. What sort of single year labour productivity increase is required to cover a UK living wage increase. Basic arithmetic kills.

A 6.6% annual productivity growth would be required to fund a living wage. This will be far above trend and would be required in sectors such as services that are not at all known for rapid productivity growth because of Baumol’s disease.

A subsequent Twitter exchange updated a key chart to include Australia and New Zealand.

Rick's avatarFlip Chart Fairy Tales

The CIPD and the Resolution Foundation are collaborating on a piece of research into the impact of the National Living Wage (NLW). According to their first study over half of the country’s employers expect to be affected by it. Around a third said they would meet the increased cost by improving productivity and 22 percent said they would take lower profits. Only 15 percent said they would lay off workers or slow down recruitment.

That all sounds promising but, as Matt Whittaker points out, the productivity increase needed to cover the cost of the NLW could be pretty steep. As you might expect, there is a strong relationship between rising minimum wages and rising productivity. Most countries in the OECD have not strayed very far from this line of best fit.

Screen Shot 2015-11-20 at 16.17.15In the absence of any productivity growth, the proposed NLW would move some way from the line (the green circle) by 2016 and…

View original post 565 more words

British post-war productivity growth

The decline of the British breadwinner – distribution of working hours of married fathers since 1998

The number of British fathers in a couple who worked more than 45 hours a week has dropped from about 60% to under 40% since 1998.

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Source: OECD Family Database.

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