Redrawing of the political battle lines is foreshadowed
20 Dec 2021 Leave a comment
Covid-19 still dominates the news bulletins and there is only a shadowy outline of the political debate that will emerge in sharper focus as Christopher Luxon settles into the leadership of the National Party.
His supporters were encouraged by the bounce upward for National in the first sampling of public opinion since he took over. National rose to 33%, up 7%, in the Curia poll.
As Curia’s David Farrar noted, the overall gap between the centre-left and centre-right is basically unchanged at 6%, so the centre-right needs to pick up another 4% or so to be in a position to form a Government.
“The key difference to last month, is that people now want to hear from National, and both National and Labour are in the 30s.Also very noteworthy is Luxon’s ratings. He enters the Preferred PM ratings at 20% (Ardern 39%). That 20% rating is the highest outside an…
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Chile Election Week, Part IV: What’s at Stake in Today’s Vote?
20 Dec 2021 Leave a comment
Greetings from Santiago. Chileans vote today for a new president and there’s a risk that a Venezuelan-style leftist, Gabriel Boric, will prevail.
And that puts at risk the economic progress described in this video.
The video has a good discussion of Chile’s very successful system of private pensions (which will be in danger if Boric wins).
But it also points out how free trade helped create the prosperity of modern Chile.
And that narrative is confirmed by looking at Chile’s score from the Fraser Institute’s Economic Freedom of the World.
I’m always happy to sing the praises of free trade and condemn protectionism, but let’s keep the focus on today’s election in Chile and why it matters.
That’s why this tweet tells you everything you need to know.
Notice how Chile began to prosper after it began to shift to free markets around 1980 and notice…
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(Book Review) Keynes the Man by Murray Rothbard
19 Dec 2021 Leave a comment

Considering that economics for the way it is taught within institutions of education is largely and homogeneously based on Keynesian theory and principles, it is important to understand John Maynard Keynes’s inspirations for his works in economics. One may inquire “‘For what reasons are understanding Keynes’s inspirations behind his works important to the field?.” Understanding Keynes, his theory, and his inspiration behind his theory is salient because endorsement of his theory is not limited to just academia and admiring scholars, but it has also affected the policies and actions politicians choose to adopt. Keynesian theory is not only the foundational basis on which economics is instructed in academia, but it is also the adumbration that policy-makers of both fiscal and monetary policy all around the world have referenced for nearly each and every decision they have birthed into existence since the mid 20th century..
Furthermore, since the world economy has…
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Chile Election Week, Part III: Death Knell for the Private Pension System?
19 Dec 2021 Leave a comment
One reason I’m interested in Chile’s election is that the leftist candidate, Gabriel Boric, wants to eviscerate the nation’s successful private pension system.
Bettina Horst of Libertad Y Desarrollo gave me her analysis.
As an economist and Executive Director of the nation’s pro-market think tank, Ms. Horst understands that Chile’s system has helped workers by giving them real ownership of real assets.
And that’s much better than “pay-as-you-go” systems, like we have in the United States.
Chile’s private retirement accounts have enabled workers to build nest eggs, and the system has also provided a valuable source of capital for the nation’s economy.
So why would Chile’s voters consider a candidate like Boric, who wants to wreck that system?
We’ll find out Sunday night after the votes are counted, but a Boric victory would indicate that Chile’s workers decided to trust the free-lunch promises of a politician.
In
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Winter’s Inevitable Wind & Solar Output Collapses Guarantee More Deadly Blackouts
19 Dec 2021 Leave a comment
As another northern winter bites, it’s worth revisiting the deadly renewable energy calamity that hit America’s heartland back in February. Hundreds died in freezing homes, left without electricity thanks to hundreds of iced-up wind turbines, left frozen solid, and breathless frigid conditions that meant the remainder delivered no power, in any event. Solar fared no better, panels were plastered in snow and ice from horizon to horizon, delivering nothing but a twisted sense of virtue.
The Lone Star State – America’s wind and solar capital – was the worst hit. It took days to restore power to Texans, and hundreds of thousands of others across the Midwest were in the same perilous predicament.
The deadly catastrophe was as perfectly predictable as it was perfectly avoidable.
Had Texans maintained their reliance on ever-reliable coal, nuclear and gas, instead of obsessing about subsidised wind turbines and solar panels, the disaster would have…
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November 21, 1916: Death of Emperor Franz Joseph of Austria, King of Hungary
19 Dec 2021 Leave a comment
Franz Joseph I (August 18, 1830 – November 21, 1916) was Emperor of Austria, King of Hungary, Croatia, and Bohemia, and monarch of other states of the Austro-Hungarian Empire, from December 2, 1848 until his death. From May 1, 1850 to August 24, 1866 he was also President of the German Confederation. He was the longest-reigning ruler of Austria and Hungary, as well as the sixth-longest-reigning monarch of any country.
Franz Joseph was born August 18, 1830 in the Schönbrunn Palace in Vienna (on the 65th anniversary of the death of Franz of Lorraine, Holy RomanEmperorFranz I) as the eldest son of Archduke Franz Charles (the younger son of Holy Roman Emperor Francis II), and his wife Princess Sophie of Bavaria.
His mother, Princess Sophie of Bavaria (1805 – 1872) was born to King Maximilian I Joseph of Bavaria and his second wife Caroline of Baden. She was the identical…
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IEA: Coal set for record highs in 2022 despite net-zero pledges
19 Dec 2021 Leave a comment
Credit: Coal India Limited
After COP26 – the real world. In much of the world ‘net zero’ and suchlike so-called climate targets are not a priority, as they strive to increase access to electricity – just like richer countries once did.
– – –
The economic rebound from the pandemic is taking coal power generation to a new record high this year reports OilPrice.com, with global coal demand likely hitting another new high next year, undermining net-zero efforts, the International Energy Agency (IEA) said in its annual Coal 2021 report released on Friday.
According to the agency, the 2020 collapse in coal demand turned out to be smaller than anticipated, as China’s recovery began sooner than expected and turned out to be stronger than initially forecast.
Based on current trends, global coal demand is set to rise to 8025 Mt in 2022, the highest level ever seen, and to…
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The Most Important Election of 2021
18 Dec 2021 Leave a comment
If you want visual proof of Chile’s “improbable success,” this chart tells you everything you need to know.
Thanks to free-market reforms in the 1980s and 1990s, growth exploded, Chile became the Latin Tiger and poverty plummeted.
It’s remarkable how quickly per-capita GDP has increased compared to the average of other major Latin American economies (Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Colombia, Ecuador, Mexico, Peru, Paraguay, Uruguay, and Venezuela).
Some folks on the left (including editors at the New York Times) bizarrely think Chile’s “neoliberal experiment” has been a failure. Given their upside-down perspective, they probably think Venezuela is a smashing success.
But today’s column is not about what’s happened in the past. It’s about what may happen in the future because of an upcoming presidential election.
Let’s start with this article from the Economist, which expressed concern back in November that the first round…
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A Call of the House
17 Dec 2021 Leave a comment
When party management at Westminster was still being developed the only means of ensuring good attendance at parliamentary debates was to ‘call the House’, an event described in 1855 as ‘one of the most interesting and exciting scenes’ the Commons ever witnessed. At a time when MPs’ attendance at debates was often poor, the practice was employed when important questions required the full attention of the House.
The earliest authenticated call of the House took place in 1549, although the procedure is thought to have originated in a statute of Richard II. Usually MPs were given at least one week’s notice that a call was to take place, although the interval could vary between one day and six weeks. On the day appointed the order might be discharged (i.e. dropped), but if proceeded with the Members’ names were called over according to their counties, which were arranged alphabetically, the English…
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Numerical Nonsense: Why The Case For Intermittent Wind Power Never Adds Up
17 Dec 2021 Leave a comment
Because every MW of wind power capacity is matched with a MW of reliable coal, gas or nuclear power, the ‘case’ for subsidised wind will never add up
Generating electricity 30% of the time – albeit that wind power outfits can never tell you in advance which 30% of the time that might be – the cost of ‘backing up’ intermittent wind power becomes astronomical. These days reliable generation is referred to euphemistically as ‘firming capacity’ – conjuring up the notion of some kind of Viagra for putting a little stiffness in the grid.
Duplicating a reliable generation system with an unreliable one, not only duplicates the capital cost it also increases the cost of running the former, as coal and gas generators are forced to ramp up and down, according to the weather. All of which results in monumental waste and astronomical costs.
Jay Lehr takes a look at…
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Net Neutrality and a Lesson about Regulation
17 Dec 2021 Leave a comment
If you’re a policy wonk, you’ll enjoy this history of how government regulation has hindered the development of telecommunications technology.
I want to focus on the part of the video, beginning about 30:00, which discusses “net neutrality.” The interview with Professor Hazlett took place in 2017, at a time when there was lots of fighting over this issue.
The pro-regulation crowd claimed that net neutrality was needed to protect consumers from slow and expensive service. And they made all sorts of ridiculous claims about the Trump Administration’s plans to get rid of the Obama-era regulation.
At the time, this tweet from the Democratic members of the U.S. Senate got a lot of attention.
So what actually happened after net neutrality was repealed?
I suppose the first question to answer is:
Did..
…the…
…Internet…
…slow…
…to…
…a…
…crawl?
Not exactly. Robby Soave gives us the details in a…
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