Scientists try to explain why climate models can’t reproduce the early-2000s global warming slowdown

oldbrew's avatarTallbloke's Talkshop

model_warm Climate models overheating

Explanation, or vague excuses? They seem to be saying the models are a wonder, just a shame they don’t reflect reality – mainly due to pesky natural variation.
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A new study led by Dr. Wei and Dr. Qiao from the First Institute of Oceanography, Ministry of Natural Resources provides an evaluation of the performance of the newly released CMIP6 models in simulating the global warming slowdown observed in the early 2000s, says Phys.org.

This study reveals that the key in simulating and predicting near-term temperate change is to correctly separate and simulate the two distinct signals, i.e., the human-induced long-term warming trend and natural variabilities, especially those at interannual, interdecadal and multidecadal scales.

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The Stuarts: Anne & The United Kingdom of Great Britain (1702-1707)

Great Books Guy's avatarGreat Books Guy

“The Age of Anne is rightly regarded as the greatest manifestation of the power of England which had till then been known,” says Winston Churchill in his History of English Speaking Peoples (396). Despite her plain and sickly disposition, Queen Anne was one of the more consequential reigning English monarchs. Her queenship saw the establishment of a united kingdom of Scotland and England as “Great Britain.” It was a neo-Augustan age of letters from the likes of Addison, Pope, Defoe, Steele, Swift, and others. It was also the era of the Royal Society, which was originally chartered under Charles II, and the work of Sir Isaac Newton proliferated. However, despite numerous efforts Anne remained childless and in order to protect the Protestant character of the kingdom, after her death the crown would pass to a distant family from the Continent: the Hanovers.

Portrait of Queen Anne in 1705

“I know…

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Max Taylor: The Dissolution and Calling of Parliament Bill: Missed Opportunities

UKCLA's avatarUK Constitutional Law Association

The newly introducedDissolution and Calling of Parliament Bill(“the Bill”) – like theDraft Fixed-term Parliaments Act (Repeal) Billwhich preceded it – is a missed opportunity.It has failed to unify and define the scope and exercise of the powers of proroguing and dissolving Parliament, in one statute, which were in need of clarification post-Miller II. Now that the Government has decided on the form which it would like the Bill repealing the Fixed-term Parliaments Act to take, the moment has gone and, as a niche of constitutional law, it is unlikely to garner enough political capital for these issues to be deemed worth addressing for the meantime.

Ironically, by foregoing the opportunity to require the consent of a simple majority of MPs for a premature dissolution and/orprorogation,the Government has missed out on the simplest method for it to achieve either or both of these goals…

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Stagflation and pretty graphs?

Tom Hunter's avatarNo Minister

For two decades after the end of WWII, economists, bureaucrats and politicians were pretty sure that they’d nailed the problems of controlling a capitalist economy.

The ruling theory was Keynesianism, named after the famous economist John Maynard Keynes, whose key insight in the 1930’s was that in times of economic recession, and especially depression such as The Slump of the 1930’s, governments should not cut back on their spending but increase it.

Prior to that governments had always taken the same attitude towards a shrinking economy that households and businesses did: you cut spending in line with your falling revenues, tax in the case of government. Keynes argued that this was the wrong thing for governments to do; they were different because they controlled the creation of credit so debt was not the same threat to them. They could go into debt, perhaps quite a lot of debt, and…

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John Kerry: US climate envoy criticised for optimism on clean tech

oldbrew's avatarTallbloke's Talkshop

 

cloudcuckooland [image credit: latinoamericarenovable.com] Wishful thinking is the new climate policy for fantasy planet savers. John Kerry told the BBC technologies that don’t yet exist will play a huge role in stabilising the climate. But ‘Craig Bennett from the UK Wildlife Trusts told BBC News Mr Kerry’s remarks were “frankly ridiculous”.’ How much more worthless baloney do we have to endure from hypocritical globe-trotting alarmists?
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America’s climate envoy John Kerry has been ridiculed for saying technologies that don’t yet exist will play a huge role in stabilising the climate.

Speaking on the BBC’s Andrew Marr show, he said the US was leading the world on climate change – and rapidly phasing out coal-fired power stations.

But he rejected a suggestion that Americans need to change their consumption patterns by, say, eating less meat.

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University of Essex 2021 Annual Regius Lecture: “Following the Science? The Use of Science Advice in Policy”

Deposition in Mann vs. CEI/National Review

rogerpielkejr's avatarRoger Pielke Jr.

In the interests of transparency, and to provide a window to some of the ugliness found in climate science, here in PDF is a copy of my deposition in the case of Mann vs. CEI/National Review, which is into its 8th year.

You can find some various documents related to the case here and here. Here is an update on the most recent actions in the case.

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An Obama scientist debunks the climate doom-mongers

oldbrew's avatarTallbloke's Talkshop

climate-predictionsAnother setback for the doomsayers, as some inconvenient truths flow in their direction. Meanwhile the US ‘climate envoy’ comes up with the useless claim that “You don’t have to be a scientist to begin to feel that we’re looking at a trend line.” A trend of ever-increasing vacuous climate sales talk?
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The Washington Post has published an enlightening opinion piece on climate alarm and climate realism, says The GWPF.

Its weekly columnist Mark Thiessen bases his column on an interview with Steve Koonin and his new book ‘Unsettled: What Climate Science Tells Us, What It Doesn’t, and Why It Matters’ which is making quite a splash due to its matter-of-fact, no-nonsense approach.

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book announcement: party in the street – the antiwar movement and the democratic party after 9/11

fabiorojas's avatarorgtheory.net

blue clip2

It is my pleasure to announce the forthcoming publication of a book by Michael Heaney and myself. It is called Party in the Street: The Antiwar Movement and the Democratic Party after 9/11. It will be available from Cambridge University Press starting in early 2015.

The book is an in-depth examination of the relationship between the major social movement of the early 2000s and the Democratic Party. We begin with a puzzle. In 2006, the antiwar movement began to decline, a time when the US government escalated the war and at least five years before US combat troops completely left Iraq. Normally, one would expect that an escalation of war and favorable public opinion would lead to heightened  activism. Instead, we see the reverse.

We answer this question with a theory of movement-party intersections – the “Party in the Street.” Inspired by modern intersectionality scholarship, we argue that…

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McKitrick (2021) Climate Policy: When Emotion Meets Reality

Govt reports it is doing nicely, thank you, at getting us into houses – but it warns it must also find ways of getting us out of our cars

poonzteam5443's avatarPoint of Order

Whoa, there – she’s bolted!

We refer to Green Party co-leader Marama Davidson, who this morning dropped another media statement into our email in-tray as Associate Housing Minister.

It was her third while she has been wearing the Housing ministerial hat.

She did issue another statement as recently as May 6 but that was as Minister responsible for the Prevention of Family and Sexual Violence and – in the same capacity – she has delivered two speeches.

In her statement today she didn’t actually announce anything. Rather, she said the Government welcomed the release of the second progress report on the Homelessness Action Plan and the progress it records.

More politically provocative was a statement from Climate Change Minister James Shaw and Transport Minister Michael Wood, although they, too, did not announce a new policy.

Rather, they invited public feedback on a range of policies being mooted to reduce emissions…

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Massive Subsidies For Wind & Solar ‘Industries’: The Never, Never, Never-Ending Story

stopthesethings's avatarSTOP THESE THINGS

Back in 1983 the American Wind Industry Association claimed that solar and wind would be “competitive and self-supporting on a national level by the end of the decade if assisted by tax credits and augmented by federally sponsored R&D”. That was over 37 years ago. And there was no lack of assistance in the form of tax credits and federally sponsored R&D, along with a whole bunch of other punitive mandates and targets designed to cripple conventional generators and favour chaotically intermittent wind and solar.

Wind and solar don’t run on sunshine and breezes, they’re powered by massive and endless subsidies. Remove the subsidies and both so-called ‘industries’ would disappear in a heartbeat.

The perpetual claims about wind and solar competing with dispatchable generation sources, such as coal, gas and nuclear, ring hollow when talk turns to reducing the subsidies and forcing the unreliables to face true competition – unleashed…

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Was Lady Jane Grey a legitimate Queen of England and Ireland?

liamfoley63's avatarEuropean Royal History

When reading the lists of the Kings and Queens of England, Scotland, Great Britain or the United Kingdom, there can be discrepancies regarding the reign of Lady Jane Grey; some will list her as a legitimate Queen of England and some will not.

The question I am examining is whether or not Lady Jane Grey can be considered a legitimate Queen of England and Ireland or should she be considered a usurper? The issue at hand is there is no authoritative body to judge either the legitimacy or illegitimacy of Jane’s 9 day reign. Therefore it is open to interpretation and historians have been debating this for many, many years.

I am just another voice in this chorus of historians debating this issue. I will state my case in this post to why I don’t believe that Jane Grey was the legal successor to King Edward VI.

E12788F1-FC54-436A-965D-61A1C2DE9D64
Lady Jane Grey

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History of Male British Consorts Part I.

liamfoley63's avatarEuropean Royal History

Mary Tudor was England’s first queen regnant. As mentioned in the initial post announcing the series, Mary I of England is acknowledged as the first Queen to reign in her own right despite the brief, disputed reigns of the Empress Matilda and Lady Jane Grey.

In 1554, Mary married the future King Felipe II of Spain, becoming queen consort of Habsburg Spain on his accession in 1556. He was the eldest son of Holy Roman Emperor Charles V, who is also Carlos I of Spain, and Eleanore of Portugal.

Felipe’s father arranged this marriage to 37-year-old Queen Mary I of England, Charles’ maternal first cousin. Charles V ceded the crown of Naples, as well as his claim to the Kingdom of Jerusalem, to Felipe in order to give his son equal status to his wife upon their marriage.

Their marriage at Winchester Cathedral on July 24, 1554 took place just…

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The Stuarts: William and Mary (1689-1702)

Great Books Guy's avatarGreat Books Guy

The Catholic King James II had fled his throne, and a favored Protestant Dutchman named William of Orange had roused the people in what became known as the “Glorious Revolution.” It was a moment of extraordinary growth and opportunity for England under the governance of a foreign king. William, perhaps more than anyone, transformed the fractious English monarchy into a dominant imperial power. England was now to be regarded as a significant European power, on par with France, in alliance with the Netherlands, a hegemonic influence over the aging Spanish Empire. David Starkey calls William one of England’s greatest monarchs.

Portrait of William of Orange

William of Orange was a tenacious yet somewhat sickly figure. As a child he was asthmatic and partly crippled with a tubercular lung. “But within this emaciated and defective frame there burned a remorseless fire, fanned by the storms of Europe, and intensified by the…

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