The most valuable skill in the age of artificial intelligence (AI) may not be coding, prompt engineering, or any of the other competencies appearing in job listings. It may be the ability to figure out which skills will be valuable next. Half a century ago, Theodore Schultz had a name for something much like this:…
Why does nobody see new technology coming?By Matt Ridley. He is a British writer who has a Ph. D. in zoology.My last post was an AI generated discussion between Jules Verne and Mary Shelley on the future of technology and how it would affect people.Ridley explains how hard it is to predict the future. Many technologies…
Long-run U.S. population movements have been driven more by natural amenities than by jobs, and California, rich in both uniform and complementary climates, should be a persistent net gainer of domestic migrants. It has instead lost residents to other states every year since about 1990. This paper argues that its amenities are unchanged and that…
Nick Mowbray writes: I’m aware of the criticism we receive for donating to National and ACT. I’m also aware of the false narrative that we lobby the government and expect something in return. So let me be clear: we have never lobbied the government. Less than 1% of ZURU’s revenue is in New Zealand. We…
There is a broad literature supporting the existence of a ‘beauty premium’ in labour markets – more attractive workers tend to earn more. There are a number of channels proposed to account for this, including confidence, social or communication skills being higher among more attractive workers, attractive workers sorting into occupations that reward attractiveness, and…
Anyone who drives to Gisborne, as I have done from the north and south, will discover the roads are winding and often tedious. This means getting in produce such as groceries, incurs significant costs because of the distance and small population served. Particularly challenging for perishable meat, dairy, fruit and vegetables. The National Party’s policy […]
I have a series of columns (2021, 2024, 2025, and 2026). documenting that Americans are getting richer. And here’s a chart that adds additional evidence. More and more households over time are high income (over $100k) and fewer and fewer are low income (under $35k). And, yes, these numbers are adjusted for inflation. The chart was […]
There are two reasons why I periodically write about the Laffer Curve. I want my left-leaning friends to understand to understand that higher tax rates on productive behavior will lead to less taxable income and some foregone tax revenue. I want my right-leaning friends to understand that tax cuts are only self-financing in rare cases […]
Anthropic’s economic team, including Anton Korinek and Chad Jones, have a valuable new paper, Economic Scenarios for Transformative AI. They make their assumptions explicit and provide a scenario explorer that lets you change them. How capable will AI become? How quickly will firms adopt it? Will it augment workers or automate their tasks? You can…
Why Evolution is True is a blog written by Jerry Coyne, centered on evolution and biology but also dealing with diverse topics like politics, culture, and cats.
In Hume’s spirit, I will attempt to serve as an ambassador from my world of economics, and help in “finding topics of conversation fit for the entertainment of rational creatures.”
Recent Comments