@Income_Equality this mostly criticises @annetterongotai @AndrewLittleMP

Source: Melanoma drug ‘extortionate’ – ex-pharma chief | Radio New Zealand News.

Solution aversion and the anti-science Left

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Climate science is the latest manifestation of solution aversion: denying a problem because it has a costly solution. The Right does this on climate science, the Left does it on gun control, GMOs, and plenty more. Cass Sunstein explains:

It is often said that people who don’t want to solve the problem of climate change reject the underlying science, and hence don’t think there’s any problem to solve.

But consider a different possibility: Because they reject the proposed solution, they dismiss the science. If this is right, our whole picture of the politics of climate change is off.

Some psychologists wasted grant money on lab experiments to show that people that think the solution to a problem is costly tend to rubbish every aspect of the argument. Any politician will tell you you do not concede anything. Sunstein again:

Campbell and Kay asked the participants whether they agreed with the IPCC. And in both, about 80 percent of Democrats did agree; the policy solutions made no difference.

Republicans, in contrast, were far more likely to agree with the IPCC when the proposed solution didn’t involve regulatory restrictions…

Here, then, is powerful evidence that many people (of course not all) who purport to be skeptical about climate science are motivated by their hostility to costly regulation.

The Left is equally prone to motivated readings. For example, it was found that those on the left are much more concerned about home invasions when gun control can reduce them rather than increase them.

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The Left picks and chooses which scientific consensus as it accepts. The overwhelming consensus among researchers is biotech crops are safe for humans and the environment. This is a conclusion that is rejected by the very environmentalist organisations that loudly insist on the policy relevance of the scientific consensus on global warming.

Previously the precautionary principle was used to introduce doubt when there was no doubt. But when climate science turned in their favour, environmentalists wanted public policy to be based on the latest science.

The Right is welcoming of the science of nuclear energy or geo-engineering. The Left rejects it point-blank. Their refusal to consider nuclear energy as a solution to global warming is a classic example of solution aversion. Let he who is without sin cast the first stone.

90% of English drink in moderation – the Welsh and Scots have a few more

Source: Alcohol: 2.5 million people bust weekly limit in a day – BBC News.

If smoking is so addictive, why have so many quit?

Source: 40 years of smoking in Great Britain | Visual.ONS

#BreastCancer survival in OECD increased from 80% to 85% over past decade

Mentally ill shot by US police by threat level: January – February 2016

Unfortunately for all concerned, most of the mentally ill shot this month by police was the result of an impossible dilemma. They were either attacking police or were armed.

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Source: Investigation: People shot and killed by police this year – Washington Post.

@nzlabour – wanted by the sugar police

As the New Zealand Medical Association has pointed out tackling obesity needs to be embedded in everything, from new buildings to school classrooms…

The food industry needs a rev up as well. There’s no reason manufacturers couldn’t already have been reducing sugar and saturated fat in process food. That shows there needs to be some very strong directives from the Government.
Andrew Little, Leader of the Opposition, 19 October 2015

I’m really concerned that we’ve wasted eight years in terms of doing anything about obesity since the government’s been in after they cancelled all programmes, and what they have put in place is timid. They are not treating obesity with the seriousness that they ought to.

They’ve got to a bind now it’s hard to get out of without looking like nanny-state. They’ve got to get over themselves and think about the health of New Zealanders rather than their own political backsides.
Labour Party health spokesperson Annette King, 11 December 2015

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Two-fifths of UK health expenditure is spent on people aged 65+

What are organic diapers?

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My view on jogging too

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How to deal with science denialists

Most climate alarmists do not separate the policy issues, the economic issues, from the science of global warming as suggested in this flowchart. Specifically, they do not ask what is the economic and social cost of global warming.

On playing God at Pharmac

I unsuccessfully tried to get a list of all the drugs that had a stronger case for funding than Keytruda. The Labor Party wants that to be given priority – jump the queue.

I asked for the cost of each drug that is above Keytruda and the cut-off point for PHARMAC funding of drugs in the last four years. The first part about the cost of drugs was refused on commercial in confidence grounds.

My inquiries about a list of drugs queued up for funding that will get funding as soon as money becomes available lead to an intriguing answer by Pharmac in their response to my Official Information Act request:

For the second part of your request, PHARMAC makes its funding decisions based on its legislative objective, ‘to secure…the best health outcomes that can reasonably be achieved from pharmaceutical treatment and from within the amount of funding. Therefore, there is no cut-off value, threshold or other criteria relating to a fixed point.

This lack of a queue or cut-off point lead me to ponder how funding is allocated between life-saving and other medications, between painkillers and routine medications that are not about relieving suffering.


Source: Pharmac Making Funding Decisions factsheet.

So at the bottom of it all a certain amount of funding is available for different types of drugs ranging for miracle drugs to routine medications. Cost benefit analysis cannot really help you with that because all would tell you is to spend all your money on the life-saving drugs but we live our lives out in pain as few other drugs are available to us. At bottom, someone must play God and say that a certain amount of the budget is available to save lives.

That philosopher God King must first decide how big the health budget is and then how big the Pharmac budget is. Within the Pharmac budget, certain rather arbitrary decisions must be made as to how much is spent on life-saving drugs. Peter Singer had one of his good days when he said:

Governments implicitly place a dollar value on a human life when they decide how much is to be spent on health care programs and how much on other public goods that are not directed toward saving lives.

The task of health care bureaucrats is then to get the best value for the resources they have been allocated. It is the familiar comparative exercise of getting the most bang for your buck. Sometimes that can be relatively easy to decide. If two drugs offer the same benefits and have similar risks of side effects, but one is much more expensive than the other, only the cheaper one should be provided by the public health care program. That the benefits and the risks of side effects are similar is a scientific matter for experts to decide after calling for submissions and examining them. That is the bread-and-butter work of units like NICE.

But the benefits may vary in ways that defy straightforward comparison. We need a common unit for measuring the goods achieved by health care. Since we are talking about comparing different goods, the choice of unit is not merely a scientific or economic question but an ethical one.

Singer then goes on to talk about quality adjusted life years as the measure economists use. Still very subjective because people have enough trouble working out the value of a life saved – the value of the statistical life.

Quantifying the quality of life is even bigger leap for bureaucrats. That is not to belittle their effort. At least it is an attempt to be upfront about making difficult choices in medical rationing.

Health care does more than save lives: it also reduces pain and suffering. Tragic choices must be made as only so much spending is on saving lives; the rest will be spent on relieving pain and suffering.

We should be upfront about that so we are not captured by the identifiable victim effect. Giving money to an identifiable victim is money taken from many other health budget purposes that also save lives and relieve suffering.

Are vaccines really necessary

https://www.facebook.com/InsufferableIntolerance/photos/pb.119810451513415.-2207520000.1454049581./581167682044354/?type=3&theater

Heavy drinking is a true passion of eastern Europeans

How infectious and deadly are different diseases?

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