The odds that a child will…
07 Feb 2015 Leave a comment
in health and safety, health economics, occupational choice Tags: anti-vaccination movement
In 1958, there were more than 750,000 cases of measles
07 Feb 2015 Leave a comment
in health economics Tags: anti-vaccination movement
Dosages are quite important for the safety of medicines and other chemicals
07 Feb 2015 Leave a comment
in health economics Tags: antiscience left, Quacks
A Report Card for Humanity: 1900-2050
06 Feb 2015 Leave a comment
in applied welfare economics, economic growth, health economics, technological progress Tags: The Great Enrichment, The Great Escape, The Great Fact
Everything is just getting better and better in the developing world
05 Feb 2015 Leave a comment
in development economics, growth disasters, growth miracles, health economics Tags: infant mortality, life expectancy, The Great Escape
HT: Alex Epstein
Does global warming denial and the anti-vaccination movement march to the same anti-science step?
03 Feb 2015 Leave a comment
in climate change, economics of information, economics of media and culture, environmental economics, global warming, health economics, politics - Australia, politics - New Zealand, politics - USA, Public Choice Tags: anti-vaccination movement, climate alarmists, expressive politics, expressive voting, psychology of persuasion
In the last post, I presented evidence, collected as part of the CCP Vaccine Risk Perception study, that showed that the trope has no meaningful connection to fact.
Those who accept and reject human evolution, those who believe in and those who are skeptical about climate change, all overwhelmingly agree that vaccine risks are low and vaccine benefits high.
The idea that either climate change skepticism or disbelief in evolution denotes hostility to science or lack of comprehension of science is false, too. That’s something that a large number of social science studies show. The CCP Vaccine Risk study doesn’t add anything to that body of evidence.
Vaccination rates are a serious issue. Do those that are trying to lift vaccination rates think they going to get anywhere by calling people stupid, corrupt and in the pay of a multinational.
Of course not. This matter is serious. It’s a real public health risk.
People are persuaded to vaccinate through gentle messages providing facts in a way they can understand that also respects their knowledge, their intellect, and their concerns for the safety of the children. You don’t win people over by insulting them.
The climate alarmists are so insulting because they have no interest in persuading the people that are actually talking to. They are reaching out to members on the audience were are on the margin, and appealing to their political base, including the fundraising base by showing how staunch they are in slaying the Dragon.
Street by street confirmed measles cases in Auckland, New Zealand 2014
03 Feb 2015 Leave a comment
in health economics, politics - New Zealand, politics - USA Tags: anti-vaccination movement, measles
video link is https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oAluTnnLyF4
Data is for the Auckland health board district.
Some demographics of the anti-vaccination movement
03 Feb 2015 Leave a comment
in health economics, politics - USA Tags: anti-vaccination movement, The Great Escape, vaccinations, vaccines
Profits Are So High, Why Don’t More Farmers Switch To Organic?
02 Feb 2015 Leave a comment
in economics of information, economics of religion, health economics, occupational regulation Tags: compensating differentials, consumer fraud, entrepreneurial alertness, expressive voting, food snobs, organic farming, reputational capital, social norms
HT: Yet Again, Organic Ag Proves Just as Productive as Chemical Ag | Mother Jones.
The increase is partly because more farmers are taking advantage of the healthier profit margins and partly because organic marketing groups sell a health food mythology where cost is not a factor, so costs can rise along with more product. It is a miracle of capitalism.
But given a consumer-base that is wealthy and that is educated by advertising so completely, why don’t all farmers switch?It just takes paying for a sticker and promising to use an organic toxic chemical rather than a synthetic one, there is no testing of organic food, so it would be easy to just make more money.
The reason more don’t move to organic, according to a paper in the Journal of Marketing, is because conventional farmers know in their hearts and minds they are deceiving the public if they switch – making that change is like switching belief systems.
via “Chemical Farmers”: Profits Are So High, Why Don’t More Farmers Switch To Organic?.
Adam Smith wrote about religion in the Wealth of Nations in part because how it infused moral fibre into market dealings. Smith offered a theory explaining the participation of individuals in religion based on his theory of human capital.
In particular, businessmen want to signal to customers that they were moral upstanding people who will not cheat them because that would be against their own moral code and sense of self-respect.
For this reason, Adam Smith suggested that religious sects proliferating in cities because people wanted to join them as a way of signalling they were morally upstanding people. These sects were demanding and rigourously policed the morals of their membership and expelled those who fell in any way short.
A reputation for honesty is both an entrepreneurial investment as well as a way of living a decent life.
People value their reputations and self-respect for being a good and decent man or woman, but some do so more than others. This is why the wage premium under the theory of compensating differentials is large enough only for the trailing edge of the business community. What is that premium?
In 2011, [the] organic premium for a bushel of wheat was 52.2% after factoring in reduced yield per acre of organic production versus total [chemical] average yield per acre. In other terms, [chemical] wheat would have had to have yielded over 53 bushels [a two-thirds increase] per acre to match organic return per acre. (Ted Craig, Wyoming Department of Agriculture, personal communication)
Being an organic farmer is somewhat trendy these days and raises you in the eyes of many but not all. As such, self-respect rather than reputation would be the bigger driver of how large the compensating differential must be before more move to organic farming.
Utopia, you are standing in it! 
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