How vaccines and herd immunity work

How vaccinations work

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The rising cost of bringing new drugs to the market

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Have We Lost the War on Drugs? – Gary Becker and Kevin Murphy – WSJ 2013

One moderate alternative to the war on drugs is to follow Portugal’s lead and decriminalize all drug use while maintaining the illegality of drug trafficking. Decriminalizing drugs implies that persons cannot be criminally punished when they are found to be in possession of small quantities of drugs that could be used for their own consumption.

Decriminalization would reduce the bloated U.S. prison population since drug users could no longer be sent to jail.

Decriminalization would make it easier for drug addicts to openly seek help from clinics and self-help groups, and it would make companies more likely to develop products and methods that address addiction…

A study published in 2010 in the British Journal of Criminology found that in Portugal since decriminalization, imprisonment on drug-related charges has gone down; drug use among young persons appears to have increased only modestly, if at all; visits to clinics that help with drug addictions and diseases from drug use have increased; and opiate-related deaths have fallen.

Have We Lost the War on Drugs? – WSJ.

Ebola patient 1

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Some quacks and con artists are a bit lazy in their promotional material

Environmental and Urban Economics: Do Demographers Really Predict Future Population Trends Without Incorporating Women’s Economic Incentives?

To my amazement, this work does not discuss how women’s potential earnings in the labor market correlates with fertility decisions.

At least in the Demography paper linked to above, the word “incentives” does not appear in the paper and nobody makes a choice based on the costs and benefits of fertility.

Without incorporating such factors, how can a statistical model yield a credible prediction?

via Environmental and Urban Economics: Do Demographers Really Predict Future Population Trends Without Incorporating Women’s Economic Incentives?.

Behind on my food snob blogging

An organ shortage kills 30 Americans every day. Is it time to pay donors? – The Washington Post

organ

via An organ shortage kills 30 Americans every day. Is it time to pay donors? – The Washington Post.

It Took Studying 25,782,500 Kids To Begin To Undo The Damage Caused By 1 Doctor

via It Took Studying 25,782,500 Kids To Begin To Undo The Damage Caused By 1 Doctor.

Steven Landsburg on the difference between an absurdity and a lie about Obamacare

via In Defense of Gruber at Steven Landsburg | The Big Questions: Tackling the Problems of Philosophy with Ideas from Mathematics, Economics, and Physics.

Have you eaten GMOs?

Jon Stewart demolishes Gruber and the Democrats on Obamacare

Measles has risen from the dead

Amazing ambulance drone cuts response time to 1 minute on heart attacks

Once the heart stops beating, it takes about 4-6 minutes for the brain to die. The average response time for ambulances is about 10 minutes.

A professional response within a single minute could potentially increase the cardiac arrest survival rate to an astonishing 80%.

Though defibrillators are commonly available in public areas in case of emergency, 4 out of 5 cardiac arrests occur at home where the equipment likely isn’t available.

Currently, only 20% of untrained people are able to successfully apply a defibrillator, but this rate can be increased to 90% if people are provided with instructions at the scene.

My impression is that the sky will be quite crowded with drones in about 5 to 10 years and there will be an air traffic control problem.

HT: ambulance-drone-could-drastically-increase-heart-attack-survival

A New Measure of Suspense

Sporting suspense as measured by the number of heart attacks during world cup finals.

jeff's avatarCheap Talk

In our paper, Alex Frankel, Emir Kamenica and I argue that soccer is among the most suspenseful sports according to our theoretical measure.  Now, via Matt Dickenson, comes an empirical validation of this finding using German cardiac arrest data:

The red line shows the spike in heart attacks on the dates of 2006 World Cup matches involving the German national team.  Note that point 7 is the third place match against Portugal after Germany had been eliminated in their semi-final match against Italy (point 6.)

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