The Great Means-Testing Debate

Nine years ago, I critically analyzed the Cohen-Friedman debate on means-testing Social Security. Only recently, though, did I find the original footage from 1971. As far as I know, this is the first time that any prominent social scientist made the “A program only for the poor will always be a poor program” argument that…

The Great Means-Testing Debate

My Econoboi Poverty Debate vs. Matt Bruenig

Tomorrow at 2 PM ET, I’ll be debating “What is the best policy response to poverty?” versus Matt Bruenig. Venue: Econoboi channel P.S. You might recall that… 9 more words

My Econoboi Poverty Debate vs. Matt Bruenig

The effects of unemployment benefit duration

What happened to the US labor market after the Emergency Unemployment Compensation Act expired after the Great Recession?By Tyler Smith of The AEA. “In December 2013, when Congress failed to reauthorize the Emergency Unemployment Compensation Act, many prominent economists predicted a substantial decline in employment and labor force participation.   In a paper in the American Economic Journal:…

The effects of unemployment benefit duration

US Poverty and Policy

The US economy is the largest in the world, and at least among the large-population countries of the world (setting aside smaller economies strongly influenced by international capital flows like Monaco, Cayman Islands, and Ireland or by oil resources), it also has the highest per capita GDP. But at the same time, according to the…

US Poverty and Policy

The Adverse Consequences of High-Tax Welfare States

Honest leftists (the “Okunites“) generally acknowledge that laissez-faire policies deliver more growth, but they nonetheless favor high taxes and redistribution because they argue that social equality matters a lot. However, according to this chart, there’s a negative relationship between bigger government and social welfare indicators such as health, education, unemployment, and exclusion. Looking specifically at […]

The Adverse Consequences of High-Tax Welfare States

Is the earned income tax overrated?

This policy has been so popular with economists on a bipartisan basis, yet a recent piece in ReStud raises some doubts, as the wage subsidies induce many to drop out of school: As a complement to the federal earned income tax credit (EITC), some states offer their own EITC, typically calculated as a percentage of […]

Is the earned income tax overrated?

Moving on Up

James Heckman and Sadegh Eshaghnia have launched a broadside in the WSJ against the Chetty-Hendren paper The Impacts of Neighborhoods on Intergenerational Mobility I: Childhood Exposure Effects. It’s a little odd to see this in the WSJ but since the Chetty-Hendren paper has been widely reported in the media, I suppose this is fair game. […]

Moving on Up

Why I disagree with Helen Clark

According to the NZ Herald this morning: “Former Prime Minister Helen Clark has described the departure of former Prime Minister Jacinda Ardern from politics as “devastating for women around the world”.” Not this one. But then very little devastates me beyond the loss of a loved person or pet. Or dwelling on the suffering of…

Why I disagree with Helen Clark

Why the accommodation supplement does little to help low-income tenants

In an article in The Conversation earlier this year, Edward Yiu and William Cheung (both University of Auckland) discuss New Zealand’s accommodation supplement for low-income renters:New Zealand’s unaffordable housing market has left many low and middle-income families reliant on the accommodation supplement to cover rent and mortgage payments.But our new research has found the scheme,…

Why the accommodation supplement does little to help low-income tenants

Who relies most heavily on welfare?

This short piece is a partial answer to the question posed. It addresses the ‘who’ but not the ‘why’.The following chart uses Census data from Statistics NZ and benefit data from MSD. Both sets are from March 2023.At that time there were 345,417 individuals reliant on a main benefit which primarily comprised Jobseeker (formerly Unemployment…

Who relies most heavily on welfare?

Guest Post: NEW ZEALAND’s RETIREMENT PENSION

A guest post by Sir Roger Douglas: Michael Littlewood’s ‘Guest Post’ for David Farrar on pensions, and his belief that our social welfare system is fit for purpose and doesn’t need change, reminded me of why New Zealand is currently well on the way to bankruptcy, and why our brightest young people are leaving the […]

Guest Post: NEW ZEALAND’s RETIREMENT PENSION

Bad leaders solicit bad advice

When Jacinda Ardern became Prime Minister, she was determined to increase income for children in welfare-dependent families – her magic bullet for solving child poverty. The Welfare Expert Advisory Group, led by Cindy Kiro, was convened to make the desired recommendations. A number of evidence briefs were provided to the group, one concerned the “likely…

Bad leaders solicit bad advice

Willis on targeting vs universality

The Herald reports: She said the current system was problematic in that many entitlements were claimed by wealthy people and paid for by hiking taxes on workers of all income levels. “There are a lot of entitlements and support that have crept into the middle and upper class, and I would prefer to have a […]

Willis on targeting vs universality

Ratbag Kainga Ora tenants finally face consequences

https://www.stuff.co.nz/nz-news/360528298/huge-increase-evictions-disruptive-kainga-ora-tenants-due-new-approach Not sure what is more amazing – that the “reporter” couldn’t bring itself to mention that this is National led government policy in action after Labour evicted zero KO tenants for years, or that National have completely failed to trumpet this announcement in their own press release. Anyway, this is great news for long […]

Ratbag Kainga Ora tenants finally face consequences

The NZ Treasury’s Lack of Imagination Threatens our Future. It has no faith in Economic Magic (Einstein did).

Our Treasury is at it again. Telling Kiwis a bleak future awaits them, especially in retirement. Its latest report about how NZ Demographic Change will affect the Country’s Finances is enough make the PM’s eyes glaze over, Finance Minister Willis fall asleep, NZ First leader Peters to press Delete on his laptop & everyone else…

The NZ Treasury’s Lack of Imagination Threatens our Future. It has no faith in Economic Magic (Einstein did).

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