Is our economic ignorance about the sources of growth increasing?

via Roger Pielke Jr.’s Blog: Is Our Economic Ignorance Increasing?.

The growth versus redistribution

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Deirdre McCloskey on how Euroland can grow again

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How is the French economy going?

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Down and out in America in one photo

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Film review – Elysium

Elysium was on TV. When I saw it on the big screen, no one told me it was a depiction of contemporary capitalism and the class war.

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I read it as a contrast between third world countries lacking the rule of law and capitalist democracies.

The ships shooting up to the space station reminded me of Cubans trying to cross into the USA by boat to Florida.

Sorry,  but I am just a simple country boy from the back blocks of Tasmania.

Time I want back on my deathbed: listening to social credit and other monetary cranks

I lost a good 15 minutes of my life that I will not get back on my deathbed listening to some monetary cranks at a Meet the Candidates forum last night for the New Zealand general election.

Monetary cranks advocate boundless inflation and credit expansion as the patent medicine for all our economic ills:

those who have Found the Light about Money take up their pens and write, with a conviction, a persistence and a devotion otherwise only found among the disciples of a new religion.

It is easy to scoff at these productions: it is not so easy always to see exactly where they go wrong. It is natural that practical bankers, vaguely conscious that the projects of monetary cranks are dangerous to society, should cling in self-defence to the solid rock, or what they believe to be so, of tradition and accepted practice. But it is not open to the detached student of economics to take refuge from dangerous innovation in blind conservatism.

D.H. Robertson (1928)

Listening to these monetary cranks in the audience last night rates with the worst movies I have ever ever seen for time I want back my deathbed. I think the worst movie I have ever seen was Absolute Beginners starring David Bowie. After that it, might be Last Tango in Paris.

These particular monetary cranks  with their obsessions about factional reserve banking are from the social credit party in New Zealand. They are followers of Major C.H. Douglas, whom Keynes referred to as a:

private, perhaps, but not a major in the brave army of heretics

Social credit  and other monetary cranks believe that all the world’s problems will be sold if the reserve bank prints money and they seem to think that was really easy because there is a fractional reserve banking system.

No one in the room who knew better wanted to lose more time that they wanted back on their deathbed explaining why printing money doesn’t make you richer. The “money is wealth” error is the  defining affliction of the monetary  crank.

The good economist will know that money creation is no short-cut to wealth. Only the production of valued goods and services in a market which reflects the consumer’s  willingness to pay can relieve poverty and promote prosperity. A people are prosperous to the extent they possess goods and services, not money. All the money in the world—paper or metallic—will still leave one starving if goods and services are not available.

Obviously, none of them were persuaded by the quantity theory of money: if you increase the supply of money without a matching increase in the rate of real growth in the production of goods and services, you’ll have more money chasing the same amount of goods so prices will go up. It’s called inflation. Printing money creates inflation.

There is a school of thought in economic school, the Austrian school of economics, does get excited about fractional reserve banking. The reason it does is to explain how fractional reserve banking creates inflation and promotes the business cycle.

A cycle of booms and busts is not looked upon as a good thing by the Austrian school of economics.

The Austrian school wants to get rid of fractional reserve banking as a way of reducing inflation and reducing the possibility of a loose monetary policy causing booms and busts in the economy.

These monetary cranks from social credit  party honestly believed that printing more money will make you wealthier. Thankfully no one asked them to explain their position.

A few supporters of the monetary cranks in the audience asked other members of their views on the ideas of these monetary cranks. Sensibly, they all gave short answers that did not provoke them further and waste more of their precious life listening to them talk  nonsense.

If printing money was a winner,  as with any populist policy that has a half a chance of working, the parties of the centre-left and centre right would be all over it like flies to s…

Can New Zealand blame distance for its economic woes alert: the global economic hub has been moving closer to us for at least 20 years

Ending child labour can only be through expanding family opportunities

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Groundhog Day for economic forecasters – The Grumpy Economist

via The Grumpy Economist: Groundhog Day.

The ultimate resource

simons population

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Euroland is presented by progressives as the type of mixed economies they prefer and larger governments they want

The OECD countries with persistently high unemployment rate are the European welfare states – about double figures for 2 decades or more now. The reality is progressive politics pits workers against worker, and the middle-class against the poor and rich with the progressives cheering for the middle-class.

Euroland has a labour aristocracy – a two-tier system with ultra-secure workers with the permanent jobs and vulnerable temporary workers. The prime-age workers with the permanent jobs are pitted against the young, the unemployed and the older workers – these three groups are either locked-out or pushed-out. It took the equally worse recession in U.S. post-war history for their unemployment rates to reach the levels in Euroland in most any year out of the last 20.

Progressive solutions have been tried and they failed: a new word had to be invented to capture the resulting high unemployment rates and stagnant productivity growth from adopting progressive policies: Eurosclerosis!

Milton Friedman on what presidents can do to increase the economic growth rate

First of all, I don’t think the president has a great deal to do with keeping the economy going…

I think presidents have a great deal to do with keeping the economy from growing…

I think the economy is largely independent of the government, and what keeps it going is its own internal development.

However, you can short-circuit that internal development. If you impose very high taxes, and eliminate the incentive to innovate, to improve, to take risks, and do things, you’ll kill the economy. And that’s what’s happened over and over again in other countries around the world.

The U.S. Economic Growth Gap Revisited

Robert Lucas has asked:

Is it possible that by imitating European policies on labor markets, welfare, and taxes that the U.S. has chosen a new, lower GDP trend?

If so, it may be that the weak recovery we have had so far is all the recovery we will get.

via The Economic Growth Gap Revisited.

Piketty: A Wealth of Misconceptions by Don Boudreaux

Piketty’s method of doing economics involves frequent grand proclamations about "social justice" and economic "evolutions," but he offers no analyses of the dynamics of individual decision-making, often referred to as "microeconomics," that should be central to the issues he raises…

Revealingly, Piketty writes of income and wealth as being claimed or "distributed," never as being earned or produced. The resulting statistics are too aggregated—too big-picture—to reveal what is happening to individuals on the ground…

He imagines that such aggregates interact in robotic fashion through a logic of their own, unmoved by individual human initiative, creativity, or choice…

If we follow the advice of Adam Smith and examine people’s ability to consume, we discover that nearly everyone in market economies is growing richer…

THE U.S. IS THE bête noir of Piketty and other progressives obsessed with monetary inequality.

But middle-class Americans take for granted their air-conditioned homes, cars, and workplaces—along with their smartphones, safe air travel, and pills for ailments ranging from hypertension to erectile dysfunction…

At the end of World War II, when monetary income and wealth inequalities were narrower than they’ve been at any time in the past century, these goods and services were either available to no one or affordable only by the very rich.

So regardless of how many more dollars today’s plutocrats have accumulated and stashed into their portfolios, the elite’s accumulation of riches has not prevented the living standards of ordinary people from rising spectacularly…

Piketty’s disregard for basic economic reasoning blinds him to the all-important market forces at work on the ground—market forces that, if left unencumbered by government, produce growing prosperity for all. Yet, he would happily encumber these forces with confiscatory taxes.

via Piketty: A Wealth of Misconceptions – Barron’s.

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NOT A LOT OF PEOPLE KNOW THAT

“We do not believe any group of men adequate enough or wise enough to operate without scrutiny or without criticism. We know that the only way to avoid error is to detect it, that the only way to detect it is to be free to inquire. We know that in secrecy error undetected will flourish and subvert”. - J Robert Oppenheimer.