COVID-19 discussion thread VII

Unknown's avatarClimate Etc.

by Judith Curry

Some interesting papers that I’ve spotted over the past week.

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The fall of communism crashed the scripophily market

From https://www.independent.co.uk/money/eighty-years-later-the-tsarist-bond-pays-off-1283278.html

#climateemergency #globalwarming #GreenNewDeal @AOC @GreenpeaceAP @Greens @NZGreens @oxfam @BernieSanders @SenWarren

Which is Auckland? Lombardy? #COVID19 #OTD

From https://www.google.com/covid19/mobility/

Case against UFOs

Will We Ever Find and Understand Extraterrestrial Messages ?

Spain seeks to pass new climate law to reach net zero by 2050

oldbrew's avatarTallbloke's Talkshop


It looks as if most European countries intend to learn the hard way that industrial economies can’t run successfully on expensive and intermittent electricity supplies. If their governments are happy to de-industrialise they should say so, then voters working in power-hungry industries would know the score. The price of climate superstition could be high for a lot of people.
– – –
Spain has announced it is seeking to pass a new climate law to ensure it can cut its emissions to net zero by 2050, reports Energy Live News.

The draft law proposals would ban all new coal, oil and gas projects with immediate effect in order to rapidly reduce Spain’s greenhouse gas emissions by a fifth before 2030, relative to 1990 levels, as well as increase the renewable share of the country’s energy mix from around 50% to 70% by this time.

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Henry VIII Invades France 1544

MSW's avatarWeapons and Warfare

The Siege of Boulogne by King Henry VIII (1491-1547) in 1544, engraved by James Basire, 1788

The Siege of Boulogne by King Henry VIII (1491-1547) in 1544, engraved by James Basire, 1788

Basire_Embarkation_of_Henry_VIII

Henry VIII embarking in Dover.

Throughout this year, and the beginning of 1544, preparations were made for the great invasion of France under the combined leadership of Henry of England and Charles of Spain. The cost of the undertaking was so vast, however, that the general coinage of the realm was debased by introducing a larger amount of alloy into its gold and silver coins. By these means the king’s mint acquired large sums of money, since the face value of the currency was the same despite the smaller amount of precious metal. Prices naturally rose, at a rate of approximately 10 per cent each year, and the economy took twenty years to recover. These were the results of the king’s passion for war.

Other ways of making money were also found. It was decided to exact a ‘benevolence’ from the nation. Those who owned lands worth more than an…

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Covid-19 Innovation – Are We on the Right Track?

afinetheorem's avatarA Fine Theorem

I never discuss my own research on this website – it’s more fun (for me at the very least!) to dive in to the great results the rest of the economics community produces. So I hope you’ll forgive me for breaking this rule today, as I want to show a few interesting, very time-sensitive results Jorge Lemus, Guillermo Marshall and I have developed about Covid-19 innovation.

Many of us in the innovation economics world have been asked by governments how they should handle R&D right now. The basic problem is clear. There is a pandemic. Stopping this has enormous economic benefits – a vaccine that arrived tomorrow would literally be among the most economically valuable inventions ever made. Treatments which allow normal economic activity are incredibly valuable as well. As always, governments have limited knowledge about who is able to invent what. There is tremendous uncertainty about how various…

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UK investment trust portfolio strategies before the first world war

ehs1926's avatarThe Long Run

by Janette Rutterford and Dimitris P. Sotiropoulos (The Open University Business School)

The full article from this blog is forthcoming in the Economic History Review

_72560439_72560401 Mary Evans Picture Library

UK investment trusts (the British name for closed-end funds) were at the forefront of financial innovation in the global era before World War I. Soon after the increase in investment choice facilitated by Companies Acts in the 1850s and 1860s – which allowed investors limited liability – investment trusts emerged to invest in a diverse range of securities across the globe, thereby offering asset management services to individual investors. They rapidly became a low-cost financial vehicle for so-called “averaging” of risk across a portfolio of marketable securities without having to sacrifice return. UK investment trusts were the first genuine historical paradigm of a sophisticated asset management industry.

Formed as trusts from the the late 1860s, by the 1880s, the vast majority…

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A wide-ranging interview with Steve Pinker on BBC Radio 4

whyevolutionistrue's avatarWhy Evolution Is True

This morning on BBC Radio 4,  Jim Al-Khalili conducted a half-hour interview with Steve Pinker in “The Life Scientific” series.  Although Steve is promoting his new book, The Better Angels of Our Nature, only about six minutes of the interview deals with it.  The rest covers a number of topics, including controversies about his first book, The Language Instinct, and about the more recent The Blank Slate.

You can hear the program archived here, and it will be rebroadcast this evening at 9:30 p.m. London time.

As always, Steve is eloquent: he appears to speak in complete and perfect paragraphs; see if you can spot anything ungrammatical. Eloquence is one thing that unites the Five Horsemen (yes, there are five): Pinker, Dawkins, Dennett, Harris, and Hitchens; and I greatly envy that talent. I consider Hitch the most eloquent, but the rest are no slouches.

Highlights:

  • How…

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Steve Pinker weighs in on the “evolutionary psychology is impossible” paper

whyevolutionistrue's avatarWhy Evolution Is True

After I wrote my critique of Subrena Smith’s anti-evolutionary-psychology paper this morning—hers titled “Is evolutionary psychology possible?”—I sent the link to Steve Pinker, who’s quarantining on Cape Cod. He wrote back with some nice words of approbation, but added a few points. I thought these points were good, relevant and, as the first two weren’t made by either me or critic Edward Hagen, I asked Steve if I could quote him. He said yes. So add these criticisms to those leveled this morning. (Steve’s words are indented.)

All your points are exactly right. The motive seems to be the slipshod politicizing I exposed 18 years ago in The Blank Slate: if we’re blank slates, there can’t be differences between races, which would make racism impossible; therefore to combat racism we must believe that humans are blank slates. It fails both in philosophical coherence (racism is not an empirical hypothesis…

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Joe Rogan Experience #1006 – Jordan Peterson & Bret Weinstein

Cole and Ohanian on leaving the gold standard during the Great Contraction

Image

No, Observer: ‘free-market think-tanks’ haven’t changed their tune

julianhjessop's avatarPlain-speaking Economics

This Sunday the Observer ran a frontpage story headlined ‘rightwing thinktanks call time on austerity era’. I was quoted in the article, wearing my IEA hat, as were representatives of the Adam Smith Institute, Centre for Policy Studies and Policy Exchange. As it happens, I am happy with the specific comments attributed to me, which fairly reflected both my support for a temporary increase in government borrowing and my concerns about the duration of the lockdown. However, the inferences drawn, and indeed the whole narrative of the article, were badly misleading.

Let’s skip over the dubious assumption that a think-tank is ‘right-wing’ just because it favours free-market solutions to economic and social problems, or that any think-tank always speaks with a single voice. The bigger issue here is the claim that there had been a fundamental ‘shift in stance’ in favour of ‘sustained increases’ in public spending as a result…

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