Why protest the inauguration of the weakest GOP president in modern times?
21 Jan 2017 2 Comments
in politics - USA, Public Choice Tags: 2016 presidential election, Leftover Left, Twitter left
Those denouncing Trump forget he is the weakest newly elected GOP president in modern times. Trump’s polarising nature rules out his popularity going up that much.
His erratic nature means that his administration will perform poorly because those he appoints to make up his administration, all 4000 of them, do not know what Trump wants because that changes every day. Trump will have to arbitrate all disputes within his administration.
Congress will desert him as soon as it hurts their re-election chances in 2018 where a great many Republican Senate seats are up because they won back the Senate in 2012.
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Trump is even weaker than average because a good part of his base do not otherwise vote in elections or they are registered Democrats. This makes his disgruntled base less of a threat in the 2018 Republican primaries.
Trump can only afford to lose 2 Republican senators. The Democratic Senate caucus will be united because opportunities if they can only pick up two Republican votes in the current Senate.
Trump will be an inept President but more socially liberal than any recent GOP president. Protest that.
Before you start on the fact that Trump won the electoral college but not the popular vote, remember the John Kerry to this day believes election fraud in Ohio deprived him of the presidency in 2004 despite losing the popular vote by about 3 million votes. Winning Ohio would have flipped that election.
Police shootings by threat level 2016
15 Jan 2017 1 Comment
in economics of crime, law and economics, politics - USA Tags: law and order, police shootings
Source: Police shootings 2016 database – Washington Post.
Does your opinion change if you know the level of threat by those who are at said to be not attacking police such as whether they had a gun, knife or other weapon or were charging police with more than a few mentally ill people do with or without a toy weapons.
Source: Police shootings 2016 database – Washington Post.
It was a lot easier to analyse this database before the Washington Post removed the data filter that easily told you whether there was an attack in progress or not. That filter was inexplicably removed about a year ago.
The retention of that filter would have helped illustrate the point that the Washington Post conceded when it compiled this database. That was less than 5% of all police shootings are in any way suspicious.
Manus Island queue jumper admits he successfully jumped queue @AmnestyNZ cries torture
15 Jan 2017 Leave a comment
in Economics of international refugee law, politics - Australia Tags: do gooders, economics of immigration
Amnesty NZ thinks it is torture to go from being a faceless family in a UN refugee camp with little hope to being in the Manus Island immigration detention camp with Australia doing everything it can to get you accepted as a refugee in another country. How many refugees in UN camps have all the resources of the Australian government trying to resettle them? Burma is such a dump the resettlement anywhere in the world is an economic improvement as well.
Source: ‘The torture in my country is transparent, in Australia it is not obvious’.
Another question that must be asked is whether the refugees on Manus Island displace refugees with better claims from within another country’s refugee quota because the Australian government is lobbying for them to be accepted as a refugee.
Boat arrivals do not increase the Australian refugee quota so someone with a better claim is displaced. As arrivals by boat are no longer ever eligible to settle in Australia, this displacement dilemma is moved onto the consciences of 3rd countries.
The purpose of the UN processing of refugees is to ensure those with the most pressing claims for asylum receive refugee status first. Those pushed back in the queue may be at a greater risk of imprisonment, torture and execution than those that arrived in Australia by boat.
Would the rhetoric be any different if it was a President Cruz
27 Dec 2016 Leave a comment
in politics - USA Tags: 2016 presidential election
It is important to differentiate between those shortcomings of Donald Trump that will result in him being ineffective as opposed to dangerous.
In domestic affairs, he will be a rather ineffective Republican president. His administration will have little idea of what he wants, and he will be the only one able to arbitrate disputes. In foreign affairs, this thin-skinned tough guy who is proudly ignorant will be dangerous and impulsive.
A President Cruz would be much more effective and far more conservative in domestic affairs. Cruz is a social conservative, Trump is not. In foreign affairs, Cruz is likely to intervene more but be less petulant and would certainly be a master of his brief and the risks of what he is doing.
Practically all the shots being fired at Trump would be fired at Cruz and were at Romney and McCain. That is why they were so ineffective during the campaign.
The same old extreme rhetoric about every Republican candidate is the bogeyman. This time the Republican presidential nominee was an ignorant man. People had heard it all before so they did not believe it. That applied to Bernie Sanders too – I had to slip that in. The left must not cry wolf too often.
As Bill Maher was honest enough to admit, Romney and McCain were men of honour with whom he had honest disagreements. Cruz is the same but he would be a far more effective president than Trump. Remember that.
Utopia, you are standing in it! 
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