Sample selection bias and @Fightfor15 @AOC @BernieSanders @SenWarren

Madonna – Papa Don’t Preach

New Labour @jeremycorbyn

What I Wasn’t Told About the #climateemergency With Luca Rossi

Democratic primary: Don’t understate Biden’s dominance

msshugart's avatarFruits and Votes

The fragmentation of the US Democratic Party’s field of presidential pre-candidates exaggerates the weakness–real though it is–of the clear front-runner, Joe Biden.

Taking two poll trackers, Economist and FiveThirtyEight, here are those polling at five percent or more:

Pre-candidateEconomistFiveThirtyEight
Biden2627.3
Sanders1717.8
Warren1614.7
Buttigieg88.0
Bloomberg75.0
(Sub-)total7472.8

It is noteworthy that even with so many candidates and different methodologies, the two trackers agree on the order. The only really substantial difference between them is in the estimate for Bloomberg. Not shown here, the two trackers also agree in the order of the next three: Yang, Klobuchar, and Booker. After that they diverge on the farther trailing candidates. (Economist has both Gabbard and Steyer at 1% but lists her ahead of him; perhaps we could say they agree on the order of the top ten.)

In the

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PDF, What is it FOR? – Computerphile

The models could do better

Image

Another gender gap

Global warming: why you should not worry

Red Beard’s Ghost Returns – German Invasion Plans – WW2 – 069 – December 21 1940

The Hooters – And We Danced

Religions don’t think much of sinners and non-believers

Image

Munich Climate Conference 2019

Ron Clutz's avatarScience Matters

Antifa thugs outside Munich Conference Center.

Thanks to Andreas Müller for writing at his blog hintermbusch on four key presentations at the EIKE Climate Conference on Nov. 23, 2019. As many have read, eco-terrorists forced the sessions out of the scheduled venue, but the gatherings went on elsewhere.  So much for dialogue in search of scientific truth. Here are some excerpts in italics with my bolds to encourage readers to read his informative report. (link in red above).

In this blog post, I summarize these lectures and add links to the video clips for you to follow the lectures on your own and in full detail (Only the first talk was in German and is not easily accessible for most of the international public).

Christian Schlüchter, Switzerland

Prof. em. Christian Schlüchter is a geologist and has studied the glaciers of the Alps in great detail. He reports the findings of…

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BBC amplification of Amnesty’s lawfare agenda again compromises impartiality

Hadar Sela's avatarBBC Watch

On July 29th Amnesty International released yet another one of its reports concerning last summer’s conflict between Israel and assorted terrorist groups based in the Gaza Strip. Predictably, the BBC News website’s Middle East page quickly came up with an article headlined “Gaza: ‘Israeli war crimes’ followed soldier’s capture – Amnesty” and viewers of BBC television news programmes saw a filmed item which was also posted on the website under the title “Gaza conflict: Amnesty report says Israel committed ‘war crimes’“.AI report Rafah

There is of course nothing surprising about that: the BBC has faithfully and unquestioningly amplified the Amnesty International material produced on that subject since the hostilities came to a close, just as it also blindly reproduced statements made by that NGO during the conflict itself. And there was also nothing unexpected about that because Amnesty International is one of the NGOs most regularly promoted…

View original post 611 more words

Dad’s Army – Christmas Broadcast to the Empire

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