Inside Russia’s “Escalate to Deescalate” Strategy
04 Nov 2022 Leave a comment
in defence economics, war and peace Tags: Atomic weapons, Ukraine
The IMF, the Laffer Curve, and Supply-Side Economics
04 Nov 2022 Leave a comment
The Laffer Curve is a very straightforward concept.
It graphically illustrates why politicians are wrong if they think you can double tax revenue by doubling tax rates (or that revenues will drop by 50 percent
if tax rates are cut in half).
Simply stated, you also have to look at what happens to taxable income.
In cases where taxpayers have a lot of control over the timing, level, and composition of their income, changes in tax rates may cause big changes in taxable income (or “tax base” in the jargon of economists).
None of this should be controversial. Even Paul Krugman agrees that the Laffer Curve exists.
Today, we are going to see that the pro-tax International Monetary Fund also admits there is a Laffer Curve.
Indeed, a new study authored by David Amaglobeli, Valerio Crispolti, and Xuguang Simon Sheng openly states that politicians should be…
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ACT beats Hipkins to the draw in announcing changes to our gun licensing laws
04 Nov 2022 Leave a comment
Buzz from the Beehive
Uh, oh. Earlier this afternoon there was nothing doing in the Beehive. Or rather, there was nothing doing that they wanted to tell us about.
We therefore drew a blank when we checked the Beehive website to find what our servants are up to.
Nor (when we checked with Scoop) could we find anything new from the Nats or the Greens, although the Nats since then have posted a statement on the rising expense of hiring government consultants.
ACT was given a free kick, in effect, and scored with three statements.
First, ACT’s Firearms Reform spokesperson Nicole McKee was braying that relentless pressure from her party has resulted in the Government making much-needed changes to firearms licensing.
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The Notwithstanding Clause Strikes Again!
04 Nov 2022 Leave a comment
Another moral panic against the Notwithstanding Clause has broken out and gripped the salons and cafes of Toronto in a repeat of the previous Panic of 2018; Andrew Coyne outed himself yesterday as the Geraldo Rivera of this second wave.
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Some Parts of the Constitution Are More Constitutional Than Others
04 Nov 2022 Leave a comment
Introduction
The constitution cannot be unconstitutional. It follows therefore that one part of the constitution cannot be used to strike down or nullify another part of the constitution. This tautology, fittingly, sounds very obvious and simple – yet it still bears repeating with respect to the Constitution of Canada, a confounding Cherub (like that in the Book of Ezekiel) composed of disparate, even contradictory, parts that ought not fit together yet must fit together and reconcile with one another.
On 10 September 2018, Justice Belobaba of the Ontario Superior Court of Justice struck down the provisions of the Better Local Government Act reducing the size of Toronto City Council by half and using the federal and provincial electoral districts as the basis for the City of Toronto’s new wards, as unconstitutional; Premier Ford, in turn, announced that the government will introduce a bill re-acting these provisions under the Notwithstanding Clause…
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No Defence: Chaotic Wind & Solar Prime Culprits For Massive Retail Power Price Hikes
03 Nov 2022 Leave a comment
The insane cost of the wind and solar ‘transition’ is starting to bite; the wind and sun cult are struggling to shift the blame. While Vlad Putin may be a seriously thuggish dictator, he can’t seriously be held responsible for rocketing power prices in the UK, Europe and Australia, where power prices have been surging northwards for years, and long before the Russians stormed their way across Ukraine.
No, the answer in each case lies much closer to home and rests with the lunacy of attempting to run first world economies on sunshine and breezes.
The Australian’s Nick Cater is, as usual, on the money with this article, albeit that he confuses efficient to operate combined cycle gas turbines with highly inefficient open cycle gas turbines, a minor error that we resolve below.
Labor could pay the ultimate price from electricity shock
The Australian
Nick Cater
30 October 2022
The…
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Classic Film Review: Should “Bullitt” (1968) be remade?
03 Nov 2022 Leave a comment




Yes, the headline is a rhetorical question. Because if there’s one thing the 50+ years since “Bullitt” has proven, it’s that most every big screen cop thriller has been in many if not most ways a remake of this Steve McQueen/Peter Yates classic.
We’ve had half a century of the “renegade” “outsider,” “goes his own way” cops, hunting for justice in a broken and/or corrupt system. There have been hundreds of films in which the cop hero drove a “car with character,” and any car buff or film fan knows what you mean when you say “Bullitt Mustang.” The “GT” is understood, the image iconic.
But let’s take that headline literally, shall we? Watching the film again for the umpteenth time last night, I gave it a hard, unsentimental pass for the first time in years.
The story — Lt. Frank Bullitt (McQueen) is tasked by his boss (the…
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Coordination failure under nationwide PR: Manufactured majority in Israel 2022
03 Nov 2022 Leave a comment
The votes are not yet final from the 1 November 2022 Israeli general election, but the outcome is quite clear. The right-wing bloc of parties supporting current opposition leader Benjamin Netanyahu will have won a manufactured majority.Media are calculating the bloc’s combined seats at 65 out of 120. Yet the bloc currently has just 48.1% of the votes. That is actually lower than the clear majority of the vote they got in April, 2019, yet at that election the result was deadlock while this one will produce a majority coalition government. What explains the difference? Coordination.
The reason for the manufactured majority in this election, despite a nationwide proportional representation electoral system, is coordination failure. The strategic choices of political leaders and voters in both the left and the Arab political camps have made Netanyahu’s impending return to government possible. On the left, Labor has barely cleared the…
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Are tax rises inevitable?
03 Nov 2022 Leave a comment
If you believe thesmoke signals from the Treasury– and you probably should – the Budget on 17 November will have to include big increases in tax in order to plug a ‘black hole’ in the public finances. But is it inevitable that taxes will have to rise and, if so, what’s the best way to do it?
The obvious starting point is the ‘black hole’ itself. Different numbers are regularly tossed about here, with recent estimates ranging from around £30 billion to more than £70 billion. However, few people understand what these mean. The size of the ‘black hole’ depends on two main factors.
The first is the set of fiscal rules against which the public finances are assessed. The ‘black hole’ is the difference between the forecast path for public sector borrowing on current policies and where borrowing needs to be to hit the government’s targets. The…
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How did NASA get those great film shots of Apollo and the Shuttle?
03 Nov 2022 Leave a comment
in economics of media and culture Tags: space
How 1970s conservation laws turned Australia into a tinderbox
02 Nov 2022 Leave a comment
Bush fire
Hardly a surprising conclusion in this research. A classic example of replacing what worked with what sounded good.
– – –
Southeast Australia’s bushfire crisis culminated in the devastating bushfire season of 2019 and 2020 that burnt nearly 25 million hectares of bush, says Phys.org.
Our new research demonstrates how the scale of this disaster blew out due to legislation introduced in the 1970s, which was based on idea that nature should be left to grow freely without human intervention.
We investigated the bushfire history of one of the worst hit areas: Buchan on Gunaikurnai Country in Victoria.
We found no bushfires burned there for almost a century until the mid 1970s, following the establishment of the Land Conservation Act of 1970—legislation that sought to protect the Australian bush from humans.
This legislation banned farmers from mimicking Aboriginal burning practices by using frequent fires to promote grass…
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Israel 2022
02 Nov 2022 Leave a comment
Ah, yes, we are doing this again: Another Israeli general election. I am not going to pretend to know what will happen. As I type this, ILTV is making it seem as if the right-wing bloc has a majority with 61 or 62 seats. That would be a government of Likud, the two Haredi parties (Shas and UTJ), and the Religious Zionist list, returning Benjamin Netanyahu to the prime ministership.
HOWEVER, this is based on exit polls. These have been off before. It is downright misleading of media to treat these as if they are indicative of real results. On the other hand, it would be in no way a surprise if the final results were to confirm these exit polls. We just don’t know yet.
I won’t get into other possible coalition scenarios till we have actual results, other than to note that there are interesting possibilities…
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