Why do taxpayers pay billions for football stadiums? @TaxpayersUnion @EricCrampton

Here Comes Supersonic Flight: The Rebirth of a Former White Elephant

Yes Prime Minister on a minister of manufacturing @jamespeshaw @julieannegenter

 

#Corporatewelfare since 2008 @JordNZ @MatthewHootonNZ @GrantRobertson1 @stevenljoyce

My latest corporate welfare report is out at the Taxpayers Union website. The company tax could be 6 percentage points lower but for this generosity of politicians picking winners.

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Source: New Zealand Budget Papers, various years.

It is not as bad as you think under the last Labour  government budget. $700 million of  those hand-outs to business was seed capital for agricultural research institute. That institute to be run out of the investment income on that $700 million one-off injection which the incoming National Party-led government cancelled.

Another $675 million in that last Labour budget was to KiwiRail and OnTrack. Other than that, the Labour Party ran a pretty tight ship on business subsidies. There are no particular record of picking winners. Labour did buy a real loser in KiwiRail. You heard it here first.

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Picking winners and @stevenljoyce’s repayable grants to 11 more tech start-ups @JordNZ

imageMinister for Science and Innovation Steven Joyce picked a few more winners today. Eleven more start-up technology companies are to be funded $450,000 each in repayable loans to commercialise their technology. The loans are from Callaghan Innovation’s incubator network.

To cut a long diatribe short, I find these sums of money rather piddling. I have encountered this corporate welfare program before at a presentation.

My reaction then as is now: by handing out such small grants, some will succeed, some will fail. Importantly, there will never be one big disaster to bring the whole show down. There is political safety in diversification.

This is not the case with, for example, film subsidies. If Sir Peter Jackson and others finally produce a box office bomb, it will be all too glaring that the taxpayers backed a Hollywood loser with hundreds of millions of dollars. $500 million in subsidies in the case of Avatar.

By peppering small sums of money across the economy, there is no similar risk from this repayable grant scheme for the commercialisation of products.

Adam Smith on export promotion @stevenljoyce

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It’s Time to Name a Price on KiwiRail – how much more in losses before committing to shutting it down?

If a TPPA means no more bailouts for KiwiRail, that is a major benefit from the agreement not previously brought to public attention.

The KiwiRail bailouts add 1 to 2 percentage points to the company tax of every New Zealand business. Cutting the company tax by 1-2% by not bailing out KiwiRail would be a major public benefit. I now have one more reason to favour the TPPA.

A trade agreement tying the hands of future governments preventing them from bailing out failing state-owned enterprises would be a major gain that could more than offset and indeed pay for the higher drug prices that may result from longer patent lives for new drugs.

Utopia, you are standing in it!

In the finest public service traditions of free and frank advice, the New Zealand Treasury in its budget advice this year advised ministers to contemplate shutting down KiwiRail.

Treasury recommended the Government fund KiwiRail for one more year and undertake a comprehensive public study to look into closing the company. The study is public so that people were informed of the costs of running the rail network compared with any benefits it provided. The Government rejected the idea.

Figure 1: State-owned enterprise welfare, Vote Transport and Vote Finance (KiwiRail), Budgets 08/09 to 15/16

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KiwiRail has been a constant thorn in the taxpayers’ side. Since this rail business was acquired in 2008 for $665 million as a commercial investment, Crown investments have totalled $3.4 billion – see Figure 1.

Fortunately in the 2015 budget, the Minister of Finance signalled that the government’s patience with the KiwiRail deficits is not unlimited. KiwiRail…

View original post 204 more words

If bureaucrats were any good at picking winners, they would be hedge funds managers

The cost of sports stadium races to the bottom and the cost of going to Pluto compared

The Amtrak and KiwiRail bailouts compared

Figure 1: Amtrak and KiwiRail bailouts, (exchange rate US$1:NZ$1.53), 2008 – 2015

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Sources: Federal Funding Received by Amtrak | Mercatus and New report: Corporate welfare in the 2015 budget – Taxpayers’ Union.

New Zealand with its KiwiRail does a good job of keeping up with the Amtrak bailout especially when you look at figure 2,  which computes the bailouts on a per capita basis.

Figure 2: Amtrak and KiwiRail bailouts per capita (2014 populations), (exchange rate US$1:NZ$1.53), 2008 – 2015

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Sources: Federal Funding Received by Amtrak | Mercatus and New report: Corporate welfare in the 2015 budget – Taxpayers’ Union.

Hopeless KiwiRail bailout reporting by Radio New Zealand

This morning on 9 to noon on Radio New Zealand, Kathryn Ryan, the compere of the program, repeatedly claimed that the government pumped $1 billion into the KiwiRail Turnaround Plan between 2010 and 2014. I was so annoyed by this that I made a broadcasting standards complaint while the program was still being broadcast on my mobile as a one finger typist.

The report on 9 to Noon was in response to the government putting KiwiRail on notice, giving it two years to identify savings and reduce Crown funding required or risk the possibility of closure. Since KiwiRail was acquired in 2008 for $665 million as a commercial investment, Crown investments (taxpayers bailout) totalled $3.4 billion – see Figure 1.

Figure 1: State-owned enterprise welfare, Vote Transport and Vote Finance (KiwiRail), Budgets 08/09 to 15/16

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Source: New Zealand budget papers, various years.

Table 1 shows that the KiwiRail Turnaround plan of $1.272 billion since the 2009-10 Budget is only a small part of the bailout of KiwiRail. 9 to Noon simply ignored the $210 million in the  2015 budget for KiwiRail for no explicable reason and instead talked about a $1 billion Turnaround plan rather than the $1.272 billion Turnaround plan.

Table 1: State-Owned Enterprise welfare, Vote Transport and Vote Finance (KiwiRail), Budgets 2008/09 to 2015/16, $million

  08/09

09/10

10/11

11/12

12/13

13/14

14/15

15/16

New Zealand Railways Corporation Loans

 

405

55

250

108

 

11

 

KiwiRail Turnaround Plan

 

20

250

250

250

94

198

210

KiwiRail Equity Injection

       

323

25

 

29

Rail Network and Rolling Stock Upgrade

 

105

71

10

       

New Zealand Railways Corporation Loans

55

             

New Zealand Railways Corporation Increase in Capital for the Purchase of Crown Rail

376

             

Crown Rail Operator Loans

140

             

Crown Rail Operator Equity Injection

7

             

Total

578

530

376

510

680

119

209

239

Source: New Zealand budget papers, various years.

Other parts of the bailout of KiwiRail include $405 million in loans to the New Zealand Railways Corporation in the 2009-10 budge – see table 1. There was a $323 million equity injection in the 2012-13 Budget – see table 1. KiwiRail has also caused write-downs in the Crown balance sheet of an incredible $9.8 billion since it was repurchased in 2008.

9 to Noon ignored at least two thirds of the cost to the taxpayer of bailing out KiwiRail by only limiting its reporting to part of the KiwiRail Turnaround Plan. It ignored the contribution in the most recent budget to that plan. That does not meet broadcasting standards of accuracy or professional responsibility.

Any reasonable listener will infer, as I did when listening, that the entire cost of the bailout of KiwiRail is represented by the Turnaround Plan of about $1 billion. If listeners were left with that impression, they were misled by 9 to Noon and Radio New Zealand.

It’s Time to Name a Price on KiwiRail – how much more in losses before committing to shutting it down?

In the finest public service traditions of free and frank advice, the New Zealand Treasury in its budget advice this year advised ministers to contemplate shutting down KiwiRail.

Treasury recommended the Government fund KiwiRail for one more year and undertake a comprehensive public study to look into closing the company. The study is public so that people were informed of the costs of running the rail network compared with any benefits it provided. The Government rejected the idea.

Figure 1: State-owned enterprise welfare, Vote Transport and Vote Finance (KiwiRail), Budgets 08/09 to 15/16

image

Source: New Zealand budget papers, various years.

KiwiRail has been a constant thorn in the taxpayers’ side. Since this rail business was acquired in 2008 for $665 million as a commercial investment, Crown investments have totalled $3.4 billion – see Figure 1.

Fortunately in the 2015 budget, the Minister of Finance signalled that the government’s patience with the KiwiRail deficits is not unlimited. KiwiRail has a 10-year Turnaround Plan to make its freight business commercially viable. The current network of 4,000 km must be reduced to 2,300 km for the company to even breakeven. The Treasury advised, to no avail, that this massive and painful restructuring was required before KiwiRail was purchased. The purchase went through.

The latest developments where Treasury advised ministers to contemplate shutting the network down is an opportunity for ministers, and the opposition spokesmen on finance and transport both to say how much is too much in accumulated KiwiRail losses.

The Minister of Finance and his Cabinet colleagues must say after the public review that there is only so much more left in the cupboard to bailout KiwiRail losses. After that fiscal cap is reached, KiwiRail is on its own. If that means bankruptcy and network closure, so be it.

In the interim, on the side of every KiwiRail train there should be advertising billboards with the following disclosure statements:

  • KiwiRail losses adds one percentage point to the company tax rate each year;
  • KiwiRail losses takes deny sick taxpayers X number of elective surgeries per year; and
  • X number of doctors, nurses, and teachers could have been hired but for last year’s KiwiRail losses!

Can NZ double migrant investors and entrepreneurs from $3.5 billion to $7 billion at no cost to taxpayers!?

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I didn’t notice any discussion in the Cabinet paper of a government doing this before and whether their investment promotion efforts succeeded or not. This latest policy proposal cannot even count as evidence-based policy dreaming, much less a serious contribution to public policy.

Hoping to double incoming foreign investor and entrepreneur migration from $3.5 billion to $7 billion inside three years without spending any extra public money is breathless public policy making. I am sure lots of governments previously tried to get something for nothing.

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It will be helpful if ministers pointed to where overseas governments have been successful in doubling foreign investment by simply reprioritising existing investment promotion efforts. 

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There are at least 2,500 national, provincial and city investment promotion agencies out. Some of them must have been subject to some sort of evaluation as to their success.

This overseas literature review would be in addition to the recent findings of the Ministry of Economic Development about the poor performance  and perhaps futility of the foreign direct investment promotion by New Zealand Trade and Enterprise.

Imagine how much bigger a boost in foreign investor and entrepreneur migration lays before us if actual real new money was put on the table.

via beehive.govt.nz – Strategy targets international investors and Evaluation of NZTE investment support activities [929 KB PDF]

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Corporate welfare in New Zealand – 2015 budget update

I have updated my 2014 report on corporate welfare for the 2015 budget. My report was published today by the Taxpayers’ Union.

My key finding was that corporate welfare increased in the 7th budget of the National Party-led Government from $1.178 billion in its 2014 budget to $1.344 billion in the 2015 budget – see figure 1 and table 1.

Figure 1: Corporate welfare, Budgets 2008/09 to 2015/16

Source: New Zealand budget papers, various years.

Table 1: Corporate welfare in Budgets 2008/09 to 2015/16, $million

08/09 09/10 10/11 11/12 12/13 13/14 14/15 15/16
Arts, Culture & Heritage

3

11

19

10

29

4

4

42

Commerce and Consumer Affairs

6

6

6

6

7

7

6

7

Communications

0

25

39

150

178

205

215

190

Economic Development

372

419

446

379

332

284

280

297

Finance

16

44

3

108

15

210

0

0

Primary Industries

700

0.3

14

0.0

43

65

77

180

Science and Innovation

0

4

0

0

0

112

219

269

Tourism

76

94

119

113

98

124

124

121

Transport

578

530

376

510

680

119

255

239

Total $million

1,751

1,134

1,022

1,277

1,382

1,130

1,178

1,344

Source: New Zealand budget papers, various years.

Corporate welfare has ranged between about $1 billion and $1.4 billion per year in each of the seven budgets presented by the current National-led Government – see Table 1 and Figures 1 and 2.

Figure 2: Corporate welfare, Budgets 08/09 to 15/16 by Vote

Source: New Zealand budget papers, various years; note: Vote Commerce and Consumer Affairs omitted in all years from Figure 2.

The predominant recipient of corporate welfare in this year’s budget, and all of those since 2008 is KiwiRail. Vote Transport accounts for a third of all corporate welfare – see Figures 3 and 4. Vote Economic Development is the next largest source of corporate welfare and accounts for 28% of the total since 2008 – see Figures 3 and 4.

Figure 3: Distribution of total corporate welfare across votes, 2008/09 to 2015/16

Source: New Zealand budget papers, various years.

Figure 4: State-owned enterprise welfare, Vote Transport and Vote Finance (KiwiRail), Budgets 08/09 to 15/16

Source: New Zealand budget papers, various years.

$280 – $450 million in corporate welfare has been under the patronage of the Minister for Economic Development over the last eight budgets – see Figure 5. In this year’s budget, corporate welfare under the Minister’s hand has increased slightly from $280 million to $297 million.

Figure 5: Corporate welfare, Vote Economic Development, Budgets 2008/09 to 2015/16

Source: New Zealand budget papers, various years.

Up until the 2013/14 budget, science and innovation spending was targeted at research that would not find private sponsors because it could not capture the returns from their discoveries – see Figure 6. Figure 6 shows that there is being rapid growth within Vote Science and Innovation of various forms of start-up and commercialisation grants in recent budgets.

Figure 6: Corporate welfare, Vote Science and Innovation, Budgets 08/09 to 15/16

Source: New Zealand budget papers, various years.

Figure 7 shows that the Government is getting back into the business of subsidising agriculture. The Primary Growth Partnership (PGP) is an R&D grants programme for the primary industry sector. There are 18 PGP programmes underway with a funding commitment from government and from industry combining to $708 million by 2017.

Figure 7: Farm welfare, Vote Primary Industries, Budgets 08/09 to 15/16

Source: New Zealand budget papers, various years.

Figure 8 shows that the National Party-led government is a major investor in ultrafast broadband – going where private entrepreneurs fear to tread.

Figure 8: Corporate welfare, Vote Communications, Budgets 08/09 to 15/16

Source: New Zealand budget papers, various years.

The corporate welfare in the Budget 2015 adds about six percentage points to the company tax rate. Should these corporate indulgences should continue or should the company tax rate drop six percentage points?

If that six percentage points on top of the company tax rate was renamed a business subsidies levy, how many businesses would want to pay it rather than developing their own business under much lower company tax rate?

It’s time for the government to wash its hands of Solid Energy and let it go bankrupt – updated

Government owned mining company Solid Energy lost $182 million last year. It is already received nearly $200 million in corporate welfare in bailouts from the New Zealand taxpayer. It’s time to call a halt.

The Christchurch-based coalminer is negotiating with banks in a bid to reduce its $320 million debt. In 2013, its annual revenue dropped by a third to $631 million.

Solid Energy invested heavily on a strategy that energy prices were going to go up and up. That investment strategy was against the market sentiment of that time, much less afterwards and the collapse of oil prices.

While Prime Minister John Key said on March 2 that it was not the Government’s preferred option to put more taxpayer cash into Solid Energy, Minister of Finance Bill English flatly ruled out cash, loans or guarantees. I hope Bill English wins that political struggle at the Cabinet table for the sake of the long-suffering New Zealand taxpayer.

What is worse, the government has indemnified the directors of Solid Energy against unspecified liabilities thus giving them an open-ended cheque-book, from what I can see, to trade while insolvent:

State Owned Enterprises Minister Todd McClay confirmed last month that the Crown has offered an indemnity to the board of Solid Energy last year, but would not comment on what it was.

Asked if directors had raised concerns with him that they might be trading while insolvent, English said: “Any director of a company like this has that question uppermost in their mind. They need to be sure all the time that they’re not trading while insolvent.”

Directors’ duties regarding trading while insolvent is the last line of defence against financial irresponsibility. There are both civil liability and criminal penalties for trading while insolvent under company law.

Solid Energy has already been a black hole for nearly $200 million in taxpayers’ money as well as considerable bank write-offs of loans.

The company appeared before the Finance and Expenditure Select Committee of Parliament this morning. It told MPs the company was solvent and marginally cash positive, but looking at another significant loss this year.

It should be a matter of policy that the government, any government, should not indemnify directors of any company, be they government owned or not, for breaches of directors’ duties. It’s a matter of the rule of law and of governments not privileging itself in the marketplace at the expense of the taxpayer.

What is the point of having a State Owned Enterprises Act and setting up these businesses as companies with a duty to be as successful as a company not owned by the government if they don’t have to obey the most fundamental safeguards in company law when push comes to shove?

If these indemnities have indeed been issued by the government for breaches of directors’ duties regarding insolvency, and it seems as though they have been, what is the Crown liability to creditors if Solid Energy is indeed trading while insolvent? These indemnities may allow the creditors to pierce the corporate veil and sue the New Zealand government.

In the revenge of directors duties, the directors of banks and any other creditor will have a director’s duty to sue the New Zealand government for all it can get as a result of these indemnities.

At a minimum, the New Zealand government will have to settle out of court or go all the way to the Supreme Court because hundreds of millions of dollars are involved from the bank write-offs, past and present.

Naturally, the ideological blinkers of the opposition party in New Zealand prevents it from saying the obvious, which is calling for the Solid Energy to be put in receivership. The Labour Party spokesman on state owned enterprise attacked the stewardship of the Minister of Finance as a shareholding Minister, but had nothing to say in terms of solutions, including putting the company into receivership.

The Green Party did a little bit better in 2013 when its spokesman talked about a need for a transition to sustainable jobs – the Green party code for layoffs:

“The National Government need to take responsibility for their mismanagement of Solid Energy and cut their losses,” said Mr Hughes.

“The banks that made risky loans to Solid Energy need to bear the cost of their mistakes”. “Coal is not going to be the fuel of our future if we are to stabilise our climate”.

“New Zealanders and Solid Energy workers need a just transition into more sustainable jobs – jobs that don’t fry the planet.”

“The longer this Government effectively denies climate change, the more taxpayer money will go to subsidising coal and its foreign backers.”

Things are getting desperate when the Greens find a corporate welfare so appalling that they actually oppose it, if only because of support for lower carbon emissions. That is one green hypocrisy too many if it supported a bailout of a coal miner.

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