EU late joiners relative labour productivities @NickCohen4 @iainmartin1 @CapX

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Source: Edward Prescott.

..

Original EU Labor Productivities Relative to U.S. @NickCohen4 @iainmartin1 @CapX

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Source: Edward Prescott.

@HillaryClinton positions on #TPA trade deal over time

@NZGreens @nzlabour @jamespshaw #TPA a brief history of trade policy

Real GDP per working age British, Dane and Swede 1950 – 2012, PPP

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Source: Computed from OECD StatExtract and The Conference Board. 2015. The Conference Board Total Economy Database™, May 2015, http://www.conference-board.org/data/economydatabase/

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Source: Computed from OECD StatExtract and The Conference Board. 2015. The Conference Board Total Economy Database™, May 2015, http://www.conference-board.org/data/economydatabase/

The data is detrended at 1.9% per  year – the trend rate of growth for the USA in the 20th century. A rising line means growth greater than 1.9% for that year,  a falling line means growth of less than 1.9% for the year. A flat line is growth of 1.9% for that year.

Britain, Sweden and Denmark all grew quickly up until the 1970s in a period known as post-war catch up.In the 1970s and early 1980s, there was the British disease. The 1970s to the early 1990s was Swedosclerosis. There was a boom in the British economy subsequent to the economics of Mrs Thatcher.

Are there net saving from a British pull-out of the EU?

Jane Kelsey opposes handcuffs on the democratic choices of future governments! Does she oppose labour and environmental standards in trade agreements too?

Jane Kelsey in a television interview said she opposes the reductions in sovereignty in trade agreements that result from investor-state dispute settlement (ISDS) provisions because they limit the democratic choices of future governments.

If so, she must oppose environmental and labour standards in trade agreements and, more importantly, binding the hands of future governments with climate treaties. All international treaties are about restrictions on sovereignty.

Environmental and labour clauses in trade agreements and climate treaties all limit the powers of governments to legislate on environmental and employment law in accordance with the will of the people as expressed in the most recent election and change of government. Power to the people.

https://twitter.com/rorymccourt/status/625540621457960960

Jane Kelsey would do better focusing on those parts of the TPPA deal that lowers the net value of the deal such as those extending the term of patents over the drugs. All international treaties are about trade-offs.

The most important reason for focusing on intellectual property law in trade agreements is Kelsey is likely to actually win people over that are not on the far left, including many on the right of politics over to her cause. Kelsey is too busy rounding up the usual suspects.

Ranting about big corporate conspiracies and the investor state dispute settlement clauses puts people off.

These gusts of paranoia lose support on issues where there is common ground to be suspicious about the growing scope of trade agreements and their reach behind borders.

Regulatory harmonisation is advisable only when there are compelling reasons such as the prevention of hazards or technical compatibility of products – do the plugs fit into each other? As Sykes argues:

as a normative matter, harmonization is inferior to a legal system that tolerates regulatory differences subject to legal constraints, and that relies on mutual recognition where appropriate (the exception to this claim being matters of technical compatibility between products).

Related, as a positive manner, harmonization will often lack any political constituency and thus instances of true harmonization will be rare.

The first Paul Krugman (1997) on what trade negotiators negotiate about

via WHAT SHOULD TRADE NEGOTIATORS NEGOTIATE ABOUT? A REVIEW ESSAY.

#TPPA The first Paul Krugman on trade agreements that level the playing field behind the border

via WHAT SHOULD TRADE NEGOTIATORS NEGOTIATE ABOUT? A REVIEW ESSAY.

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European integration explained in one easy chart

NAFTA v. the Common Market: trading across the French, German, Italian, British, Canadian and US borders – World Bank Doing Business rankings compared

Figure 1: World Bank Doing Business rankings and sub rankings for trading across the French, German, Italian, British, Canadian and US borders, 2014

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Source: World Bank Doing Business database; note: cost of importing and exporting not included.

Figure 2: World Bank Doing Business rankings – cost of importing and exporting across the French, German, Italian, British, Canadian and US borders, 2014

image

Source: World Bank Doing Business database; note: cost of importing and exporting not included.

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