What kills popular musicians? Depends on the genre http://t.co/BTDvdWOS4F—
paulkirby (@paul1kirby) September 11, 2015
Watch your back in Rap & Hip-Hop, look after yourself in Heavy Metal and Punk
13 Sep 2015 Leave a comment
in economic history, economics of crime, economics of media and culture, health and safety, health economics, labour economics, law and economics, Music, occupational choice Tags: crime and punishment, homicide rates, law and order, suicide
Is domestic violence getting worse?
12 Sep 2015 Leave a comment
in economics of crime, law and economics Tags: crime and punishment, criminal deterrence, law and order, marriage and divorce
Domestic murder rates in the U.S. have fallen by nearly 50 percent for female partners. buff.ly/1Nksz5C http://t.co/ihEfDir6mj—
HumanProgress.org (@humanprogress) September 07, 2015
An update on ‘Better Angels’ by S. Pinker bit.ly/1M4mhUJ
New data shows violence remains in retreat overall. http://t.co/zgR41QxsZO—
Max Roser (@MaxCRoser) September 12, 2015
@radleybalko @thecounted How did the 169 unarmed people killed by police in 2015 die? @Mark_J_Perry updated
11 Sep 2015 2 Comments
in economics of crime, law and economics, politics - USA Tags: body cameras, crime and punishment, criminal deterrence, law and economics of evidence, law and order, Leftover Left, police, police shootings, presumption of innocence, William Blackstone
The Guardian is so anti-police that they included in their interactive database a drunk that drove into a police car and some poor bastard run over by the police cruiser searching for him at night.
Another handy hint for an unarmed suspect is do not flee police by stealing a police cruiser with the officer dragging behind you. He may well shoot you. Police will certainly shoot an unarmed suspect if they flee arrest in a police cruiser, kidnapping the two children who happened to be in the back – their parents expect no less.
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Most of the police killings of the unarmed in circumstances where better evidence would resolve doubts.

The Guardian would do a lot better by arguing that all Tasers should have cameras on them, all police cruisers should have cameras in them, and all police officers should have cameras on their lapels. These cameras are excellent for collecting evidence against criminals. There should also be plenty of cameras in police stations.

The first randomized controlled trial of police body cameras in the USA showed that cameras sharply reduce the use of force by police and the number of citizen complaints. In Seattle, the police department has set up its own YouTube channel, broadcasting a stream of blurred images to protect privacy.
Update: I recoded charging police and reaching for a possible weapon on your person or in a car into separate categories
How did the 19 unarmed people killed by police since 1 August 2015 die? @radleybalko @thecounted
10 Sep 2015 Leave a comment
in economics of crime, law and economics, politics - USA Tags: crime and punishment, deaths in custody, expressive voting, law and order, Leftover Left, police, police shootings
In coding the data from The Guardian interactive website, I included all 19 people they classified as unarmed and killed by police including
- a death in custody involving corrections officers,
- a drunk driver drove into the police car while turning left, and
- an off duty police officer getting into a fatal fight with a neighbour.
Unarmed people should not charge at armed police, struggle for their guns, or refuse to comply when threatened with a Taser, especially if poor of health or have a weak heart.
In the only two cases of police malfeasance – three corrections officer beating a prisoner to death or a trigger-happy police officer – charges have been laid or the officer dismissed pending further investigation. The man shot while fleeing police was a murder suspect.
War on Police? Or one of the safest years in law enforcement since 1887? @Mark_J_Perry goo.gl/qNQ2lO http://t.co/2zPjZmG2fQ—
AEIdeas Blog (@AEIdeas) September 09, 2015
Crime in the Big Apple
14 Aug 2015 Leave a comment
in economic history, economics of crime, law and economics, politics - USA Tags: crime and punishment, criminal deterrence, law and order, New York City
Nice WSJ graph of the remarkable decline in crime in NYC since 2002. on.wsj.com/19XvVY5 http://t.co/iLDNufelVB—
Miles Kimball (@mileskimball) December 31, 2013
The death toll in high-speed police chases
30 Jul 2015 1 Comment
in economics of crime, law and economics, transport economics Tags: crime and punishment, law and order, law enforcement, police, trade-offs, unintended consequences
High-speed police chases kill 330 people per year, one-third of whom are innocent bystanders: priceonomics.com/the-case-for-b… http://t.co/uFmzxgcplk—
Zachary Crockett (@zzcrockett) July 22, 2015
Prison incarceration rates by race and education
12 Jun 2015 1 Comment
in discrimination, economics of crime, economics of education, human capital, labour economics, labour supply, law and economics, occupational choice, politics - USA Tags: compensating differentials, crime and punishment, criminal deterrence, law and order, racial discrimination, racism
Male African American high school dropouts facing a nearly 70% cumulative risk of imprisonment by their early 30s. However, the increase in incarceration rates among high school graduates appeared to be much the same for both blacks and whites.
This hints that racism is not as good explanatory of high rates of African-American male incarceration. Police do not know whether the people they arrest have high school diplomas or not but most of the people they arrest are high school dropouts. This suggests that the opportunity cost and rewards of crime over lawful occupational pursuits is a driver of the supply of crime.
Public confidence in the police in America
14 May 2015 Leave a comment
in economics of bureaucracy, economics of crime, politics - USA Tags: crime and punishment, law and order, police, voter demographics
Security cameras in prison showers and the case for private prisons
06 Mar 2015 Leave a comment
in economics of crime, entrepreneurship, law and economics, organisational economics, politics - New Zealand, politics - USA Tags: do gooders, law and order, prisons
I was listening to a radio show the other day on the introduction of close circuit television into New Zealand prisons that were to be monitored by both male and female guards. This is regarded as an indignity by some because these new close circuit cameras would be in showers and toilets.

The initial commentators on the radio programme immediately said they had watched plenty of TV programs where people were shanked in the showers.

The close circuit television was for the safety of prisoners. Close circuit cameras in all parts of prisons made prisons a safer place and that was that. It was the price of safety, especially for prisoners vulnerable to intimidation and sexual assault.

Greg Newbold, a New Zealand criminologist and an ex-prisoner in itself, then came on air to criticise the introduction of close circuit televisions in showers and other intimate areas such as toilets as an indignity on prisoners. Prisoners have a right to intimate privacy in his view. He said only 12 prisoners had been murdered in the New Zealand prisons since 1979.
Only 12 murders is 12 murders too many. Every one of those murders would have been subject of outrage about the failure of the prison administration from the bleeding hearts brigade.
The most interesting thing that Greg Newbold said on the radio was about how these close circuit television systems first emerged in prisons, initially in the USA.
Close circuit television systems will put throughout prisons initially in private prisons to avoid being sued for wrongful death and injury. The private prisons introduced this rather obvious security measure to reduce liability in the civil courts.
Public prisons are supposedly a safer place for prisoners to be if you listen to the bleeding hearts brigade and the Left over Left. Pubic prisons but never got around introducing what seems to me to be a rather basic security measure in confined areas of prisons. Close circuit television systems would protect both inmates and guards.
The different incentives facing public and hybrid prisons, in this case, exposure to litigation, is an illustration of the superior efficiency of private prisons.

Private prisons did something because it affects the bottom line. One way to reduce liability for deaths and injuries is prison security measures that reduce the number of deaths and injuries in prisons.

More importantly, private prisons have unforgiving critics in the form of the bleeding hearts brigade and Left over Left. No one on the Left will defend or protect a prison that is private from closure out of a knee-jerk defence of the public sector, and in particular, public-sector unions.
Oddly enough the only prison that the Left over Left want to close in New Zealand is the highest performing prison, Mt Eden, which happens to be privately run.

The main problem with private prisons is contracting over quality where it is difficult to define quality and measure performance against quality standards specified in a contract as Andrew Shleifer explains:
…critics of privatization often argue that private contractors would cut quality in the process of cutting costs because contracts do not adequately guard against this possibility
Privatisation for many government services is simply an extension of the make-or-buy decision. Every firm faces a make-or-buy decision – should the firm buy a production input from outside suppliers or should it make what it needs itself with existing or additional internal resources?
As any industry grows, there is more room for more specialised producers to supply to firms of all sizes at a lower cost than in-house production (Stigler 1951, 1987; Levy 1984). As an example, all with the largest firms intermittently hire legal, accounting and many other professional skills from specialists.
By contracting-out to these more specialised and niche suppliers, firms can enjoy all available economies of scale in production unless its needs are unique or the firm has some special competency in producing the input in-house (Lindsay and Maloney 1996; Shughart 1997; Roberts 2004). Firms in most industries capture all available economies of scale at relatively small sizes after which they have a long region of production where their marginal cost of further increases in production are constant (Stigler 1958; Lucas 1978; Barzel and Kochin 1992; Shughart 1997).
Put simply, an entrepreneur makes what he or she cannot buy at the quality preferred through contracting in market:
The case for in-house provision is generally stronger when non-contractible cost reductions have large deleterious effects on quality, when quality innovations are unimportant, and when corruption in government procurement is a severe problem. In contrast, the case for privatization is stronger when quality reducing cost reductions can be controlled through contract or competition, when quality innovations are important, and when patronage and powerful unions are a severe problem inside the government.
The way in which the market process dealt with chiselling on quality where quality reducing cost reductions where costly to control through contract or competition was the emergence of non-profit institutions. The competitive edge of these non-profit institutions was they had fewer incentives to dilute hard to measure qualities of the product transacted.

Any additional profits from this dilution of quality were not distributed to the owners because the non-profit organisation was either run by a charity or was owned mutually by the customers. The proceeds from cutting corners on quality could not be paid out to the owners in dividends because there were none.
Examples of non-profits competing successfully in the market are obvious, such as life insurance. Until recent decades, most life insurance companies were mutually owned by the policyholders. Life insurance companies were mutually owned as an assurance that no one could run off with the money by paying high dividends to the owners before policyholders died many years after they have paid their premiums.
Most private universities are run as non-profit institutions even when they are set up by private developers with profits in mind. The private university itself is owned by a charity with esteemed persons on the board to assure quality and probity. The active involvement of alumni is encouraged as a further guard of the future quality of the University from which they graduated. The private developers make their profit on the surrounding land as the university grows and prospers. Land grant universities in the USA may have operated this way.
Other examples of the emergence of non-profit institutions to assure quality in a competitive market are private schools, private hospitals, and private day care centres where concerns about the private provision of a quality service arise, with or without justification. Andrew Shleifer again:
…entrepreneurial not-for-profit firms can be more efficient than either the government or the for-profit private suppliers precisely … where soft incentives are desirable, and competitive and reputational mechanisms do not soften the incentives of private suppliers [to dilute quality].
Of course, any proper analysis must compare like with like and compare the dismal record of public prisons date in terms of prisoner and prison guard safety and preventing escapes with any scandals in the private prison systems. Few do that.
Public opinion and incarceration rates in the USA
02 Mar 2015 Leave a comment
in economics of crime, law and economics, Public Choice Tags: incapacitation, incarceration rates, law and order, median voter theorem, prison numbers
Our attempted carjacking
15 Jun 2014 Leave a comment
in economics of crime Tags: law and order
We were driving home the other night when the two cars in front of us came to a stop after we left the roundabout near the airport.
When they had slowly cleared the left lane of the highway, a young man was walking towards the traffic. He was obviously on drugs – the glazed look and strange walking.
I moved the car around him slowly and locked the car without much thought.
Half a second later, I hear the outside door handle on Luz’s side of the car. This lunatic was trying to break into moving cars on the highway.

I immediately sped away. I did not care about him. I wanted to get away as quickly as possible
We drove home, which is about two minutes away, then we rang the police. After a little bit of time working out the exact name of the street, they said they had received a number of reports about a man on the highway and police had been sent.
If I heard any bump or other evidence that he was actually injured as I sped away, I would have still sped away. There is a difference between leaving the scene of an accident and fleeing a carjacking by a crazed drug fiend.

If there was any suspicion that I had injured the carjacker while speeding away, I would have driven to the nearest police station, which is nearby, given them a summary of the facts and then postponed further comment pending legal advice.
So much for sleepy Wellington.
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