Diocletian, the Roman Empire, and Forever Failing Price Controls

By Tarnell Brown. At EconLog.”The Roman Empire was in trouble. During the fifty-plus years known as the Crisis of the Third Century (235-284 AD), the throne of Rome changed some 26 times, with the Roman Army engaging in a steady diet of crowning and removing claimants to the throne. These autocrats, known as “barracks emperors,”…

Diocletian, the Roman Empire, and Forever Failing Price Controls

Econ 101 is Underrated: Pharma Price Controls

Econ 101 is often dismissed as too simplistic. Yet recent events suggest that Econ 101 is underrated. Take the tariff debate: understanding that a tariff is a tax, that prices represent opportunity costs, that a bilateral trade deficit is largely meaningless, that a so-called trade “deficit” is equally a goods surplus or an investment surplus—these […]

Econ 101 is Underrated: Pharma Price Controls

Supply is elastic, installment #6437

Numerous empirical studies show a relationship between a drug’s expected market size and the magnitude of research and development investments. Early studies focused on changes to market size resulting from the demographics of disease burden (Acemoglu and Linn 2004) and policy changes influencing market demand (Finkelstein 2004). These findings have largely been confirmed by more […]

Supply is elastic, installment #6437

Price controls destroy wealth: California Fire Insurance

Noah Smith via Marginal Revolution, and Kim Mai Cutler.  The CA insurance regulator is elected, and is reluctant to allow higher rates for fire insurance, despite the big risks, lest she be voted out of office.  As a consequence, expected profits are low, so a majority of top insurers have stopped issuing fire insurance in CA.…

Price controls destroy wealth: California Fire Insurance

Price Controls Reflect Utter Economic Insanity

TweetIn the print edition of tomorrow’s (Friday’s) Wall Street Journal, Richard McKenzie and I explain some of the many unintended ill-consequences of the price controls proposed by Kamala Harris. A slice: Price-control proponents often justify their position by claiming that grocery stores are monopolies. They point to a fantasy economic theory that purports to show how…

Price Controls Reflect Utter Economic Insanity

Kamala Harris, Price Controls, and the Contest for the Dumbest Policy Proposal of 2024

As a Senator, Kamala Harris embraced all sorts of terrible ideas, such as the Green New Deal and Medicare for All. But she’s now disavowed those proposals in an attempt to make herself seem more reasonable. Trump, by contrast, is consistent. For better or worse, he’s pushing in 2024 the same agenda that he ran […]

Kamala Harris, Price Controls, and the Contest for the Dumbest Policy Proposal of 2024

On price control

https://www.facebook.com/share/vb5etJqP5p4s5UVn/?mibextid=xfxF2i

Create a Black Market the Easy Way!

Richard Epstein, “A History of Public Utility Regulation in the Supreme Court”

@nzlabour’s cunning plan to reduce power prices

The dead will be many from @SenSanders @AOC’s virtue signalling on drug price controls (effects of 22% manufacturing price cut)

From https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC3804349/

Price Floors: The Minimum Wage

How will @nzlabour @NZGreens ration their 100,000 affordable homes?

The Labour Party (and Greens) both plan to build 100,000 affordable homes and sell them within a specific price range. In Auckland, where houses cost in excess of $800,000 on average, they hope to enter the market at the $550,000 point with still quite reasonable housing.

What I ask you is how will Labour and the Greens make sure the affordable houses both are proposing are not snapped up by well-to-do buyers rather than families currently locked out of the market? What will the rationing mechanism be?

image

Source: KiwiBuild – New Zealand Labour Party.

How will Labour  and the Greens ration these desirable houses given that they are priced well below the competition? If two buyers both offer $550,000 for the house, which bid will be accepted?

If the next best available house in Auckland is worth more than that because it is not sold by the proposed Housing Affordability Authority, the first bid for these houses will be $550,000 which is the maximum the government under a Labour Party is willing to accept? What happens then? 

It is basic economics that if you price at less than the market clearing rate which in Auckland is somewhere near $800,000, people will queue to buy what you have unless you raise the price. The exercise of building 100,000 affordable houses makes no sense unless the purpose is to undercut what the market currently supplies.

As the houses are to be sold by a government agency, there can be no black market nor dilution of quality to even up supply with demand. How will a deadlock in price bids be resolved if the maximum bid for an affordable house starts at $550,000?

Labour acknowledges the possibility of flipping by restricting resale for 5 years. But what stops investors just waiting 5 years as there is any significant price gap between these affordable houses and the private market alternatives.

What stops more affluent buyers living in these houses because they so much cheaper than the competing options in Auckland? If you miss out in bidding on one affordable home, do you go back to the end of the queue for the next that is built or get some priority?

image

Why Do Governments Enact Price Controls?

Percentage of fixed and floating mortgages in New Zealand

I did not know so many people were on a fixed rate mortgage.  Labour is risking its economic credibility on regulating the rates for a minority of mortgages.

image

Source: S8 Banks: Mortgage lending ($m) – Reserve Bank of New Zealand.

Capped mortgages cannot be linked to the current official cash rate of the Reserve Bank of New Zealand because they are based on expected future interest rates over an up to 5 year span, not current interest rates.

An important motivation for going onto a floating rate is you can repay faster. Fixed rate mortgages have penalties for early repayment.

Source: Price Controls: Price Floors and Ceilings, Illustrated.

In consequence, price controls linking floating rate mortgages to the official cash rate of the Reserve Bank would benefit better off mortgagees expecting to repay quickly. A typical policy of the modern Labour Party.

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