Forecasting recessions mostly off the mark….

Mostly Economics

IMF’s research bulletin for March 2010 has some good reviews. There is a literature survey on forecasting recessions, literature survey on growth determinants (technical stuff) and Prakash Loungani of IMF answers 7 questions on housing price cycles. Incidentally, Loungani’s works features majorly in forecasting recessions as well. I had pointed to his paper earlier as well.

In forecasting recessions review:

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